The Timberwolves host the Oklahoma City Thunder on Saturday, Jan 20. Today’s game is set for 8:00 ET and will be shown on BSN. Minnesota comes into this game as 3-point favorites with the total set at 228.5. Keep reading to get our Timberwolves vs. Thunder player props and predictions.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Odds
- Spread: Timberwolves -3
- Total 228.5
Exclusive NBA Player Props Special: Saturday, Jan. 20
This is a no-brainer NBA prop for NEW USERS of Sleeper Fantasy on Saturday.
Our partners at Sleeper Fantasy are offering a promotion that allows you to take Anthony Edwards over 0.5 points.
- New customers can also get up to a $500 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
- You can pair this with one of the aforementioned props or use our NBA cheat sheets for help.
- This presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.
To redeem this exclusive offer, simply click here or the banner below.
Game Info
- Date: Saturday, Jan 20
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Target Center, Minneapolis MN
- TV: BSN
Thunder Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Oklahoma City has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 1-2 while averaging 118 points per game.
- Through their last five games as the underdog, the Thunder have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.
Timberwolves Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- The Timberwolves are 2-1 ATS in their last three home games and 2-1 straight-up.
- In their last three games as the betting favorite, the Timberwolves have a strong straight up record of 3-0. In addition, their ATS record was 2-1 in these scenarios.
Is a Road Win Possible for Oklahoma City?
In their last ten games, the Thunder have gone 6-4 and have an overall record of 28-13. In the Western Conference, they are 2nd overall and 2nd in the Northwest division.
In their most recent game against the Jazz, Oklahoma City put up 134 points. This is higher than their average of 122.2 points per game this season. In terms of scoring, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is the team’s leading scorer with 31 points per game, while Jalen Williams is averaging 18.8 PPG.
On the season, the Thunder have been a top defensive team, ranking 14th in the league in points allowed per game at 114.1. They have been especially good at protecting the rim, leading the NBA in blocked shots at 6.4 per game. Opponents have shot just 51.5% on two-point attempts against Oklahoma City, which is also 2nd best in the league.
One area where the Thunder have struggled defensively is from beyond the arc. They are 24th in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.1%. On the season, opponents have made 13.6 threes per game against Oklahoma City, which is 24th in the NBA.
Over their last five games, the Thunder have been even better on the defensive end, ranking 7th in the league in points allowed during that stretch. During that time, opponents have shot just 32.6% from three-point range against Oklahoma City.
Can the Timberwolves Hold Strong at Home?
Coming into today’s game vs. the Thunder, the Timberwolves have a record above .500 and are 30-11. In non-conference games, they are 9-5 and have gone 21-6 vs. Western Conference teams.
In their last game against the Grizzlies, the Timberwolves put up 118 points and shot 54.9% from the field. They also hit 12 threes. Minnesota has the 26th most three-point attempts in the league, but are 3rd in three-point shooting percentage. Overall, the Timberwolves play at a slower pace, averaging 97.9 possessions per game.
When it comes to defense, the Minnesota Timberwolves have been the best in the league, allowing just 107.4 points per game. They have been especially stout at home, giving up only 102.5 points per contest. Over their last five games, they have allowed just 109 points per game.
So far this season, opponents have scored less than their season average in 73.2% of their games vs. Minnesota. In terms of three-point shooting, the Timberwolves have done a good job of defending the three-point line, ranking 5th in three-point shooting percentage allowed.
Overall, opponents have made just 44.6% of their field goal attempts vs. Minnesota, which is tops in the league. Inside the arc, opponents are shooting just 50.2% vs. the Timberwolves.
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his points prop of 30.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -120 while the under is at -110. Based on our projections, Shai Gilgeous-Alexander is expected to go 11/20 from the field, resulting in 32 points. We recommend taking the over on his prop bet, which offers a payout of -120.
- The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 30.5 Points (-120)
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Predictions
In this Thunder vs. Timberwolves matchup, our point-spread bet is on the Thunder at +3. While we project the Timberwolves to win 119-117, our recommendation is to bet on the Thunder for the point spread.
Right now, the over/under line for the game is sitting at 228.5, and given that our model is projecting 236 points between the teams, we like the over.
The Pick: Thunder +3 | at Fanduel Sportsbook