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Patriots vs. Eagles Predictions, Odds & Player Props – Week 1

Jan 1, 2023; Foxborough, Massachusetts, USA; New England Patriots quarterback Mac Jones (10) hands the ball to running back Rhamondre Stevenson (38) during the first half of a game against the Miami Dolphins at Gillette Stadium.
Image Credit: Brian Fluharty-USA TODAY Sports

The Patriots are set to face the Philadelphia Eagles on Sunday, Sep 10. The game is scheduled for 4:25 ET while airing on CBS. Philadelphia enters this game as 4-point favorites with the total set at 45. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Patriots vs Eagles predictions below.

Patriots VS. Eagles Odds

  • Spread: Eagles -4
  • Total 45

Game Info

  • Date: Sunday, Sep 10
  • Time: 4:25 ET
  • Location: Gillette Stadium, Foxborough MA
  • TV: CBS

Eagles Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Eagles have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • In their last five games away from home, the Eagles have a straight up record of 4-1 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 30 points per game in these contests.
  • As the betting favorite, the Eagles have an ATS mark of just 5-5 in their last ten games. Philadelphia posted a straight up mark of 8-2 in these matchups.

Patriots Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Patriots have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across the Patriots’ last ten home games, the team averaged 22 points per game while allowing 25. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 4-5-1, while going 4-6 straight-up.
  • Going back to their last five games as the underdog, the Patriots have a straight up record of 0-5. But, their mark vs the spread was just 0-5.

Will the Eagles Make it Happen in Foxborough?

The Philadelphia Eagles’ 2022-2023 campaign came to a close with a Super Bowl defeat, as the Eagles suffered a 38-35 loss against the Chiefs. Across the regular season, the Eagles went 14-3 record, going 7-1 on the road and 9-3 at home. In the NFC-East, Philadelphia finished 5-2 putting them 1st in the standings.

On offense, Philadelphia was 2nd in points per game a year ago, with an average of 29.0 points per contest. At 5.8 yards per play, the Eagles were 6th in the NFL. On the ground, the Eagles ran the ball an average of 33.2 times per contest, which was 1st in the league. Also, they finished 9th in passing yards.

Defensively, the Eagles concluded last season 1st in yards allowed, giving up an average of 19.8 points per game (7th). Philadelphia’s pass rush was 27th in quarterback hits and ranked 1st in sacks.

Will the Patriots Pull Through as the Home Underdog?

Following a season where they wrapped up with a final record of just 8-9, New England is gearing up for their season opener. In the AFC-East, the Patriots finished 3rd and posted a 3-3 record against their division opponents. On their home field, New England concluded with a 4-4 record, and when away from home, they went 4-5.

On offense, the Patriots finished the 2022 season 16th in scoring at 21.4 points per game. New England ranked 24th in rushing yards, with an average of 106.6 yards per contest. In terms of overall yardage, the Patriots were 25th (314.6) and had a red-zone conversion rate of 40.0%, putting them 2nd in the NFL.

This season, the Patriots will look to become a top-10 defensive unit, as they finished last season ranked 11th in points allowed at 20.4 points per game. On average, opponents averaged 105.5 rushing yards per game (7th) and 216.5 yards per game in the passing game 15th. Last year’s unit ended the season ranked 20th in 3rd down conversion percentage (40.2%).

Patriots vs. Eagles Player Prop

An interesting player prop to consider in this week’s Patriots vs. Eagles matchup is Rhamondre Stevenson’s ‘To Score A Touchdown’. The odds are sitting at -105, putting the implied probability of this hitting at 51%. I’m suggesting a prop bet on Stevenson scoring a touchdown against the Eagles. With the odds set at -105, I’ll be putting my money down on him to find the endzone.

The Prop: Rhamondre Stevenson to Score a Touchdown -105

Patriots VS. Eagles Predictions

I find the Patriots as home underdogs to be the way to go in this one. At the moment, their odds are +4, which I see as a good value.

The Pick: Patriots +4 | -110 at Fanduel Sportsbook

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