Celtics vs. Nuggets Player Props & Predictions – Friday, Jan 19

Dec 25, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) reacts in the fourth quarter against the Golden State Warriors at Ball Arena.
Image Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Celtics are ready to clash with the Denver Nuggets on Friday, Jan 19. Today’s matchup is set to tip off at 7:30 ET and will be televised on ESPN. Boston enters this game as 6.5-point favorites, and the over/under total is currently at 234. Can the Celtics pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Celtics vs. Nuggets predictions.

Celtics vs. Nuggets Odds

  • Spread: Celtics -6.5
  • Total 234

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Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Jan 19
  • Time: 7:30 ET
  • Location: TD Garden, Boston MA
  • TV: ESPN

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous road games, Denver has an ATS mark of 4-6. Their straight up record in these matchups was 6-4 while averaging 116 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Nuggets have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 2-3.

Celtics Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Celtics have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Through their last three home contests, the Celtics offense has averaged 112 points per game while allowing an average of 121. Boston posted an overall record of 1-2 while going 1-2 ATS.
  • The Celtics have played well in their last five games as the betting favorite, going 4-1 straight up and 3-2 against the spread.

Are Denver Ready for a Road Win?

With a 6-4 record in their last ten games, the Nuggets come into today’s game 28-14. In the Western Conference, they are in 3rd place and are also 3rd in the Northwest division.

In their last game, the Nuggets offense scored 121 points against the 76ers while shooting 50.6% from the field and hitting 12 threes. Overall, the Nuggets are 3rd in the NBA with a field goal percentage of 49% and are 6th in three-point percentage. In terms of three-pointers made, they are 24th in the league.

When it comes to defense, the Nuggets have been one of the best units in the league this season. They are currently 7th in the NBA in points allowed per game at 111.4. On the road, they have been even better, ranking 4th in the league at 112.1 points per game.

Denver has done a great job of defending the three-point line this season. They are 3rd in the NBA in three-point shooting percentage allowed at 36.4%. On the season, opponents have made fewer threes than their season average in 71.4% of games vs. the Nuggets.

Over their last five games, the Nuggets have had a tough time defensively, giving up 117.2 points per game. During that stretch, they have struggled to defend the paint, ranking 23rd in two-point shooting percentage allowed at 57.3%.

Is a Home Win Possible for Boston?

Coming into today’s game, the Celtics are 32-9 overall and have gone 4-1 in their last five games. They are 1st in the Eastern Conference and hold the top spot in the Atlantic division.

The Celtics are averaging 120.9 points per game, which is the 5th highest in the league. In 68.3% of their games, the Celtics have scored more than their opponent’s average points allowed. Jayson Tatum scored 24 points while Jrue Holiday added 22 points in the Celtics’ most recent game against the Spurs.

When it comes to defense, the Celtics are one of the best in the league, ranking 5th in points allowed per game at 110.9. They have been especially strong at home, where they are giving up just 108.4 points per contest.

One area where Boston has excelled is in limiting opponents’ free-throw attempts. On the season, they are giving up just 19.6 made free-throws per game, which is the best mark in the NBA.

Over their last five games, the Celtics have been even stingier, allowing just 112.4 points per game. During that stretch, they have also been the top three-point defense, holding opponents to just 28.1% from beyond the arc.

Celtics vs. Nuggets Player Props

A player prop we are looking at is Nikola Jokic and his points prop of 25.5.

Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -140 while the under is at +110. Our projections have Nikola Jokic going 10/17 from the field on his way to 26 points. Our recommended bet is to take the over on his prop bet with a payout of -140.

  • The Prop: Nikola Jokic Over 25.5 Points (-140)

Celtics vs. Nuggets Predictions

Coming in as the underdogs at +6.5, we have the Nuggets as the way to go on the point spread. Not only do we have them covering, but our projections show they have a good one of winning this one straight-up if you’re looking for a higher payout on the moneyline.

Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 234, and our model predicts the Nuggets and Celtics to score a combined 237 points. We recommend betting on the over.

The Pick: Nuggets +6.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook