If you’re looking for Heat vs. Grizzlies predictions, you’ve come to the right place. The Grizzlies are on the move to take on the Heat on Wednesday, Jan 24 at 7:30 ET. At present, the total is set at 212.5, and the Heat are favored by 9.5 at home. Keep reading to get our Heat vs. Grizzlies player props and predictions.
Heat vs. Grizzlies Odds
- Spread: Heat -9.5
- Total 212.5
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Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Jan 24
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: BSSU
Grizzlies Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Memphis has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 109 points per game while allowing 112. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
- The last ten games that Memphis was the underdog, they have an ATS mark of 5-5 while going 5-5 straight up.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last three games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-2 while going 0-2-1 vs. the spread. The team averaged 93 points per game in this stretch.
- Going back to their last ten games as the favorite, the Heat have a straight up record of 6-4. But, their mark vs the spread was just 5-4-1.
Will the Grizzlies Win in Miami?
This season, the Grizzlies have an overall record of 16-27 and have gone 1-2 in their last three games. In the Western Conference, they are 13th overall and are 4th in the Southwest division.
In their most recent game, the Grizzlies put up 108 points vs. the Raptors. They shot 13/34 from beyond the arc and had a field goal percentage of 46.3%. Desmond Bane is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 24.4 PPG, while Jaren Jackson Jr. is right behind him at 21.8 PPG.
So far this season, the Memphis Grizzlies have been a middle of the pack defense, coming in 13th in the NBA in points allowed at 113.3 per game. They have been slightly better on the road, ranking 11th in the league at 114.2 points per game.
Despite being 23rd in rebounds per game, the Grizzlies have been one of the best shot-blocking teams in the league, ranking 3rd in blocked shots per game. They have also been solid at not fouling, coming in 11th in personal fouls per game.
Over their last five games, Memphis has struggled to defend the paint, allowing opponents to shoot 56.8% from two-point range. However, they have done a good job of not sending their opponents to the free-throw line, ranking 8th in made free-throws allowed per game during that stretch.
Will Miami Find a Way to Win at Home?
In the Heat’s last five games, they have gone 2-3 and have an overall record of 24-19. Currently, they are in 6th place in the Eastern Conference and are leading the Southeast division.
The Heat’s offense is coming off a game where they scored just 87 points vs. the Magic. In that game, they shot 12/37 from three and had a field goal percentage of 37.5%. Bam Adebayo is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 21.5 PPG. Terry Rozier is also a scoring threat, coming into the game averaging 23.2 PPG.
When it comes to defense, the Miami Heat have been one of the best units in the league, ranking 5th in points allowed per game at 110.7. At home, they have been even stingier, giving up just 114.0 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA.
Over their last five games, Miami has been even better on the defensive end, allowing just 103.4 points per contest, which is 4th in the league over that span. During that stretch, they have done a great job of taking away the paint, ranking 1st in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 49.3%.
One area where the Heat have been able to limit their opponents is at the free-throw line, giving up just 20.5 made free throws per game, which is 4th in the NBA. In terms of steals, they are 15th in the league at 7.4 per contest.
Heat vs. Grizzlies Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Tyler Herro and his points prop of 21.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -105 while the under is at -125. With his prop at 21.5, our model suggests taking the over as we have him finishing with 23. We have him finishing with a field goal percentage of 47.4% and knocking down three threes.
- The Prop: Tyler Herro Over 21.5 Points (-105)
More NBA Prop Picks For Wednesday
Heat vs. Grizzlies Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +9.5, the Grizzlies are our point-spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 212.5, and given that our model is projecting 221 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Grizzlies +9.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook