Warriors vs. Pacers Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Friday, Mar 22

Jan 21, 2024; Phoenix, Arizona, USA; Indiana Pacers guard Andrew Nembhard (2) dribbles against the Phoenix Suns during the second half at Footprint Center.
Image Credit: Joe Camporeale-USA TODAY Sports

The Warriors are gearing up to take on the Indiana Pacers on Friday, Mar 22. The game is slated for 10:00 ET and will be broadcast on NBCS. Golden State comes into this game as 4.5-point favorites with the total set at 240. How will this matchup unfold? Let’s get into the Warriors vs. Pacers predictions below.

Warriors vs. Pacers Odds

  • Spread: Warriors -4.5
  • Total 240

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Mar 22
  • Time: 10:00 ET
  • Location: Chase Center, San Francisco CA
  • TV: NBCS

Pacers Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Pacers have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • When looking at their past three road matchups, Indiana has an ATS record of 3-0 while averaging 118 per game. The team went 3-0 overall in these games.
  • Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Pacers have a straight up record of 6-4. Their record vs the spread in these games was 7-3.

Warriors Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Warriors have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
  • Across their ten previous home games, Golden State has an ATS mark of 8-2. Their straight up record in these matchups was 8-2 while averaging 118 points per game.
  • The last ten games that Golden State was favored, they have an ATS mark of 6-4 while going 6-4 straight up.

Can the Pacers Lock in a Road Win?

Indiana has won their last four games on the road and have an ATS record of 19-14 on the road. As the underdog, they are 21-12 ATS and have covered the spread in three straight games as the underdog.

The Pacers’ O/U record for the season is 35-35, and the under has hit in their last three games. On average, their games have finished with 243.5 points.

In their most recent game, the Pacers defeated the Pistons by a score of 122-103. The O/U line for that game was 235.5, and Indiana covered the spread as 11-point favorites.

Currently, the Pacers are 6th in the Eastern Conference with a record of 39-31. Against other Eastern Conference teams, they are 28-17 and 11-14 in non-conference games.

Indiana is 3rd in the Central Division, and on the road, they have a record of 18-16. As the underdog, they are 19-16 and 21-12 ATS as the underdog.

When it comes to scoring, the Pacers are the top-ranked team in the NBA, averaging 122.8 points per game. They have been even better on the road, averaging 120.4 points per game away from home.

Indiana’s offense is also one of the most efficient in the league, shooting 50% from the field (1st) and ranking 4th in true shooting percentage. They have been especially effective inside the arc, making 58% of their two-point attempts (1st).

So far this season, the Pacers have outscored the NBA scoring average in 71.4% of their games. However, they have struggled at the free-throw line, ranking 22nd in free-throw attempts and 20th in free throws made.

At this time, the Pacers’ defense is positioned 28th in the NBA, permitting 120.7 points per game. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Pacers are forcing 12.5 per game, which is 14th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 7th in blocked shots at 5.8 per game.

Will Golden State Make it Happen at Home?

The Warriors have a record of 36-32 this season, which has them in 10th place in the Western Conference. In games vs. the Western Conference, they are 19-23 compared to 17-9 against the East.

Golden State has an ATS record of 37-30 this season, going 22-10 on the road and 15-20 at home. As the favorite, they are 22-22 ATS and 15-8 ATS as the underdog.

On average, Warriors games have finished with 235.4 points per game, and today’s O/U line is set at 240. Their last three games have gone over the O/U line.

In their most recent game, the Warriors defeated the Grizzlies by a score of 137-116. They were favored by 11.5 points in that game and covered the spread. The O/U line for that game was 219.5.

The Warriors are one of the best three-point shooting teams in the league, ranking 2nd in both three-point makes and attempts per game. They are shooting 37% from beyond the arc this season.

Golden State is 7th in the league in scoring at 118.6 points per game. However, at home, they are averaging 118.1 points per game compared to 119.1 on the road.

When it comes to pace, the Warriors are 8th in the NBA at 99.9 possessions per game. In terms of field goal percentage, they are shooting 47% which is 15th in the league.

Coming into today’s game, the Warriors’ defense is giving up an average of 116.8 points per contest. On two point field goal attempts, the Warriors’ defensive unit is allowing a field goal percentage of 54.5% and allowing 35.8% from beyond the arc.

Warriors vs. Pacers Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Stephen Curry and his points prop of 27.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -119 while the under is at -115. Our model predicts that Stephen Curry will finish with 24 points, 4 rebounds, and 5. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 27.5.

  • The Prop: Stephen Curry Under 27.5 Points (-115)

Warriors vs. Pacers Predictions

Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +4.5, the Pacers is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 240 and our model has the Pacers and Warriors finishing with a combined 224 points. Our pick is to take the under.

The Pick: Pacers +4.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook