The Heat and San Antonio Spurs will matchup on Wednesday, Feb 7. Tip-off for the game is 7:30 ET and will be shown on BSSU. Miami is favored by 8 points in this game, and the total is 226.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Heat vs. Spurs predictions.
Heat vs. Spurs Odds
- Spread: Heat -8
- Total 226.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Feb 7
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: BSSU
Spurs Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Spurs have an over/under record of 0-5 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their last five road contests, San Antonio has a 3-2 record vs the spread. Their overall mark in these games was 1-4, while averaging 114 points per game.
- Going back to their previous five games as the underdog, San Antonio has an ATS mark of 2-3 while going 1-4 straight up.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home games, Miami has an ATS record of just 2-6-2. However, their overall record was 4-6 while averaging 103 points per game.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 5-5. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-5-2.
Taking a Look at the Spurs Chances in Miami
The Spurs are looking to end their four game losing streak as they face off against the Heat. Overall, the Spurs have a record of 10-40. When playing at home, the Spurs are 5-21 compared to their 5-19 record on the road.
The Spurs offense scored 101 points in their most recent game vs. the Cavaliers. Overall, they shot 36.7% from the field and hit 12 threes. On offense, the Spurs have not been efficient, as they are shooting 46% from the field on the season. When it comes to free throws, they rank 28th in made free throws and are shooting 78% from the line.
On the season, the Spurs are giving up 120.9 points per game, which is 26th in the NBA. When playing on the road, San Antonio is allowing 120.6 points per game (22nd).
Over their last five games, the Spurs are 10th in the league in points allowed at 113.8 per contest.
When looking at opposing three-point shooting, San Antonio is allowing opponents to hit 38.2% from beyond the arc, which is 23rd in the league. On the season, opposing teams are attempting 35.3 three-pointers per game (18th).
One area where the Spurs have been strong is in the blocked shots department, as they are 4th in the NBA at 6.1 per game.
Can the Heat Offense Score Enough at Home?
In non-conference games, the Heat are 7-9 this season and are 20-15 against Eastern Conference teams. Overall, they are 27-24 and have gone 3-2 in their last five games.
At home, Miami is scoring 113.2 points per game, which is 23rd in the NBA. Overall, they are 27th in the league with 110.4 points per game. On offense, the Heat have a field goal percentage of 46% and have made the 7th most free throws in the league while shooting 82% from the free throw line.
Coming into tonight’s game, the Miami Heat are 7th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 110.9. However, they are just 17th in the league in points allowed per game at home at 113.5.
On the season, opponents have made 58.8% of their three-point attempts vs. the Heat, which is 22nd in the NBA. One interesting note is that in 72.5% of their games, opposing offenses have scored fewer points than their season average vs. Miami.
Over their last five games, the Heat have been 2nd in the league in points allowed at 104.8 per contest. During that stretch, they have been 2nd in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 32.2%.
Heat vs. Spurs Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Devin Vassell and his points prop of 20.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -125. In this game against the Heat, we suggest betting on the under for Devin Vassell and his points prop set at 20.5. Our player projection model anticipates him not reaching his prop, with a projected total of 20.
- The Prop: Devin Vassell Under 20.5 Points (-125)
Heat vs. Spurs Predictions
When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Spurs vs. Heat game, our recommendation is to take the Spurs at +8. Despite our model showing the Heat winning 112-106, we like Spurs as our point-spread pick.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 226.5 and our model has the Spurs and Heat finishing with a combined 218 points. Our pick is to take the under.
The Pick: Spurs +8 | at Fanduel Sportsbook