For Week 5, our Props analysts have taken a deep dive into the world of NFL PrizePicks predictions to bring you the top five picks of this slate.
We’ll have an updated version of this PrizePicks cheat sheet for every week of the NFL season.
Best PrizePicks Predictions: Week 5
- Pick 1: Colts K Matt Gay Under 1.5 FG Made
- Pick 2: 49ers QB Brock Purdy Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Pick 3: Patriots WR JuJu Smith-Schuster Under 29.5 Receiving Yards
- Pick 4: Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
- Pick 5: Texans RB Dameon Pierce Under 53.5 Rushing Yards
The rationale for each of these PrizePicks bets is listed below.
Keep in mind that the lines can move quickly on PrizePicks, so there’s a chance not all of these props are available if you are viewing the article later in the day.
Top PrizePicks Predictions For Week 5
Colts K Matt Gay Under 1.5 FG Made
- Gay has gone under this line in 3 of the first 4 games of the season
- Barstool has this prop listed at -140 but we can get it for -119 at PrizePicks
- The Colts face a below-average Texans defense, so converting red-zone opportunities into TDs shouldn’t be an issue.
49ers QB Brock Purdy Under 1.5 Passing Touchdowns
- Purdy has gone under this line in 2 of the first 4 games of the season
- BetMGM has this line listed at -135 but we can get it for -119 at PrizePicks when we do a Pick 5.
- Purdy faces the Cowboys, who lead the NFL in points per game allowed, passer rating allowed, and QB pressure rate.
Patriots WR JuJu Smith-Schuster Under 29.5 Receiving Yards
- Smith-Schuster has gone under this line in 3 of the first 4 games of the season
- The Patriots face a defense that is ranked 10th in expected points against (EPA).
- DraftKings has this line listed at -150 but we can get for -119 at PrizePicks.
Jaguars WR Calvin Ridley Under 59.5 Receiving Yards
- Ridley has gone under this line in 3 of the first 4 games of the season.
- Caesars has this listed at Under 56.5 (-129) but we can get it for -119 at PrizePicks.
- Ridley will face a top-tier Bills defense that has a DVOA of 59.1%, one of the highest through four games.
Texans RB Dameon Pierce Under 53.5 Rushing Yards
- Pierce has gone under this line 3 in the first 4 games of the season.
- In Week 4, even though Pierce rushed for 81 yards, it took 24 carries and perfect game flow to accumulate.
- Pierce is averaging just 2.8 yards per rushing attempt this season.
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More NFL Props & Predictions
Props.com is stepping up its game for NFL Week 5 by offering a range of articles focused on props and picks, like the following:
