Are you in need of Heat vs. Thunder predictions? Well, you’re in the right place as the Thunder are on the road to face the Heat on Wednesday, Jan 10 at 7:30 ET. The current total is 234.5, and the Thunder are favored by 4.5. Below you’ll find our Heat vs. Thunder player props and predictions.
Heat vs. Thunder Odds
- Spread: Thunder -4.5
- Total 234.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Jan 10
- Time: 7:30 ET
- Location: Kaseya Center, Miami FL
- TV: BSSU
Thunder Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past three road matchups, Oklahoma City has an ATS record of 0-3 while averaging 129 per game. The team went 1-2 overall in these games.
- Through their last five games as the favorite, the Thunder have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 4-1.
Heat Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Heat have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Across the Heat last five home games, the team averaged 106 points per game while allowing 109. Their record vs the spread in these contests was 2-3, while going 2-3 straight-up.
- Going back to their last three games as the underdog, the Heat have a straight up record of 1-2. But, their mark vs the spread was just 1-2.
Pressure Builds for Oklahoma City as Away Favorites
With their 24-11 record, the Thunder are above .500 and are looking to add to that today against the Heat. In their 35 games, the Thunder have gone 14-8 vs. Western Conference teams and are 10-3 in non-conference play.
In their most recent game, the Thunder scored 136 points, which is higher than their season average of 122.2 points per game. Shai Gilgeous-Alexander was the team’s leading scorer with 32 points, while Chet Holmgren added 31 points.
On the season, the Thunder are 15th in points allowed per game at 114.6. Opponents have made 36.5% of their three-point attempts vs. the Thunder, which is 24th in the NBA. In terms of steals, Oklahoma City is 2nd at 8.3 per contest.
When looking at their season average, opponents have scored less than their season average vs. the Thunder in 51.4% of games. However, in terms of made free throws, opponents have made 25.4 per game, which is 27th in the league.
Over their last five games, the Thunder have been better from the field, allowing opponents to shoot 45.7%. However, they have struggled to keep opponents off the free-throw line, allowing 25.6 made free throws per game in their last five contests.
Do the Heat Have What it Takes at Home?
When looking at their overall record of 21-15, the Heat have gone 2-1 in their last three games. On the road, the Heat are 11-9 compared to a 10-6 record at home.
In their last game, the Heat scored 120 points which is above their season average of 112.7 PPG. Bam Adebayo is the team’s leading scorer at 22 PPG while Jimmy Butler is right behind him at 21 PPG.
So far this season, the Heat have been a top-10 defense, allowing just 111.6 points per game. However, at home, they have struggled, giving up 116.2 points per contest, which ranks 21st in the league.
One area where Miami has excelled is at the free-throw line, as they are allowing just 20.9 made free throws per game, which is the 4th fewest in the NBA.
Over their last five games, the Heat have been even better from beyond the arc, allowing opponents to shoot just 32.5% from three-point range.
Heat vs. Thunder Player Prop
When looking at a player prop for this game, Tyler Herro has a points prop of 23.5 with both the over and under paying out at -117. Our projections have Tyler Herro finishing with a stat line of 23 points, 5 and 4 assists. As for his points prop, we like the under at 23.5.
- The Prop: Tyler Herro Under 23.5 Points (-117)
Heat vs. Thunder Predictions
For a point-spread wager in this Thunder vs. Heat game, we suggest taking the Heat at +4.5. Even though our predictions have the Thunder winning 116-113, we see the Heat as the better choice on the point-spread.
Regarding the over/under, the current line is set at 234.5, and our model predicts the Thunder and Heat to score a combined 229 points. We recommend betting on the under.
The Pick: Heat +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook