Maple Leafs vs. Senators Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Dec. 07

Nov 24 2023; Ottawa, Ontario, CAN; Ottawa Senators right wing Drake Batherson (19) shoots the puck in the third period againstthe New York Islanders at the Canadian Tire Centre.
Image Credot: Marc DesRosiers-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the Ottawa Senators.

The Toronto Maple Leafs (12-6-4) are set to face off against the Ottawa Senators (10-10-0) in a battle of Ontario teams. With both squads looking to assert their dominance in the Atlantic Division, this matchup promises to be an intense affair.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Odds Info

Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -135 (DraftKings) / Ottawa Senators +114 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +180 (BetMGM) / Ottawa Senators -205 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.5 – +115 (Bet365) / -135 (DraftKings)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Dec. 07

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Canadian Tire Centre – Ottawa, ON


Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 5 wins and 5 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 11 wins and 10 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 12 overs and 10 unders.

Ottawa Senators Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Ottawa Senators have 8 wins and 7 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Ottawa Senators have 4 wins and 5 losses.
  • This season, the Ottawa Senators have hit 13 overs and 7 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Ottawa Senators have faced off in a total of five games, with the Maple Leafs securing three victories to the Senators’ two. The visiting team has demonstrated a strong performance, claiming four out of the five games, while the home team has only managed to win once. When it comes to betting statistics, the Senators have shown a propensity to cover the spread, doing so in four games, whereas the Maple Leafs have only beaten the spread once. In terms of the over/under betting line, the total score has exceeded the projected over/under three times (“Over”) and fallen short twice (“Under”). The games have seen a range of final score spreads, from a close one-point difference to a more decisive five-point gap. The goalies from both teams have faced a significant number of shots, with the highest shots against reaching 52 in one game. The save percentages across these matchups have varied, with the highest being a perfect 1.0 (or 100%) and the lowest recorded at 0.778.

The most recent encounter between the two teams took place on November 8, 2023, where the Toronto Maple Leafs emerged victorious with a final score of 6-3 over the Ottawa Senators. In this game, the Senators were the underdogs with a closing moneyline of +143, while the Maple Leafs were favored with a closing moneyline of -176. Despite the odds, the Senators managed to outperform expectations by winning the game and also covering the spread, which was set at -1.5 for the Maple Leafs. The total score of 9 points meant that the game ended with an “Over” result against a closing over/under of 6.5. The Senators’ goalie, Joonas Korpisalo, faced 30 shots and made 27 saves, resulting in a save percentage of 0.9. On the other side, the Maple Leafs’ Joseph Woll faced 27 shots, saving 21, which left him with a save percentage of 0.778. The Senators also had the edge in shifts with 411 compared to the Maple Leafs’ 404, and both teams had a similar number of shots on goal, with the Senators at 27 and the Maple Leafs at 30.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Predictions

The Maple Leafs, currently on a one-game losing streak, are aiming to bounce back and climb higher in the Atlantic Division standings. With star center Auston Matthews leading the team in goals and right winger William Nylander topping the points chart, Toronto’s offensive firepower will be crucial in this game. However, their recent performance against the spread has been lackluster, winning only once in their last five attempts, which could be a concern heading into this matchup.

On the other side, the Senators are coming into this game with a two-game winning streak and a .500 win percentage. The team’s success has been bolstered by the impressive play of left winger Brady Tkachuk and center Tim Stutzle, who lead the team in goals and points, respectively. Ottawa’s recent ability to cover the spread, doing so in four out of their last five games, indicates a competitive edge that could prove vital in this encounter.

Defensively, both teams have had their struggles, but the Senators have shown improvement in recent games. The Maple Leafs will need to tighten up their defense and rely on their goaltending to withstand the Senators’ attack. With the Senators playing at home and the Maple Leafs having a better road record than at home, the dynamics of home-ice advantage will be tested. This game could very well come down to key player matchups and which team can capitalize on their opportunities.

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Pick

Considering the Ottawa Senators’ recent form and their ability to consistently cover the spread, especially at home, they present a compelling case for a moneyline bet. The Senators have shown resilience and a knack for upsetting the odds, as evidenced by their performance in the last head-to-head matchup against the Maple Leafs, where they emerged victorious despite being the underdogs. With the Senators on a two-game winning streak and the Maple Leafs struggling against the spread in recent games, the momentum appears to be in Ottawa’s favor. Additionally, the Senators’ ability to perform well as underdogs, covering the spread in three out of their last five games in that position, suggests they have the competitive edge needed to take on Toronto’s challenge.

The Maple Leafs, while possessing a strong offensive lineup, have shown vulnerability on the road, and their recent ATS record indicates potential issues with consistency. The Senators’ home record and their recent trend of hitting the over in scoring suggest they can capitalize on any defensive lapses by Toronto. Given the Senators’ performance in front of their home crowd and their demonstrated ability to rise to the occasion against higher-ranked teams, betting on the Ottawa Senators’ moneyline is a calculated risk with a potentially rewarding outcome, making it the right pick for this game.

The Pick: Ottawa Senators +114. (DraftKings)

Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Ottawa Senators Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Ottawa Senators

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Drake Batherson Points 0.5 7/10 -130 +100 1.2 1.09