There is no Eli Manning, and there isn’t likely to be a helmet catch. But it is Tom Brady vs. the New York Giants, and over the years, that has led to some very unexpected team and individual performances. With that in mind, let’s break down the best NFL Player Props for Monday Night Football Week 11.
All odds courtesy of BetPrep updated 12:00 PM Eastern on November 18, 2021.
Tom Brady Vs. New York Giants
The Prop: Tom Brady Passing Yards
The Odds: Over 302.5 yards (-115)/Under 302.5 yards (-115)
Tom Brady would like you to forget about his game last week at Washington. So much so that after the game, he spoke to the media for less than two minutes before heatedly leaving the podium.
Press conferences after a loss are like co-workers emailing you before you’ve had your coffee… I mean I don’t drink coffee, but I imagine that’s what it’s like.. https://t.co/9VfpXqr3Pl @JimGrayOfficial @SIRIUSXM pic.twitter.com/cGvJgCNtOt
— Tom Brady (@TomBrady) November 17, 2021
The best way to make us forget about a bad game is to go out and have a good one, and the Giants are a good opponent for that. The New York defense has given up 300-yard games to Taylor Heinicke and Dak Prescott, and Derek Carr just missed with 296 in the last game the Giants played.
Brady averages 318 yards per game, has twice gone over 400 yards this season, and against the Giants, he should easily hit the over.
Editor’s Note: New to betting props? Check out our complete NFL Prop Betting Guide to get up to speed!
Saquon Barkley Vs. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
The Prop: Saquon Barkley Rushing Yards
The Odds: Over 52.5 yards (-114)/Under 52.5 yards (-118)
Saquon Barkley is back at Giants practice after missing the last month because of a sprained ankle. He will give the Giants a much-needed injection of life into a fairly lackluster offense, and it’s great to see one of the young stars of the NFL back on the field.
But expectations for this game should be tempered. Barkley was slowly working back into the offense to begin the season, as he was coming back from a torn ACL.
The Bucs are missing Vita Vea in the middle of that defensive line, so the Giants should succeed in running the football. And if this were two weeks from now, Barkley would make for a good overbet in this situation. Instead, Barkley will be worked back into the rotation slowly, and that will keep his rushing total on Monday under 50 yards.
Chris Godwin Vs. New York Giants
The Prop: Chris Godwin Receiving Yards
The Odds: Over 78.5 yards (-115)/Under 78.5 yards (-125)
The connection between Tom Brady and Chris Godwin is only a year-and-a-half old but is already one of the best in the NFL. Godwin was held to just 57 yards at Washington, as the entire Bucs offense struggled, but he blew up for 140 yards against an excellent Saints defense and had 111 against the Bears.
Godwin also had a 105-yard performance back in Week 1 against the Cowboys.
The Giants aren’t great at handling top wide receivers. Terry McLaurin, CeeDee Lamb, Cooper Kupp, D.J. Moore, and Tyreek Hill have all had huge games against the Giants. There is no reason to think that Godwin won’t do the same.