The Heat are gearing up for a showdown against the Atlanta Hawks on Friday, Jan 19. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 8:00 ET and will be broadcast on BSSU. Miami comes into this matchup as 6.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 226.5. Will the Heat manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Heat vs. Hawks predictions.
Heat vs. Hawks Odds
- Spread: Heat -6.5
- Total 226.5
Exclusive NBA Player Prop: Friday, Jan. 19
This is a no-brainer NBA prop for NEW USERS of Sleeper Fantasy on Friday, Jan. 19.
Our partners at Sleeper Fantasy are offering a promotion that allows you to take Anthony Davis over 0.5 points.
- New customers can also get up to a $500 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
- You can pair this with one of the aforementioned props or use our NBA cheat sheets for help.
- This presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.
To redeem this exclusive offer, simply click here or the banner below.
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Jan 19
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: BSSU
Hawks Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Hawks have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last five games away from home, the Hawks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 0-5 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 116 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last five games as the betting underdog, the Hawks have gone 1-4 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 1-4.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last five games at home, the Heat have a straight up record of 2-3 while going 1-3-1 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 100 points per game in these contests.
- Spanning across their last ten games as the betting favorite, the Heat have gone 5-4-1 vs the spread. Their overall record in these games was 7-3.
Will the Hawks Win in Miami?
So far this season, the Hawks are 17-23 overall and have gone 2-1 in their last three games. In games against other Eastern Conference teams, the Hawks are 11-19 while going 6-4 in non-conference games.
In their most recent game, the Hawks scored 106 points against the Magic. They shot 8/25 from beyond the arc and finished with a field goal percentage of 51.3%. Dejounte Murray was the leading scorer for the Hawks vs. the Magic with 26 points. Trae Young also chipped in 18 points for the Hawks.
When it comes to defense, the Atlanta Hawks have struggled this season, coming in at 28th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 123.0. They have not been much better on the road, giving up 122.0 points per game away from home, which is 27th in the league.
Overall, opponents have scored more than their season average in 77.5% of games vs. the Hawks. In terms of three-point shooting, opposing teams have made their season average in 50.0% of games vs. Atlanta.
On the glass, the Hawks are 7th in the league in rebounding, but just 25th in defensive rebounds. They are also 4th in the NBA in steals per game and 22nd in blocked shots.
Can The Heat Secure a Home Victory?
Coming into today’s game against the Hawks, the Heat have an above .500 record of 24-17. When looking at their home and road splits, the Heat are 12-7 at home and 12-10 on the road this season.
The Heat offense scored 97 points in their most recent game vs. the Raptors. They shot 45.6% from the field and hit 6 three-pointers. Bam Adebayo is the team’s leading scorer, averaging 21.5 PPG. Jimmy Butler is also averaging 21.2 PPG.
At home this season, the Miami Heat are allowing 114.3 points per game, which is 17th in the NBA. However, in their last five games, they have been the 4th best defense, giving up just 105.4 points per game.
So far this season, opposing teams have scored less than their season average 70.7% of the time vs. the Heat. In terms of three-point shooting, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 61.0% of their games vs. Miami.
On the season, the Heat are 4th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 110.9. They are also 4th in made free throws allowed per game at 20.4.
Heat vs. Hawks Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is Tyler Herro and his points prop of 22.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -135 while the under is at +105. Based on our projections, Tyler Herro is expected to go 8/19 from the field, resulting in 23 points. We recommend taking the over on his prop bet, which offers a payout of -135.
- The Prop: Tyler Herro Over 22.5 Points (-135)
Heat vs. Hawks Predictions
The Hawks come in as the underdog at +6.5, making them our top choice on the point spread. We not only expect them to cover the spread but also believe they have a strong chance of winning the game outright, especially if you’re aiming for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the over/under, the line is currently at 226.5, and our model projects the Hawks and Heat to reach a combined total of 230 points. Our bet is on taking the over.
The Pick: Hawks +6.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook