If you’re looking for Heat vs. Kings predictions, you’ve come to the right place. The Kings are on the move to take on the Heat on Wednesday, Jan 31 at 7:30 ET. At present, the total is set at 231.5, and the Heat are favored by 1.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Heat vs. Kings player props and predictions.
Heat vs. Kings Odds
- Spread: Heat -1.5
- Total 231.5
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Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Jan 31
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: NBCS
Kings Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-0 while averaging 119 points per game.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 4-6 straight up.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 1-4 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous home games, Miami has an ATS mark of 0-3. Their straight up record in these matchups was 0-3 while averaging 97 points per game.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 3-6-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 4-6.
Will the Kings Find a Way to Win in Miami?
So far this season, the Kings are above .500 at 27-18 and will look to build on that in today’s game vs. the Heat. When on the road, the Kings are 13-10 compared to 14-8 when at home.
In their last game, the Kings had a tough time putting the ball in the basket. They scored 103 points and shot 51.2% from the field, which is below their season average of 118.4 points per game. De’Aaron Fox was the leading scorer in their last game with 23 points, while Domantas Sabonis chipped in with 20 points.
On the season, the Kings have given up 117.5 points per game, which is 19th in the league. When playing on the road, Sacramento is allowing 114.2 points per contest, which is 13th in the NBA.
Over their last five games, the Kings have given up 115 points per game, which is 16th in the league during that span. In terms of three-point defense, Sacramento has allowed opponents to make 13.6 threes per game, which is 22nd in the NBA.
When looking at field goal percentage allowed, the Kings are 21st in the league at 48.4%. However, over their last five games, Sacramento has been much better, holding opponents to just 46.2% shooting from the field.
Will the Heat Win at Home?
Coming into today’s game, the Heat are hoping to stay above .500, as they have gone 24-23 through 47 games. At home, the Heat are 12-11 while going 12-12 on the road this season.
In their previous game, the Heat struggled offensively, scoring 105 points while shooting 39.3% from the field. Compared to their season average of 110.4 points per game, this was below their usual output. The Heat are one of the slower paced teams in the NBA, averaging 96.3 possessions per game. When it comes to three-point shooting, they are 18th in attempts and 5th in three-point shooting percentage.
When playing at home this season, the Miami Heat have allowed 115.0 points per game, which is 19th in the league. However, on the road, they have been the best defensive team in the NBA, giving up just 108.5 points per contest. Overall, Miami is 7th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 111.7.
Opposing teams have made fewer threes than their season average in 63.8% of games against the Heat. This season, Miami is 23rd in the NBA in made threes allowed per game at 13.6. In terms of overall field goal percentage allowed, the Heat are 19th in the league at 47.9%.
In terms of steals, Miami is 18th at 7.3 per contest, while they are 30th in blocked shots at 3.4 per game. The Heat are also 28th in the NBA in personal fouls per game.
Heat vs. Kings Player Props
When looking at a player prop for this game, Jimmy Butler has a points prop of 21.5 with both the over and under paying out at -115.
Considering his prop is set at 21.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 22. We anticipate him shooting 46.7% from the field and making one three.
- The Prop: Jimmy Butler Over 21.5 Points (-115)
More NBA Prop Picks For Wednesday
Heat vs. Kings Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Kings are our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 231.5 and given that our model is projecting 226 points between the teams, we like the under.
The Pick: Kings +1.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook