We have your Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Arizona Coyotes prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Toronto Maple Leafs hit the road to face the Arizona Coyotes.
The Toronto Maple Leafs (30-16-8) are set to face off against the Arizona Coyotes (23-28-4) in an intriguing matchup. As the Maple Leafs look to extend their four-game winning streak, the Coyotes are desperate to snap a ten-game skid.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Arizona Coyotes Odds Info
Moneyline: Toronto Maple Leafs -196 (FanDuel) / Arizona Coyotes +170 (BetRivers)
Puck Line: +1.5 – Toronto Maple Leafs +125 (FanDuel) / Arizona Coyotes -142 (DraftKings)
Total: 6.5 – +110 (DraftKings) / -122 (FanDuel)
Game Info
Date: Wednesday, Feb. 21
Time: 10:00 PM
Location: Mullett Arena – Tempe, AZ
TV: ESPN+
Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends
- This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 30 overs and 24 unders.
- On the road this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 13 overs and 14 unders.
- As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 26 overs and 21 unders.
Arizona Coyotes Betting Trends
- This season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 31 overs and 24 unders.
- At home this season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 15 overs and 13 unders.
- As the underdog this season, the Arizona Coyotes have hit 26 overs and 18 unders.
Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis
Over the last three seasons, the Toronto Maple Leafs and the Arizona Coyotes have faced off four times, with the Coyotes emerging victorious in each encounter. These matchups span from January 2022 to December 2022, showcasing a surprising dominance by the Coyotes over the Maple Leafs despite the latter often entering the games as favorites, indicated by their lower moneyline odds. In terms of betting statistics, the Coyotes have consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in all four games. The over/under results are evenly split, with two games going over and two games going under the set point totals. Notably, the Coyotes have demonstrated a strong defensive performance, particularly in the January 2022 game where their goaltender saved 45 out of 46 shots, contributing to their underdog wins. The Maple Leafs, despite their losses, have shown a consistent offensive effort, as evidenced by their high shot counts, but have struggled to convert these opportunities into victories.
The most recent game between the two teams took place on December 29, 2022, where the Arizona Coyotes secured a 6-3 win over the Toronto Maple Leafs. The Coyotes, playing at home, were considered underdogs with a closing moneyline of +246, yet they managed to overcome the odds. The game began with a quick goal from Nick Bjugstad of the Coyotes, followed by a brief lead by the Maple Leafs, who scored twice in the first period. However, the Coyotes took control in the third period, scoring four goals to seal their victory. The Coyotes capitalized on their power play opportunities, scoring once, and showed a strong presence in the faceoff circle, winning 29 out of 53 faceoffs. The Maple Leafs, despite a higher shot count of 32 compared to the Coyotes’ 23, were unable to leverage their offensive play into a win, with their goaltender saving only 17 out of 23 shots, reflecting a save percentage of 0.81.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Arizona Coyotes Predictions
The Maple Leafs are coming into this game with high spirits, having won their last four games. Their offense is spearheaded by center Auston Matthews, who leads the NHL with 49 goals, and right winger William Nylander, who tops the team with 43 assists. Toronto’s power play has been a significant asset, and their ability to capitalize on special teams could be a deciding factor in this game. Despite some struggles on the road earlier in the season, the Maple Leafs have found their stride away from home, boasting a 15-6-6 record on the road.
Conversely, the Arizona Coyotes are in a slump, with their losing streak reaching double digits. The team has been struggling on both ends of the ice, but they have a glimmer of hope in right winger Clayton Keller, who leads the team with 22 goals and 51 points. The Coyotes will need Keller and the rest of the squad to step up if they hope to challenge the Maple Leafs. Arizona’s defense and goaltending will be under scrutiny, especially after allowing six goals in their last outing against the Edmonton Oilers.
This game will also be a battle of special teams and goaltending. The Maple Leafs’ power play unit, ranked among the best in the league, will test the Coyotes’ penalty kill. On the flip side, the Coyotes will need to improve their power play efficiency to take advantage of any opportunities. The goaltending matchup will be critical, with Toronto’s Ilya Samsonov looking to continue his winning streak against Arizona’s netminders, who are trying to rebound from recent performances. This game could be a turning point for the Coyotes or a chance for the Maple Leafs to solidify their playoff positioning.
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Arizona Coyotes Pick
The over is a compelling pick for this matchup, especially considering the offensive firepower of the Toronto Maple Leafs and the defensive struggles of the Arizona Coyotes. The Maple Leafs have hit the over in 30 of their games this season, and their ability to score in bunches, led by Auston Matthews, makes them a constant threat. Additionally, the Coyotes have seen the over hit in 31 of their games, which suggests that their games tend to be high-scoring affairs. With the Coyotes’ recent trend of allowing a significant number of goals, particularly in their last game where they conceded six, the Maple Leafs’ potent offense is likely to capitalize on any defensive lapses.
Historically, the head-to-head matchups have seen an even split in over/under outcomes, but the most recent game resulted in a combined total of nine goals, leaning towards an over scenario. Given that the Coyotes are on a ten-game losing streak and have been unable to contain their opponents’ scoring, there’s a strong chance that this game could follow a similar pattern to their last encounter. The Maple Leafs’ current form and the Coyotes’ need to break out of their slump could lead to an open, offensive game, making the over a solid pick for this contest.
The Pick: Over 6.5 -122 (FanDuel)
Toronto Maple Leafs vs. Arizona Coyotes Player Prop Picks
Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.
Arizona Coyotes
Player Name | Prop | Line | Over Rate | Over Odds | Under Odds | Last 10 Average | Projection |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Lawson Crouse | Shots On Goal | 1.5 | 8/10 | -195 | +150 | 2.5 | 2.39 |
Nick Bjugstad | Shots On Goal | 1.5 | 7/10 | -180 | +140 | 2.4 | 2.24 |