NFL Props: Joe Mixon Over/Under 89.5 Rushing Yards In Week 13?

Joe Mixon #28 of the Cincinnati Bengals runs with the ball in the second quarter against the Pittsburgh Steelers at Paul Brown Stadium on November 28, 2021 in Cincinnati, Ohio.
Image Credit: Dylan Buell/Getty Images

Joe Mixon has quietly had an incredibly productive season, ranking third in the league in both rushing yards (924) and touchdowns (11). As his Cincinnati Bengals (7-4) face the Los Angeles Chargers (6-5) this week, Mixon has a seemingly high yardage prop. Will he get there? Here’s the full breakdown in this NFL props series. 

All odds courtesy of BetPrep

Cincinnati Bengals: Joe Mixon

The Prop: Mixon rushing yards vs Los Angeles Chargers

The Odds: Joe Mixon Over 89.5 yards -112/Under 89.5 yards -118

Joe Mixon averages 84.0 YPG, and he also averages 4.4 YPC. He has carried the football 208 times and has reached the end zone 11 times so far this season.

The Chargers have given up the most rushing yards so far this season in the NFL at 1,598. They also concede 4.7 yards per carry, which is ranked 28th in the NFL.

L.A.’s rushing defense has been a problem all season long for them. Joe Mixon has hit over 89.5 yards for the last two consecutive games after the bye week for the Bengals. He is one of the reasons why they are on a two-game winning streak.

Mixon rushed for 165 yards on 28 carries and two touchdowns against the Pittsburgh Steelers and also rushed for 123 yards on 30 carries and two touchdowns against the Las Vegas Raiders. He has been over 100 yards rushing in back-to-back weeks. 

Opening Up the Offense

Because of his effectiveness on the ground, Joe Mixon has been taking pressure off of quarterback Joe Burrow. This is why the Bengals are running such an effective offense. Cincinnati ranks sixth in the league in total touchdowns. 

Because both offenses are capable of moving the ball down the field in a hurry, Cincinnati may try to control the clock by feeding Mixon. If that’s the game plan, he should be able to cruise to the over. Given the parity in the AFC, this game could be a playoff preview.