PrizePicks College Football Props Week 14: Wake Up And Smell The Overs

Wake Forest quarterback Sam Hartman looks downfield in a 2021 home game.
Image Credit: Reinhold Matay-USA TODAY Sports

Our top play last week, Sean Clifford, sailed over his passing yardage prop. We ended up with another solid 4-2 set in those selected PrizePicks college football props. 

Things are looking up with a 29-18 record over the past seven weeks. Somewhere around 62% is not too shabby. Let’s zoom out a little bit and keep that momentum going. As usual, we will turn to PrizePicks for these listings.

PrizePicks is technically a fantasy sports site, although they allow you to wager on a series of prop bets within their platform. They are legal in 30 states as well, including some places that don’t allow sports betting at the moment. 

You can read more details on how and where to play Prizepicks by clicking here. 

Another cool thing about PrizePicks is that they have college football props listed. I have perused those lines to find the best College Football Props for Week 14 – all of which can be found on the PrizePicks app. You will be able to bet some of them on traditional sportsbooks as well. 

With that, let’s get to the best props! 

QB Sam Hartman – Wake Forest: OVER 305.5 Passing Yards

Quarterback Sam Hartman #10 of the Wake Forest Demon Deacons looks to pass against the Clemson Tigers in the fourth quarter during their game at Clemson Memorial Stadium on November 20, 2021 in Clemson, South Carolina.
Image Credit: Jacob Kupferman/Getty Images

First off, how could you not like this guy? Check out the image above. He’s got a cool tattoo sleeve with his shoulder pads nonchalantly hanging out of his jersey.

Anyway, this game should have plenty of fireworks. Pittsburgh and Wake Forest both have high-powered offenses that should push each other to keep making plays. After all, the over/under is set at 71 total points with Pitt favored by 3.5. 

Based on that information, I believe this passing yardage prop is way too low. The 305.5-yard expectation seems like a median projection without considering the (likely) shootout potential of this game. 

Yes, we looked toward Hartman last week, and he didn’t quite come through for us. However, that was a 41-10 rout at Boston College, meaning the Demon Deacons didn’t need to throw the ball down the stretch. That’s not going to be the case against Pittsburgh on Saturday. 

Hartman has flown past this yardage total in six of his last eight games. The game script sets up perfectly for him to make that happen once again. Take the over with confidence! 

WR Jaquarii Roberson – Wake Forest: OVER 5 Receptions

Wake Forest Demon Deacons wide receiver Jaquarii Roberson (5) catches the ball in the first quarter at Kenan Memorial Stadium.
Image Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

I’m a huge fan of correlated props, and you should be too! As mentioned in the previous write-up, this Wake Forest vs. Pittsburgh matchup should have a ton of points, yards, and overall snaps. Roberson stands to benefit from this exciting game environment. 

Roberson has caught at least five passes in six of his last eight games. He had a rough showing against NC State and only hauled in four receptions due to a blowout against Duke. Other than that, Roberson has lived up to the billing in terms of targets, receptions, and often times yardage.

Here’s the icing on the proverbial cake: Pittsburgh ranks 119th in passing defense. Let me remind you that there are 130 teams in FBS college football, so the Panthers are almost in the bottom ten of this statistic. Yikes! 

Load up on Hartman and take one of his top receivers, Roberson, alongside him. Betting over five receptions is the way to go in my opinion, but you can also look towards Roberson over 73.5 receiving yards. 

WR Cole Tucker – Northern Illinois OVER 4.5 Receptions

Cole Tucker #18 of the Northern Illinois Huskies on the field in the game against the Miami of Ohio Redhawks at Yager Stadium on October 19, 2019 in Oxford, Ohio.
Image Credit: Justin Casterline/Getty Images

Step 1: Find the potential shootouts. Step 2: Look at quarterbacks and receivers within that. Step 3: Take the over on candidates with modest props. Step 4: Profit. 

Okay, so it’s not that easy, but targeting these high over/unders makes for a nice screening tool when hunting for PrizePicks college football props. We found a good one here in the MAC Championship, as Northern Illinois is favored by 3.5 over Kent State. The total is set at 74.5 points. 

The last time these two teams played, it ended in a very “MAC-like” 52-47 victory for Kent State. Tucker came through with five catches for 60 yards in that game, and he has surpassed this 4.5 reception prop in each of his last three games. That includes a sweet 10 reception outing against Buffalo on November 17. 

Northern Illinois’ QB Rocky Lombardi is back for this rematch with the Golden Flashes, and it’s a prime matchup to pepper his receivers with plenty of targets. If you thought Pittsburgh was bad against then pass, then try this one on for size: Kent State ranks 128th in passing defense! Tucker shouldn’t have much of a problem recording five grabs. 

More PrizePicks College Football Props

Abram Smith #7 of the Baylor Bears carries the ball against the Texas Tech Red Raiders in the first half at McLane Stadium on November 27, 2021 in Waco, Texas.
Image Credit: Ron Jenkins/Getty Images

Abram Smith (RB – BAY) OVER 78.5 Rushing Yards. This is a tough matchup, but Smith has gone over this total in seven of his last eight games. He’s seeing a ton of carries lately, averaging nearly 23 per game over his last seven. 

Keshunn Abram (WR – KENT) OVER 57.5 Receiving Yards. The MAC Championship could resemble a basketball score by the time it’s said and done. Abram will look to get in on that by hopefully repeating his 7-72 line from the last time he faced Northern Illinois. He’s a big-play receiver who should see double-digit targets to sail over this prop.

Brennan Presley (WR – OKST) OVER 37.5 Receiving Yards. Presley has gone over this modest receiving total in four of his last five games. That lone miss came in a 55-3 blowout vs. Kansas where the Cowboys didn’t need to throw the ball. That shouldn’t be the case on Saturday.