Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Tuesday, Mar. 19

Sep 27, 2023; Las Vegas, Nevada, USA; Vegas Golden Knights center Jack Eichel (9) shoots against the Los Angeles Kings during the second period at T-Mobile Arena
Image Credit: Stephen R. Sylvanie-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Tampa Bay Lightning hit the road to face the Vegas Golden Knights.

The Tampa Bay Lightning (36-25-6) are set to clash with the Vegas Golden Knights (36-24-7) in a high-stakes matchup. With both teams neck and neck in their respective conference standings, this game could be crucial for playoff positioning.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Odds Info

Moneyline: Tampa Bay Lightning +118 (FanDuel) / Vegas Golden Knights -135 (Bet365)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Tampa Bay Lightning -225 (BetRivers) / Vegas Golden Knights +180 (BetRivers)

Total: 6.5 – -120 (BetRivers) / -103 (BetRivers)

Game Info

Date: Tuesday, Mar. 19

Time: 09:00 PM

Location: T-Mobile Arena – Las Vegas, NV


Tampa Bay Lightning Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 15 wins and 18 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have 13 wins and 15 losses.
  • This season, the Tampa Bay Lightning have hit 35 overs and 32 unders.

Vegas Golden Knights Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have 21 wins and 12 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Vegas Golden Knights have 22 wins and 20 losses.
  • This season, the Vegas Golden Knights have hit 33 overs and 34 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last two seasons, the Tampa Bay Lightning and the Vegas Golden Knights have faced off three times, with the Golden Knights emerging victorious in two of those encounters. These matchups occurred within the regular season games of the 2022-2023 and 2023-2024 seasons. The home team has had the upper hand, winning two out of the three games. When it comes to betting statistics, the Vegas Golden Knights have consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in all three games, while the Lightning have not won against the spread in any of the meetings. Additionally, each of these games has been a high-scoring affair, with the total score surpassing the over-under line set by bookmakers on all three occasions. Key statistics from these games show a trend of offensive strength, with the total score of all three games combined reaching 21 goals, indicating an average of 7 goals per game. The Lightning and the Golden Knights have demonstrated their ability to score both at even strength and on special teams, with power play goals contributing to the tallies in each game.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on December 21, 2023, and saw the Tampa Bay Lightning narrowly defeat the Vegas Golden Knights with a final score of 5-4. This closely contested game was characterized by a strong comeback from the Lightning, who overcame a two-goal deficit after the first period to take the lead in the second. The Golden Knights managed to tie the game in the third period, but a last-minute goal by the Lightning sealed their victory. The Lightning’s power play was particularly effective, converting on 50% of their opportunities. The game also featured a balanced faceoff battle, with both teams winning approximately half of the draws. The Lightning’s Nicholas Paul scored the decisive goal with just 13 seconds left on the clock, highlighting the game’s intense competitiveness and the offensive capabilities of both teams.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Predictions

The Tampa Bay Lightning head into the T-Mobile Arena on a three-game winning streak, looking to continue their push up the Eastern Conference standings. With star right winger Nikita Kucherov leading the team in goals (40), assists (74), and points (114), the Lightning’s offense has been electric. However, they’ll be tested against a Golden Knights team that has been formidable at home, boasting a 21-10-2 record at the T-Mobile Arena. The Lightning’s ability to capitalize on power plays could be a deciding factor, as they face a Golden Knights squad that has shown resilience in bouncing back from deficits.

The Vegas Golden Knights, on the other hand, are coming off a win and aim to leverage their home-ice advantage to climb higher in the Western Conference. Jonathan Marchessault has been a goal-scoring machine for Vegas, netting 37 goals this season, while center Jack Eichel has been a key playmaker with 30 assists. The Golden Knights will need to tighten their defense, which has been a concern recently, to contain the Lightning’s potent attack. This game could come down to goaltending and which team can better execute their game plan on special teams.

This matchup also features a battle of the special teams, with both squads looking to exploit any power-play opportunities. The Lightning’s recent run has been bolstered by their offensive depth, while the Golden Knights have relied on their ability to win close games. Fans can expect a tightly contested game with playoff atmosphere intensity, as both teams are eager to secure a victory that could have significant implications for their postseason aspirations.

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Pick

The Tampa Bay Lightning come into this game with a three-game winning streak and a potent offense led by Nikita Kucherov, who has been exceptional this season with 40 goals and 74 assists. Despite the Vegas Golden Knights’ strong home record, the Lightning’s recent performance and offensive depth give them the edge. Additionally, the Lightning’s effective power play, converting on 50% of their opportunities in their last meeting, could be a significant advantage against the Golden Knights’ defense, which has shown some vulnerability.

While the historic head-to-head favors the Golden Knights, the Lightning’s current form and the high stakes of this matchup suggest a different outcome. The Lightning have demonstrated their ability to come from behind and secure wins in close games, as evidenced by their last-minute victory in the most recent game against the Golden Knights. Given the odds and recent trends, a moneyline bet on the Tampa Bay Lightning is the right pick, as they have the momentum and the offensive firepower to overcome the Golden Knights in this crucial encounter.

The Pick: Tampa Bay Lightning +118 (FanDuel)

Tampa Bay Lightning vs. Vegas Golden Knights Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Tampa Bay Lightning

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nikita Kucherov Assists 0.5 10/10 -150 +120 1.6 1.20
Steven Stamkos Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -115 -115 2.9 2.88
Victor Hedman Points 0.5 7/10 -166 +130 1.3 1.20
Victor Hedman Assists 0.5 7/10 -130 +100 1.0 0.97
Brayden Point Points 0.5 8/10 -210 +160 1.5 1.20
Anthony Duclair Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -166 +130 2.8 2.77
Brandon Hagel Points 0.5 7/10 -140 +110 0.9 0.86

Vegas Golden Knights

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Noah Hanifin Shots On Goal 1.5 9/10 -195 +150 2.7 2.40
Jack Eichel Shots On Goal 3.5 8/10 -115 -115 4.6 4.55
Shea Theodore Assists 0.5 8/10 +124 -160 1.1 1.11
Shea Theodore Points 0.5 8/10 -105 -125 1.1 1.11
William Karlsson Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 +100 -130 3.2 3.16