It’s Christmas Day, and it’s COVID, so anything could happen. But let’s hope all of the water cooler talk post-Christmas weekend is about the great individual performances we saw on Saturday and the money you won by wagering on them. Here are the best NFL player props for the Saturday slate of Week 16.
All odds via BetPrep as of 7 a.m. ET on Dec. 23.
Aaron Rodgers Vs. Cleveland Browns
The Prop: Aaron Rodgers Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 277.5 yards (-114)/Under 277.5 yards (-116)
Let’s count all the ways that Aaron Rodgers has been great.
He’s gone four straight games without an interception. Over those same four games, he’s thrown 13 touchdowns. He’s averaged 325 yards over that same stretch, and the Packers have clinched their division and moved into the top seed in the NFC.
Aaron Rodgers is the only human to ever walk this planet who can make this throw… pic.twitter.com/QcfpSM7SeQ
— Eli Berkovits (@BookOfEli_NFL) December 20, 2021
Rodgers is playing the best football of his life, the playoff hopes of the Browns are on life support, plus they are playing on short rest, and getting to 278 yards is not difficult for an offense playing this well. For your Saturday Rodgers bet, take the OVER.
Editor’s Note: New to NFL player props? Check out our complete NFL Props Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Kyler Murray Vs. Indianapolis Colts
The Prop: Kyler Murray Total Yards
The Odds: Over 291.5 yards (-115)/Under 291.5 yards (-115)
The line on Kyler Murray’s passing yards is 262.5, which is a tough number to get a read on. Arizona is going to have to push the ball to keep up with Jonathan Taylor, but they have to do it without DeAndre Hopkins. So passing totals are a crapshoot.
But Murray still is the star of this offense, and if the Cardinals are going to get back on track and win the NFC West, Murray will have to be at his best this Saturday. That means picking up yards through the air and on the ground.
He struggled against the Lions, but against the Rams, he threw for 383 yards and ran for another 61. The week before, he ran for 59, giving him his two highest rushing totals in two of the last three weeks.
The stars come out on Christmas Day, and Murray hits the OVER.
Nick Chubb Vs. Green Bay Packers
The Prop: Nick Chubb Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 90.5 yards (-110)/Under 90.5 yards (-120)
Dalvin Cook ran for 86 yards back in Week 11, but he is the only running back to cross the 80-yard threshold against the Packers’ defense since Week 6.
Nick Chubb is obviously not your normal running back. He’s over 1,000 yards for the season and is averaging 5.4 yards per carry, and just rushed for 91 yards against the Raiders with almost no offense around him.
The Browns expect Baker Mayfield back for this game, which will take just enough heat off Chubb for him to have another good game and avoid the duds that he had in back-to-back weeks against Baltimore. It will be close for Chubb in Green Bay, but take the OVER.