The Falcons host the Houston Texans on Sunday, Oct 8. This week 5 game is set for 1:00 ET and will be shown on FOX. Atlanta comes into this game as 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 41.5. Keep reading to get our Falcons vs. Texans predictions and player props.
Falcons vs. Texans Odds
- Spread: Falcons -1.5
- Total 41.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Oct 8
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: Mercedes-Benz Stadium, Atlanta GA
- TV: FOX
Texans Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Texans have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their last three road contests, Houston has been good against the spread, posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 26 points per game.
- The Texans have played well in their last three games as the betting underdog, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.
Falcons Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Falcons have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their ten previous home games, Atlanta has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-9 while averaging 15 points per game.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Falcons have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 5-0.
Does Houston Stand a Chance on the Road?
As they prepare to face the Falcons, the Texans hold a 2-2 record. Within the AFC-South, they currently sit in 2nd place and are 7th place in the AFC. Against the spread, the Texans have a record of 2-2. Their average scoring margin for the season is currently +4.2.
The Texans came out on top in their last contest against the Steelers, winning with a final score of 30-6. While picking up the win, the Texans also covered the spread as 3-point underdogs. The pre-game over/under line in their most recent game vs. Pittsburgh was 41. The teams fell short of this figure with 36 points.
Offensively, C.J. Stroud finished with 306 passing yards while completing 53% of his passes. On the ground, the Texans ran the ball 38 times for 139 yards. The team went 6/12 on third down.
When it comes to yards allowed, the Texans rank 13th in the league, conceding an average of 311.8 yards per contest. Houston’s defense has allowed 19.8 points per game, which has them 9th in the NFL.
Taking a Look at the Falcons Chances at Home
As week 5 approaches, Atlanta is in 2nd place in the NFC-South, coming in with an overall record of 2-2. In the NFC, they currently reside in 7th place. When it comes to the spread, the Falcons come in at 1-3. Going into week 5, their scoring margin per game is -3.8.
After a 23-7 loss to the Jaguars, the Falcons are looking to get back on track this week. Alongside their 16-point loss, the Falcons also suffered an ATS defeat. They were 3.5-point underdogs before the game. In the Falcons’ latest game, the under bettors were correct as the teams totaled 30 points, below the line of 42.5 points.
On offense, the Jaguars finished with 22 rushing attempts, and Bijan Robinson was the leading rusher with 105 yards. In the passing game, Desmond Ridder threw the ball 31 times, accumulating 191 yards and a passer rating of 62.
Looking at Atlanta’s defense, they currently stand 8th in points allowed. Opponents have been averaging 19.2 points per game and 290.8 yards per contest against them.
Falcons vs. Texans Player Prop
Against Texans, Bijan Robinson’s rushing yards prop is 77.5. Taking the over has a payout of -111, while the under pays at -120. The implied odds for the under are 55%.
This season, Bijan Robinson currently ranks 15th among running backs in rushing attempts with a total of 318 yards. Going into this week’s game, he has an average of 6 yards per carry.
With the Texans’ defense giving up an average of 4.4 yards per rushing attempt, I’d place my bet on Robinson going over 77.5 rushing yards.
The Prop: Bijan Robinson Over 77.5 Rushing Yards (-111)
Falcons vs. Texans Predictions
Since the lines were initially set, Atlanta has moved from -4.5 point favorites to their current line of -1.5.
Even though the Falcons fell short of covering the spread in their most recent game, we see them not only winning straight-up over but also covering the spread as 1.5-point home favorites vs. the Texans.
Houston has impressed recently, but the Falcons should be able to control the game against the Texans’ skeptical run defense in this matchup.
The Pick: Falcons -1.5 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook