Each week, we will be analyzing our favorite PGA Tour props and picks for the upcoming golf tournament, focusing on who we think will be first round leader of the event.
The first round leader sweat in golf is a fun one, so join us as we try to make some winning golf picks!
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PGA Tour & DP World Tour First Round Leader Picks & Predictions
Below we take a look at the most intriguing first round leader bets for the upcoming PGA Tour and DP World Tour tournaments.
Editor’s Note: Looking for more golf props content? Be sure to check out our PGA outright winner picks for this week’s event before locking in all of your plays.
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PGA Tour Preview: Butterfield Bermuda Championship
As far as scouting a first round leader in Bermuda, we’ve got ample options in a wide-open field that should produce a ton of low scores.
This is basically the same “short-hitters” kind of setup as last week, where Wesley Bryan made a huge stride towards keeping his card, and can push all the way through with a repeat performance this week.
He also sets up as by far the best value and profile for a first-round-leader bet, with a hefty number of +6500 at DraftKings.
A great alternative though if you are tired of chasing Bryan would be Andrew Putnam or Pierceson Coody.
Coody doesn’t quite make it as a full-tournament contender because he can’t capitalize on his distance advantage here, but his putting is elite enough that he can definitely snipe a single low round in this field.
Putnam is playing the role here of a “poor man’s Brendon Todd” except he’s actually a lot better than Todd, and for about the same price. This course is absolutely the ideal place to try to hide a weak driver, and the rest of Putnam’s game is on cruise control. He’s got the game to contend outright here as well, but the +5000 number for FRL is a really good deal compared to his potential payouts for a win.
First Round Leader Picks:
Wesley Bryan +6500
Andrew Putnam +5000
Pierceson Coody +7000
DP World Tour Preview: World Tour Championship
The First Round Leader markets are usually a place where you can take a bit more risk, get a bit more wacky, and hope for a bit more variance when trying to nab a relative wildcard for a single big round.
In this instance, however, the best value play on the board, strictly by the numbers, is actually Rory McIlroy at +1000. This is a lot better payout than chasing him at +400 to win the whole thing. We are obviously taking on more variance but the math says you come out way ahead going after him as the first round leader.
The more exciting and traditional first round angle is to fire Niklas Norgaard.
The only guy perhaps longer than Rory in the field also might be the hottest on the greens coming in, and has a great chance to thrive or at least come out hot here at the Tour Championship.
First Round Leader Picks:
Rory McIlroy +1000
Niklas Norgaard +2500