The Nuggets are gearing up to take on the Milwaukee Bucks on Monday, Jan 29. The game is slated for 9:00 ET and will be broadcast on ALT. Denver comes into this game as 4.5-point favorites with the total set at 238.5. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Nuggets vs. Bucks player props and predictions below.
Nuggets vs. Bucks Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -4.5
- Total 238.5
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Game Info
- Date: Monday, Jan 29
- Time: 9:00 ET
- Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
- TV: ALT
Bucks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their five previous road games, Milwaukee has an ATS mark of 0-5. Their straight up record in these matchups was 3-2 while averaging 118 points per game.
- In their last three games as the betting underdog, the Bucks have a straight up record of 0-3 and an ATS mark of 1-2.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games at home, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 2-1 while going 0-2-1 vs the spread. The team averaged 103 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 7-3. But, their mark vs the spread was just 2-7-1.
Taking a Look at the Bucks’ Chances on the Road
Coming into today’s game against the Nuggets, the Bucks are looking to stay above .500 with their 32-14 record. In the Eastern Conference, they are 2nd and are 1st in the Central division.
In their last game, the Bucks put up 141 points against the Pelicans. They shot 56% from the field and made 20 three-pointers. Leading the team in scoring was Giannis Antetokounmpo, who had 30 points. Damian Lillard also chipped in 26 points for the Bucks.
Coming into tonight’s game, the Bucks are 24th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 120.1. On the road, Milwaukee is giving up 121.4 points per contest, which is also 24th in the league.
One area where the Bucks have been solid this season is on the glass. They are 9th in the NBA in rebounds per game and 2nd in defensive rebounds.
Over their last five games, Milwaukee’s defense has been better, ranking 7th in field goal percentage allowed and 2nd in two-point shooting percentage allowed. However, they have struggled to defend the three-point line, giving up 40.5% from beyond the arc during that stretch.
Are the Nuggets Ready for a Home Win?
As they take on the Bucks, the Nuggets are looking to stay above .500, which they are currently at 32-15. When playing on the road, the Nuggets are 14-11 this season while going 18-4 at home.
The Nuggets’ offense is coming off a game where they scored 111 points, which is right in line with their season average of 115.1 points per game. So far this season, the Nuggets’ offense has been efficient on two-point attempts, shooting 56% inside the arc. When it comes to pace, the Nuggets are last in the NBA, averaging 96.1 possessions per game.
When it comes to points allowed per game, the Denver Nuggets defense has been one of the best in the league, ranking 6th overall at 111.0 points per game. At home, they have been even better, ranking 9th at 110.4 points per game.
One area where the Nuggets have excelled is defending the three-point line, allowing opponents to shoot just 35.8% from beyond the arc, which is 3rd best in the NBA. Over their last five games, they have been even better in this area, ranking 2nd in three-point percentage allowed at 30.4%.
Overall, opponents have scored less than their season average in 70.2% of games vs. Denver this season. In terms of made free-throws allowed, they have been solid, ranking 13th at 22.7 made free-throws per game.
Nuggets vs. Bucks Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Giannis Antetokounmpo and his points prop of 31.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -115 while the under is at -119. According to our projections, Giannis Antetokounmpo is expected to record 28 points, 11 rebounds, and 6 assists. Regarding his points prop, we recommend taking the under at 31.5.
- The Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Under 31.5 Points (-119)
Nuggets vs. Bucks Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +4.5, the Bucks are our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the line is currently at 238.5, and our model projects the Bucks and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 241 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
The Pick: Bucks +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook