Looking for the best NFL player props this week? The Props crew has assembled a helpful NFL props cheat sheet to pinpoint the top overall bets. We will also feature a few picks that caught our eye from the prediction model.
Below are our top NFL prop bets across different categories like touchdowns, rushing yards, interceptions, reception yards, and more! You can adjust the table below to sort through the best NFL player props in these stat categories.
NFL Player Props Cheat Sheet: Week 6
Below are the best NFL player props according to the BetPrep projection model. To view the odds on these props, head over to our matchups odds page for NFL prop bets.
| Name | Prop | Proj | Line | Diff |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| T. Brady | Pass TD | 1.72 | 1.5 | 14.77% |
| S. Thompson | Interceptions | 0.57 | 0.5 | 14.08% |
| K. Pickett | Interceptions | 0.57 | 0.5 | 13.98% |
| M. Ryan | Interceptions | 0.56 | 0.5 | 12.96% |
| M. Stafford | Interceptions | 0.56 | 0.5 | 12.82% |
| T. Lawrence | Interceptions | 0.56 | 0.5 | 12.36% |
| J. Burrow | Interceptions | 0.55 | 0.5 | 10.37% |
| K. Cousins | Pass Comp | 24.61 | 22.5 | 9.36% |
| J. Garoppolo | Rush Yards | 0.55 | 0.5 | 9.03% |
| A. Rodgers | Rush Yards | 1.62 | 1.5 | 8.07% |
| Z. Wilson | Rush Yards | 10.12 | 9.5 | 6.48% |
| J. Brissett | Rush Yards | 15.43 | 14.5 | 6.45% |
| M. Mariota | Interceptions | 0.5 | 0.5 | 0.63% |
| B. Hall | Rec Yards | 22.43 | 19.5 | 15.02% |
| A. Mattison | Rec Yards | 8.59 | 7.5 | 14.55% |
| A. Jones | Rush Yards | 67.64 | 59.5 | 13.68% |
| J. Mixon | Rush Yards | 65.12 | 57.5 | 13.25% |
| M. Carter | Receptions | 1.69 | 1.5 | 12.43% |
| S. Perine | Rec Yards | 9.55 | 8.5 | 12.34% |
| J. Wilson Jr. | Rec Yards | 9.52 | 8.5 | 12.05% |
| J. Robinson | Rush Yards | 45.24 | 40.5 | 11.70% |
| D. Cook | Rush Yards | 82.86 | 74.5 | 11.22% |
| N. Chubb | Rush Yards | 99.77 | 90.5 | 10.24% |
| C. McCaffrey | Rush Yards | 65.09 | 59.5 | 9.40% |
| M. Ingram II | Rush Yards | 21.32 | 19.5 | 9.34% |
| L. Fournette | Rush Yards | 64.65 | 59.5 | 8.65% |
| N. Harris | Rush Yards | 46.97 | 43.5 | 7.97% |
| C. Akers | Rush Yards | 44.03 | 41.5 | 6.11% |
| R. Mostert | Rush Yards | 63.02 | 59.5 | 5.91% |
| A. Dillon | Receptions | 1.54 | 1.5 | 2.53% |
| A. Kamara | Rush Yards | 66.62 | 65.5 | 1.70% |
| T. Allgeier | Rush Yards | 44.38 | 48.5 | -8.50% |
| C. Huntley | Rush Yards | 22.95 | 26.5 | -13.41% |
| B. Aiyuk | Receptions | 4.06 | 3.5 | 15.86% |
| D. Peoples-Jones | Rec Yards | 38.05 | 33.5 | 13.59% |
| J. Jefferson | Rec Yards | 95.18 | 84.5 | 12.64% |
| O. Zaccheaus | Rec Yards | 30.95 | 27.5 | 12.54% |
| J. Jennings | Rec Yards | 18.54 | 16.5 | 12.36% |
| K. Osborn | Receptions | 2.79 | 2.5 | 11.58% |
| M. Jones Jr. | Rec Yards | 42.52 | 38.5 | 10.43% |
| C. Davis | Receptions | 2.75 | 2.5 | 10.18% |
| A. Cooper | Rec Yards | 55.84 | 51.5 | 8.43% |
| T. Hill | Rec Yards | 73.1 | 67.5 | 8.30% |
| R. Cobb | Rec Yards | 41.54 | 38.5 | 7.91% |
| J. Waddle | Rec Yards | 62.63 | 58.5 | 7.06% |
| D. Samuel | Rush Yards | 16.22 | 15.5 | 4.68% |
| A. Thielen | Receptions | 4.7 | 4.5 | 4.48% |
| D. London | Receptions | 4.62 | 4.5 | 2.77% |
| C. Kirk | Rec Yards | 55.71 | 54.5 | 2.23% |
| C. Kupp | Rec Yards | 95.74 | 94.5 | 1.31% |
| R. Anderson | Rec Yards | 35.52 | 35.5 | 0.05% |
| Z. Jones | Rec Yards | 41.66 | 42.5 | -1.97% |
| G. Pickens | Rec Yards | 46.29 | 47.5 | -2.55% |
| C. Godwin | Rec Yards | 58.67 | 60.5 | -3.03% |
| A. Lazard | Rec Yards | 45.66 | 47.5 | -3.86% |
| E. Moore | Rec Yards | 35.87 | 37.5 | -4.33% |
| D. Moore | Rec Yards | 50.03 | 53.5 | -6.48% |
| C. Claypool | Rec Yards | 37.15 | 40.5 | -8.26% |
| D. Johnson | Rec Yards | 52.3 | 57.5 | -9.04% |
| R. Doubs | Rec Yards | 43.2 | 47.5 | -9.06% |
| J. Chase | Rec Yards | 71.36 | 78.5 | -9.09% |
| G. Wilson | Receptions | 4.07 | 4.5 | -9.47% |
| M. Pittman Jr. | Rec Yards | 59.64 | 66.5 | -10.32% |
| R. Tonyan | Receptions | 2.85 | 2.5 | 13.97% |
| T. Conklin | Rec Yards | 22.81 | 20.5 | 11.28% |
| D. Njoku | Rec Yards | 41.46 | 38.5 | 7.70% |
| T. Higbee | Receptions | 5.77 | 5.5 | 4.82% |
| E. Engram | Rec Yards | 29.52 | 28.5 | 3.57% |
| M. Gesicki | Rec Yards | 21.99 | 21.5 | 2.29% |
| G. Kittle | Receptions | 4.58 | 4.5 | 1.75% |
| I. Smith Jr. | Rec Yards | 28.94 | 29.5 | -1.89% |
Best NFL Props: Over
Packers RB Aaron Jones Over 59.5 Rush Yards
The model likes Aaron Jones to go Over 59.5 rushing yards in Week 6, projecting him significantly higher at 67.64 rushing yards. Jones has surpassed 59.5 rushing yards in three of his last four games, and the Packers could enact a run-heavy approach as a 7.5-point home favorite against the Jets on Sunday.
Vikings WR Justin Jefferson Over 84.5 Receiving Yards
This is a high number, but the model does not believe it’s high enough. We have routinely seen Jefferson cross 100 receiving yards while hardly breaking a sweat, so this prop is live to the Over. The model projects Jefferson for 95.18 receiving yards on Sunday at Miami. The Vikings WR has beaten this number in three of five games this season, and he has topped 147 receiving yards in two straight.
Best NFL Props: Under
Michael Pittman Jr. Under 66.5 Receiving Yards
Pittman had high expectations going into this season, but those have been tempered in recent weeks. The model is projecting him for 59.64 receiving yards this week, which flies below his 66.5 prop total. Pittman has failed to record 67+ receiving yards in two straight games, and he has a tough matchup against the Jaguars on Sunday.
Ja’Marr Chase Under 78.5 Receiving Yards
Chase is an electric receiver who can break out at any given moment. Having said that, something has been “off” to begin this season, as the second-year wide receiver has gone for 79+ receiving yards once in his last four games. The model has him projected for 71.36 receiving yards on Sunday at New Orleans.
NFL Prop Bet Trends: Over
| Player | Prop | Number | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|
| K. Cousins | Pass Comp | O 22.5 | Over 5/L5 (100.0%) 5 straight |
| N. Chubb | Total Yards | O 100.5 | Over 5/L5 (100.0%) 5 straight |
| E. Moore | Rec Yards | O 37.5 | Over 10/L11 (90.9%) |
| C. Kupp | Rec Yards | O 94.5 | Over 18/L21 (85.7%) |
| A. Rodgers | Pass TD | O 1.5 | Over 18/L21 (85.7%) |
| M. Stafford | Interceptions | O 0.5 | Over 6/L7 (85.7%) |
| O. Zaccheaus | Rec Yards | O 27.5 | Over 5/L6 (83.3%) |
| D. Cook | Rush Yards | O 74.5 | Over 5/L6 (83.3%) |
| M. Ryan | Interceptions | O 0.5 | Over 5/L6 (83.3%) |
| J. Burrow | Pass Comp | O 22.5 | Over 9/L11 (81.8%) |
| D. Samuel | Rush Yards | O 15.5 | Over 13/L16 (81.3%) |
| M. Gesicki | Rec Yards | O 21.5 | Over 17/L21 (81.0%) |
| C. McCaffrey | Total Yards | O 102.5 | Over 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| J. Wilson Jr. | Rush Yards | O 65.5 | Over 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| C. Davis | Rec Yards | O 36.5 | Over 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| M. Carter | Rec Yards | O 10.5 | Over 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| J. Brissett | Pass Yards | O 208.5 | Over 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| C. Kirk | Rec Yards | O 54.5 | Over 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| J. Jennings | Receptions | O 1.5 | Over 10/L13 (76.9%) |
| M. Ingram II | Rush Yards | O 19.5 | Over 14/L19 (73.7%) |
| N. Harris | Rec Yards | O 12.5 | Over 16/L22 (72.7%) |
| J. Garoppolo | Rush Yards | O 0.5 | Over 8/L11 (72.7%) |
| K. Osborn | Receptions | O 2.5 | Over 8/L11 (72.7%) |
| Z. Wilson | Rush Yards | O 9.5 | Over 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| J. Mixon | Rush Yards | O 57.5 | Over 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| R. Tonyan | Rec Yards | O 21.5 | Over 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| T. Hill | Rec Yards | O 67.5 | Over 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| A. Cooper | Rec Yards | O 51.5 | Over 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| D. Peoples-Jones | Rec Yards | O 33.5 | Over 5/L7 (71.4%) |
Cooper Kupp Over 94.5 Receiving Yards
Kupp is an absolute magician, as he has racked up 95 or more receiving yards in 18 of his last 21 games. Some people expected him to regress this season, but that hasn’t been the case. In fact, you could argue that Kupp is just as strong (if not stronger) than his near-record-breaking 2021 campaign. The Rams WR has topped 100 receiving yards in 4-of-5 outings this season.
Elijah Moore Over 37.5 Receiving Yards
Moore has gone over this number in 10-of-11 games. His lone miss was last week against the Dolphins, hauling in one catch for 11 yards (on four targets). However, that’s not necessarily a cause for concern. The Jets didn’t need to pass the ball too much in a 40-17 victory over Miami. New York will likely need to take to the air more while trying to keep pace with the Packers in Green Bay on Sunday. Moore could return to his “Over streak” this time around.
NFL Prop Bet Trends: Under
| Player | Prop | Number | Streak |
|---|---|---|---|
| M. Ryan | Pass Yards | U 245.5 | Under 10/L14 (71.4%) |
| L. Fournette | Rush Yards | U 59.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| C. McCaffrey | Rush Yards | U 59.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| A. Rodgers | Pass Yards | U 243.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| A. Dillon | Total Yards | U 68.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| J. Garoppolo | Pass Yards | U 235.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| A. Thielen | Receptions | U 4.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| A. Mattison | Rush Yards | U 20.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| N. Chubb | Rec Yards | U 6.5 | Under 5/L7 (71.4%) |
| Z. Wilson | Pass Yards | U 221.5 | Under 8/L11 (72.7%) |
| A. Kamara | Rush Yards | U 65.5 | Under 8/L11 (72.7%) |
| D. Samuel | Receptions | U 4.5 | Under 11/L15 (73.3%) |
| T. Lawrence | Pass Yards | U 238.5 | Under 12/L16 (75.0%) |
| M. Mariota | Interceptions | U 0.5 | Under 9/L12 (75.0%) |
| E. Engram | Rec Yards | U 28.5 | Under 6/L8 (75.0%) |
| J. Brissett | Rush Yards | U 14.5 | Under 10/L13 (76.9%) |
| D. Njoku | Rec Yards | U 38.5 | Under 10/L13 (76.9%) |
| T. Higbee | Rec Yards | U 54.5 | Under 17/L22 (77.3%) |
| G. Kittle | Rec Yards | U 46.5 | Under 7/L9 (77.8%) |
| D. Johnson | Rec Yards | U 57.5 | Under 8/L10 (80.0%) |
| T. Brady | Interceptions | U 0.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| M. Stafford | Pass TD | U 1.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| R. Anderson | Rec Yards | U 35.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| D. Moore | Rec Yards | U 53.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| T. Allgeier | Rush Yards | U 48.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| D. London | Rec Yards | U 54.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| A. Lazard | Rec Yards | U 47.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| O. Zaccheaus | Receptions | U 2.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| B. Hall | Receptions | U 2.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| M. Jones Jr. | Rec Yards | U 39.5 | Under 4/L5 (80.0%) |
| R. Doubs | Rec Yards | U 47.5 | Under 5/L6 (83.3%) |
| K. Cousins | Rush Yards | U 4.5 | Under 5/L6 (83.3%) |
| R. Cobb | Receptions | U 3.5 | Under 11/L13 (84.6%) |
| C. Claypool | Rec Yards | U 40.5 | Under 7/L8 (87.5%) |
| A. Jones | Receptions | U 3.5 | Under 5/L5 (100.0%) 5 straight |
Matt Ryan Under 245.5 Passing Yards
Ryan has fallen under this number in 10 of his last 14 games overall, and that includes two of five games as a member of the Colts. He’ll face the same Jaguars team that held him to 195 passing yards in Week 2 of this season.
Alvin Kamara Under 66.5 Rushing Yards
Kamara has fallen under this rushing yardage total in five of his last seven games. He racked up 103 rushing yards in a wild, high-scoring win against Seattle last week. However, that seems more of an outlier than anything. Kamara could fall down to earth against a Cincinnati team that ranks seventh in rushing defense this season.