Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Props, Odds & Predictions – Friday, Mar 29

Dec 25, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Denver Nuggets guard Jamal Murray (27) reacts in the fourth quarter against the Golden State Warriors at Ball Arena.
Image Credit: Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Nuggets and Minnesota Timberwolves will matchup on Friday, Mar 29. Tip-off for the game is 9:00 ET and will be shown on ALT. Denver is favored by 7 points in this game, and the total is 212.5. Who do we think will come out on top? Keep reading for our top Nuggets vs. Timberwolves predictions.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Odds

  • Spread: Nuggets -7
  • Total 212.5

Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!

Game Info

  • Date: Friday, Mar 29
  • Time: 9:00 ET
  • Location: Ball Arena, Denver CO
  • TV: ALT

Timberwolves Betting Trends

  • Over their last five games, the Timberwolves have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 4-1 vs. the spread.
  • Across their last three road contests, Minnesota has been good against the spread posting a mark of 3-0. Their overall mark in these games was 3-0, while averaging 117 points per game.
  • Looking back on the team’s last five games as the underdog, the Timberwolves have a straight up record of 2-3. Their record vs the spread in these games was 3-2.

Nuggets Betting Trends

  • In their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 4-1 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
  • Although Denver has a straight up record of 2-1 in their last three home games, they have not held up as well vs. the spread going 0-3. The team averaged 111 points per game in these games.
  • Through their previous three contests as the betting favorite, the Nuggets have a strong record of 2-1. Their record vs the spread in these matchups is 1-2.

Is an Upset Waiting to Happen on the Road?

The Timberwolves have a record of 50-22 this season, which is good for 2nd place in the Western Conference. In non-conference games, they are 16-10 compared to 34-12 against the West.

Minnesota has won three straight games on the road and has an overall road record of 24-13. Against the spread on the road, they are 20-16 this season.

As the underdog, the Timberwolves are 8-8 this season and have gone 10-6 ATS in those games. Today, they are getting 7 points and have gone 6 straight games as the underdog.

In their last game, Minnesota beat the Pistons by a score of 106-91. The O/U line for that game was 217, and the Timberwolves were favored by 16.5 points.

This season, Minnesota has an O/U record of 36-36. In their games, the average over/under line is 221.7, and their games have averaged 219.4 points.

So far this season, the Timberwolves have been an above-average scoring team, averaging 113.1 points per game (18th in the NBA). When playing on the road, they have actually been slightly better, averaging 114.6 points per game.

Minnesota has been one of the most efficient three-point shooting teams in the league, making 38% of their attempts (1st). Overall, they are shooting 48% from the field (10th).

When it comes to pace, the Timberwolves are 21st in the NBA, averaging 97 possessions per game. In terms of assists, they are 16th in the league with an average of 26.5 per game.

On defense, the Timberwolves come into the game ranked 1st in the league in points allowed at 106.3 per game. Over their last three games, the team is allowing 97.3 points per contest (11th). In the terms of takeaways, Timberwolves are causing 13.4 turnovers per game, ranking 21st in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 6th in rejections, averaging 6 blocked shots each game.

Taking a Look at the Nuggets’ Chances at Home

As the Nuggets look to improve their ATS record, they are 7-point favorites against the Timberwolves. Denver is 28-33 ATS as the favorite this season and has gone 47-16 straight-up as the favorite.

In their last game against the Suns, the Nuggets were favored by 5.5 points but lost the game by a score of 104-97. The O/U line for that game was 228.5.

This season, Denver has an O/U record of 29-42-2, and their games have averaged a combined 224.5 points. Today’s O/U line is set at 212.5.

Looking at the Western Conference standings, the Nuggets are in 1st place with a record of 51-22. In non-conference games, they are 22-6 and 29-16 against Western Conference opponents.

Denver’s average scoring margin at home this season is +9.4 points per game. On the road, they have an average scoring margin of +0.1 PPG. The Nuggets are 29-7 at home and 22-15 on the road.

When playing at home, the Nuggets are scoring 118.4 points per game, which is 10th in the NBA. Overall, they are 14th in scoring at 114.6 points per game. In terms of field goal percentage, Denver is 5th in the league at 49%. However, they are 28th in pace at 96 possessions per game.

So far this season, the Nuggets have attempted the most two-point field goals in the NBA and are 9th in two-point shooting percentage at 56%. From beyond the arc, Denver is 11th in three-point shooting at 37%. On average, they make 11.4 threes per game, which is 28th in the league.

When it comes to getting to the free-throw line, the Nuggets are 29th in both attempts and makes. In terms of offensive rebounds, they are 11th in the NBA. Denver is also one of the top passing teams in the league, ranking 3rd in assists at 29.2 per game.

So far, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 7th in the league at 109.9 points per contest. When it comes to defending inside the arc, the Nuggets squad is permitting opposing teams to shoot at a clip of 52.5% inside the arc, and they’re also giving up 35.7% from downtown.

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Player Prop

When looking at a player prop for this game, Nikola Jokic has a points prop of 26.5 with both the over and under paying out at -117. Our model predicts that Nikola Jokic will finish with 26 points, 12 rebounds, and 9. As for his points prop, we favor the under at 26.5.

  • The Prop: Nikola Jokic Under 26.5 Points (-117)

Nuggets vs. Timberwolves Predictions

As the underdogs with a spread of +7, we recommend going with the Timberwolves on the point spread. We not only see them covering the spread but also have a strong likelihood of winning this one outright, especially if you’re seeking a higher payout on the moneyline.

As for the over/under, the line is currently at 212.5, and our model projects the Timberwolves and Nuggets to reach a combined total of 221 points. Our bet is on taking the over.

The Pick: Timberwolves +7 | at Fanduel Sportsbook