As we gear up for Game 5 of the NBA Finals between the Denver Nuggets and the Miami Heat, it’s clear that the Nuggets are on fire and ready to secure their first league championship in franchise history.
With a 3-1 lead in the best-of-seven series, the Nuggets have shown their dominance and are set to dismantle the Heat in a gentleman’s sweep. But can they get it done in Game 5?
Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET while airing on ABC. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Nuggets vs. Heats predictions, odds, and picks below.
Nuggets vs. Heats Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -8.5
- Total: 208.5
Odds via Bet365. If you are new to Bet365, click our exclusive promo link below to Bet $1 to Get $200 in bonus bets, regardless if you win or lose.
Game Info
- Date: Monday, June 12
- Time: 8:30 pm ET
- Location: Ball Arena – Denver, CO
- TV: ABC
Our top NBA props. Everyday. Matt LaMarca runs through his Best NBA Player Props Today for Game 5 of the NBA Finals.
Nuggets Betting Trends
- Nuggets are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 games overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Nuggets last 5 overall.
Are you a Nuggets fan that lives in Colorado? Check out our list of the Best CO Sports Betting Offers for the NBA Finals and beyond!
Heats Betting Trends
- Heat are 0-6 ATS in their last 6 games following a double-digit loss at home.
- Under is 7-1 in Heat last 8 overall.
Live in a non-sports betting state? Check out these sportsbook alternatives in our complete guide: Can I Bet On Sports In A Non-Legal State?
Nuggets vs. Heats Predictions
First, let’s talk about the Nuggets’ performance in the Finals so far. They’ve won three games by double-digit margins, proving they have the offensive firepower to blow past the Heat. If it weren’t for the Heat’s impressive 50% three-point shooting in Game 2, the Nuggets would be on the verge of a clean sweep. Denver’s home-court advantage has been a major factor in their success, and with Game 5 on their hardwood, they’re poised to continue their winning ways.
The Miami Heat, on the other hand, have been struggling to keep up. They’re coming off a double-digit loss at home, and historically, that doesn’t bode well for them. In their last six games following a double-digit loss at home, the Heat are 0-6 against the spread (ATS). With the pressure mounting and their backs against the wall, it’s hard to see the Heat turning things around in Game 5.
Malika Andrews: “If you win are you gonna get another horse?”
Nikola Jokic: “Probably, even if I lose.”
The Joker is planning to buy another horse regardless of the Nuggets’ result in the NBA Finals 🤣🐴pic.twitter.com/v3tkB3yJoo
— ClutchPoints (@ClutchPointsApp) June 12, 2023
Denver’s stellar performance at home this season should not be overlooked. They’ve been one of the best home teams ATS, consistently outperforming expectations and racking up impressive wins. With their stellar offense led by Nikola Jokić and Jamal Murray, the Nuggets have proven they can handle the Heat’s defense and exploit their weaknesses.
The Heat have shown resilience in their historic playoff run, but it’s becoming increasingly apparent that they’re outmatched by the top-seeded Nuggets.
Jimmy Butler, the Heat’s leading man, will undoubtedly put up a fight, but the supporting cast of Caleb Martin, Gabe Vincent, Max Strus, and Duncan Robinson may not be able to maintain their hot shooting streak from beyond the arc.
Nuggets vs. Heats Picks
As we approach Game 5 of the NBA Finals, it’s essential to take a step back and assess the situation from a data-driven perspective. While the Heat’s Cinderella story has captured the hearts of many, the numbers don’t lie — the Nuggets have been the superior team throughout the series, and they’re in prime position to claim the Larry O’Brien Trophy.
Betting on the Nuggets -8.5 against the spread is a savvy move, as Denver looks to close out the series and make history.
The Pick: ${Pick} | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook