Thunder vs. Mavericks Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Wednesday, May 15

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander #2 of the Oklahoma City Thunder in action during a game against the Utah Jazz at Vivint Arena on February 28, 2023 in Salt Lake City, Utah.
Image Credit: Alex Goodlett/Getty Images

For your Thunder vs. Mavericks predictions needs, we’ve got you covered as the Mavericks hit the road to face the Thunder on Wednesday, May 15 at 9:30 ET. Currently, the total sits at 213.5, with the Thunder favored by 4 at home. Keep reading to get our Thunder vs. Mavericks player props and predictions.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Odds

  • Spread: Thunder -4
  • Total 213.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Wednesday, May 15
  • Time: 9:30 ET
  • Location: Paycom Center, Oklahoma City OK
  • TV: TNT

Mavericks Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Mavericks have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Dallas has played well in their previous 5 road games, going 3-2 straight up. In this stretch, they averaged 106 points per game while allowing 104. The team also performed well vs the spread at 3-2.
  • Through their last five games as the underdog, the Mavericks have an ATS record of 3-2 and a straight up mark of 3-2.

Thunder Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Thunder have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • In their last ten games at home, the Thunder have a straight up record of 6-4 while going 4-6 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 107 points per game in these contests.
  • The Thunder have played well in their last three games as the betting favorite, going 2-1 straight up and 2-1 against the spread.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander had a big game for the Thunder in their 100-96 win over the Mavericks in the most recent game of this series. Gilgeous-Alexander poured in 34 points and also had five assists and eight rebounds. Chet Holmgren also had 18 points for the Thunder. P.J. Washington led the Mavericks with 21 points.

Heading into the game, the Mavericks were favored by 1.5 and failed to cover the spread. Dallas was held to just 40.9% shooting from the field and 34.3% from three-point range. The teams also fell 18.5 points short of the over/under line of 214.5 points.

Are the Mavericks Ready for a Win at Oklahoma City?

The Mavericks have an O/U record of 41-51-0 this season, and the under has hit in their last two games. Today’s O/U line of 213.5 is lower than 88 of their previous games, and the average O/U line in their games is 232.6 points.

Against the spread, the Mavericks are 54-38 this season, going 30-16 ATS on the road and 24-22 ATS at home. As the underdog, their ATS record is 17-17, and they are 14-20 as the underdog straight-up.

In their last game, the Mavericks lost to the Thunder by a score of 100-96. They were favored by 1.5 points in that game, and it was their second straight loss to the Thunder.

In the Western Conference standings, the Mavericks are currently in 5th place with a record of 50-32. Within the Southwest Division, they are in 1st place. On the road, the Mavericks are 28-18 compared to 28-18 at home.

On average, Mavericks games have seen 230.8 points scored this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 213.5, and the Mavericks are 14-20 as the underdog this season.

Dallas heads into tonight’s game ranked 4th in made threes per game at 14.6 per contest. Their overall field goal percentage of 48% is 11th best in the league. The Mavericks are 8th in scoring at 117.9 points per game.

Luka Doncic is averaging 33.9 points per game this season but has just 23.2 points per game in his last five games. In this stretch, he shot 37.9% from the field and 25.6% from downtown. Over his last five games, P.J. Washington has hit 4.6 threes per game and 20.2 points.

On the season, the Mavericks are giving up 114.3 points per game (17th). On the road, they are giving up 115.0 points per contest (16th).

Over their last five games, the Mavericks have been even better on the defensive end, allowing just 105.8 points per game (9th).

One area where the Mavericks have struggled this season is at the free-throw line. Over their last five games, they have allowed 20 made free-throws per game (28th).

Can Oklahoma City Pull Off a Home Win?

Today’s over/under line of 213.5 is lower than the Thunder’s season average of 230.6. This year, 87 of their games have had higher over/under lines than 213.5, and their games have averaged 230.1 points per game.

Oklahoma City has hit the under in their last two games and has an O/U record of 46-43-1 for the season. In their most recent game against the Mavericks, the teams combined for just 196 points, falling short of the 214.5 O/U line.

The Thunder are 52-38 against the spread this season, including a 29-16 record at home and 23-22 on the road. As the favorite, they are 39-28 ATS and 52-15 straight-up. Today, they are favored by 4 points.

Oklahoma City is currently in 1st place in the Western Conference with a record of 57-25. Against other Western Conference teams, they are 36-16 and 21-9 in non-conference games.

In their last game against the Mavericks, the Thunder won by a score of 100-96. They were 1.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them an ATS win. The O/U line for that game was 214.5.

Shai Gilgeous-Alexander has been carrying the Thunder offense of late, averaging 30.2 points per game in his last five games. Over this stretch, he shot 46.5% from the field. Jalen Williams is averaging 18.4 points per game in his last five games to go along with 5.4 assists. For the season, Chet Holmgren is averaging 16.5 points and 7.9 rebounds.

Overall, the Thunder are averaging 120.1 points per game this season, which is the 3rd best mark in the league. They are also the 2nd best scoring team at home, putting up 122.1 points per contest. Oklahoma City is 3rd in team field goal percentage and 2nd in true shooting percentage.

Coming into tonight’s game, the Thunder are 9th in the league in points allowed per game at 111.2. Over their last five games, they have been even better, giving up just 100.8 points per game, which is 3rd in the NBA over that stretch.

One area where Oklahoma City has been dominant all season is in the steals and blocked shots department. They are 1st in the league in both categories. In terms of field goal percentage allowed, the Thunder are 1st in the NBA at 45.2%. Over their last five games, they have been even better, holding opponents to just 41.5% shooting from the field.

On the season, opposing teams have made 13.2 three-pointers per game vs. the Thunder. That number is 21st in the league. However, over their last five games, Oklahoma City has been much better at defending the three-point line, ranking 11th in three-point percentage allowed.

Thunder vs. Mavericks Player Prop

A player prop we are looking at is Shai Gilgeous-Alexander and his points prop of 31.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -127 while the under is at -108. Considering his prop is set at 31.5, our model recommends taking the over, as we expect him to finish with 37. We anticipate him shooting 52.0% from the field and making two threes.

  • The Prop: Shai Gilgeous-Alexander Over 31.5 Points (-127)

Thunder vs. Mavericks Predictions

When looking to get a point-spread pick down in this Mavericks vs. Thunder game, our recommendation is to take the Mavericks at +4. Despite our model showing the Thunder winning 115-114, we like Mavericks as our point-spread pick.

As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 213.5 and our model has the Mavericks and Thunder finishing with a combined 229 points. Our pick is to take the over.

The Pick: Mavericks +4 | at Fanduel Sportsbook