The Timberwolves are gearing up for a showdown against the Denver Nuggets on Tuesday, Mar 19. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 9:00 ET and will be broadcast on NBA. Denver comes into this matchup as 7-point favorites, with the over/under set at 213.5. Will the Nuggets manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Timberwolves vs. Nuggets player props and predictions.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -7
- Total 213.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Tuesday, Mar 19
- Time: 9:00 ET
- Location: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
- TV: NBA
Nuggets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their last three road contests, Denver has been good against the spread posting a mark of 2-1. Their overall mark in these games was 2-1, while averaging 107 points per game.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Nuggets have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 0-5 vs. the spread.
- In their last three home games, Minnesota has averaged 117 points per game while allowing 101. The team’s record in this stretch was 3-0 while going 3-0 vs. the spread.
- Minnesota has done well both straight up and vs the spread when favored to win the game, going 3-2 SU and 3-2 ATS in their last five games.
Will the Denver Defense Show Up on the Road?
In Denver’s last game against the Mavericks, the combined scoring total was 212 points, which was below the over/under line of 231.5. The Nuggets also lost the game by a score of 107-105.
Denver is favored by 7 points today and has a record of 43-15 as the favorite this season. As the favorite, they are 26-30 against the spread and have an average scoring margin of +5.9 points per game.
In the Western Conference, the Nuggets are currently in 3rd place with a record of 47-21. On the road, they are 20-15 compared to 27-6 at home.
This season, the Nuggets have gone 31-35 against the spread and are 15-19 ATS on the road. Their O/U record for the season is 25-41-2, and the under has hit in their last three games.
In their games this season, the Nuggets have averaged 224.9 points per game, which is higher than today’s O/U line of 213.5. Overall, their games have averaged an over/under line of 227.3.
Heading into their matchup with the Timberwolves, the Nuggets are 15th in the NBA in scoring at 114.7 points per game. However, when playing on the road, they are averaging 110.7 points per game (23rd).
Denver’s offense has been one of the most efficient in the league, ranking 4th in field goal percentage (49%). They are also 9th in two-point shooting at 56%.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Nuggets are 28th in makes (11.5 per game) and 12th in three-point shooting percentage (37%).
Coming into today’s game, the Nuggets’ defense is giving up an average of 110.2 points per contest. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Nuggets are forcing 11.7 per game, which is 5th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 10th in blocked shots at 5.5 per game.
Does Minnesota Have What it Takes at Home?
The Timberwolves have gone 34-34 on the over/under this season, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 213.5 is lower than their season average of 219.9 points per game.
Minnesota’s ATS record for the season is 34-33, and they have covered the spread in three straight games. However, they are just 14-17 against the spread at home.
In their last game, the Timberwolves defeated the Jazz by a score of 114-104. The combined scoring in that game was 218 points, and Minnesota was favored by 4.5 points going into the game.
The Timberwolves are currently 2nd in the Western Conference with a record of 47-21. In the West, they are 33-11 compared to 14-10 against non-conference opponents. On the road, Minnesota is 24-13.
For the season, the Timberwolves are 8-7 as the underdog and have an ATS record of 9-6 as the underdog. Minnesota’s ATS record as the underdog this season is 9-6.
At home, the Timberwolves are averaging 111.7 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA (45.6% of their games have been below the NBA scoring average). In terms of field goal percentage, they are 10th in the league at 48%. From three-point range, they are 4th in the NBA at 38%.
Overall, Minnesota is 19th in scoring at 113.3 points per game. In terms of pace, they are 23rd in the league at 97.2 possessions per game. When it comes to assists, the Timberwolves are 16th in the NBA with an average of 26.4 per contest.
So far this season, the Timberwolves have made an average of 12.5 three-pointers per game (16th) and 18.1 free throws per contest (10th). When it comes to offensive rebounds, Minnesota is 25th in the league with an average of 9.5 per game.
Currently, the Timberwolves’ defense holds the 1st rank in the NBA, allowing 106.6 points per game. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Timberwolves squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 50.6% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.2% from downtown.
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Anthony Edwards and his points prop of 28.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -111 while the under is at -123. Our model predicts that Anthony Edwards will finish with 27 points, 6 rebounds, and 5. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 28.5.
- The Prop: Anthony Edwards Under 28.5 Points (-123)
Timberwolves vs. Nuggets Predictions
The Timberwolves come in as the underdog at +7, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 213.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Timberwolves finishing with a combined 221 points. Our pick is to take the over.
The Pick: Timberwolves +7 | at Fanduel Sportsbook