Week 4 of the NFL season is here, and there are some trends worth following at this point in the season. Taking advantage of these NFL betting trends will be the main theme of these picks player props. We are starting to see how these teams will be attacked and which players are worth targeting in a given situation.
Terry McLaurin OVER 80.5 Yards
The Falcons seem pretty set in their ways defensively, and those ways should not work vs. Terry McLaurin this week. While no receiver has killed the Falcons defense individually, I think the McLaurin is the best skill set to beat this man-heavy Falcons defense that will expect their corners to cover McLaurin on an island. We have seen McLaurin play well in tough matchups throughout his career, maybe better than any other young receiver in the league, and a lot of this has to do with his combination of speed and route running.
A lot of elite corners are asked to line up in man coverage and cover the best player. This is something that McLaurin has feasted against even vs. Gilmore, Slay, Bradberry, and others, and now this assignment will be much easier for McLaurin. He should be able to both get open underneath AND make big plays.
Matthew Stafford OVER 294.5 Passing Yards
We don’t know if Darrell Henderson will play, and I’m not sure how much it will matter here. Either way, I think that the Rams will be pushed offensively in this game, facing a good Cardinals offense and a not-so-great Cardinals defense if you can stop the pass rush. The McVay offense is in full force with Stafford, but that doesn’t mean they rely on him to do too much.
Watch last week’s Stafford highlights. In the first half, Stafford didn’t make any impressive throws, but they still dominated offensively. The yards will be there in this offense, and this number will look too low at the end of the season, especially in an offensive game.
Derrick Henry OVER .5 Rushing TDs
Henry is in the ideal game script this week, especially when it comes to touchdowns. Zach Wilson has been airing the ball out a lot, and he is still very loose with the ball. While Henry doesn’t need to rely on turnovers to score here, I think we see multiple Tennessee drives that begin on the Jets side of the football.
Henry is also great in this kind of game-script, where they are more than willing to bang him into the defensive line 33 times with a lead. This may be the best spot in the league for a back that will likely be top 5 in rushing TDs this season.
