Monday College Basketball Odds: Baylor On Upset Alert Vs Texas

Texas Longhorns forward Timmy Allen (right) moves to the basket against Baylor Bears guard Kendall Brown (left) during a Big 12 basketball game
Image Credit: Chris Jones-USA TODAY Sports

The Monday college basketball odds board just got more interesting, now that No. 3 Baylor has skyrocketed seven slots in this week’s Associated Press Top 25 poll.

On Saturday night, the defending national champ flourished against then-No. 5 Kansas, upending the current Big 12 leader in Waco. But now, 48 hours later, Baylor has a sizable target on its back for tonight’s road showdown with No. 21 Texas. Can the Bears avoid a letdown on short rest? previews the Monday college basketball betting odds for Baylor-Texas, along with the night’s biggest clash of NCAA Tournament-worthy teams from outside the power conferences: San Diego State-Wyoming from the Mountain West.

Odds via BetMGM and updated as of 8:30 p.m. ET on Feb. 28.

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No. 3 Baylor Vs No. 21 Texas

Baylor Bears guard Adam Flagler dribbles the ball against the West Virginia Mountaineers
Image Credit: Ben Queen-USA TODAY Sports

Tipoff/TV: 9 p.m. ET/ESPN
Baylor: 24-5 SU (12-4 Big 12)/15-13-1 ATS
Texas: 21-8 SU (10-6 Big 12)/12-16-1 ATS
Spread/Total: Baylor -1.5/135
Last meeting: Baylor beat the Longhorns for the fifth consecutive time, rolling 80-63 as a five-point home favorite (Feb. 12)
Did you know: The Bears have won 11 of the last 12 meetings with Texas, and they’re 12-3 ATS in the last 15, winning and cashing in the last four meetings

About Baylor: The Bears are on a 5-1 SU run (3-2-1 ATS), including Saturday’s 80-70 takedown of Kansas as a 2.5-point home favorite. Among Big 12 programs, Baylor ranks first in steals (9.0 per game), first in assists (16.2 per contest), and first in scoring margin (13.9 points per outing, eighth nationally).

About Texas: The Longhorns are 5-2 SU in their last seven, but just 3-4 ATS in that span, failing to cash in their last three games. On Saturday, Texas topped West Virginia 82-81 but fell short as a 3.5-point road chalk. Texas leads the Big 12 in scoring defense (58.8 ppg, fifth nationally).

What’s At Stake: Baylor (12-4) trails Kansas (12-3) by a half-game in the Big 12 standings. Even with Saturday’s victory over KU. With both teams rated in the top 15 of the NCAA’s NET rankings, Baylor (fifth) and Texas (15th) are locks for the NCAA Tournament. The Bears might even be positioned for a No. 1 seed.

Players To Watch

Texas Longhorns forward Timmy Allen dribbles the ball during the first half of a Big 12 college basketball game against the Texas Tech Red Raiders
Image Credit: John E. Moore III/Getty Images

Baylor guard Adam Flagler had 13 points, six rebounds, and three assists in Saturday’s come-from-behind victory over Kansas. The 6-foot-3 junior has scored in double figures in 10 straight games and 18 of his last 19, and he leads the team at 13.7 points per contest.

Texas forward Timmy Allen poured in a season-high 26 points, along with 10 rebounds, three assists, and two blocks in the victory at West Virginia. The 6-foot-6 transfer from Utah, who leads the Longhorns in scoring (12.5 ppg) and rebounds (6.5 per game), has tallied at least 20 points in three of his last six games.

Notable Trends

  • Baylor is 3-5-1 ATS in its last nine overall
  • Baylor is 1-4 ATS in its last five on the road
  • Baylor is 8-2 ATS as a favorite of 7 points or less
  • Texas is 4-9 ATS in its last 13 overall (2-5 ATS at home)
  • Texas is 2-4 ATS as an underdog this season (2-0 ATS last two)
  • Over is 5-1 in Texas’ last six overall
  • Road team is 9-4 ATS in the last 13 meetings
  • Over is 6-3 in the last nine series meetings

Baylor Vs Texas Odds and Action

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET: Thirty minutes before tipoff, Baylor is a 1.5-point favorite at BetMGM Nevada, after opening at pick, moving to -1.5, then back to pick earlier. “We’ve taken some big, big moneyline bets on Baylor,” BetMGM Nevada’s Scott Shelton said. “On the spread, tickets are 2/1 in favor of Baylor, money is 3/1 on Texas. But we need Texas to win because of the moneyline bets.” The total dipped from 135.5 to 134.5. “But tickets and money are actually 2/1 on the Over,” Shelton said.

Previous Baylor vs Texas Odds Updates

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET: This matchup opened Baylor -1 on PointsBet’s Monday college basketball odds board, then inched to Baylor -1.5 Sunday night. Late this morning, the Bears reached -2, then this afternoon fell back to -1.5, where the line sits now. The Bears are taking 75% of tickets on the spread, but money is much more two-way, with a lean toward the Longhorns at 53%. The total opened at 135.5, dipped to 134.5 and is now 135, with 68% of tickets/62% of money on the Over.

San Diego State Vs Wyoming

San Diego State Aztecs guard Trey Pulliam dribbles the ball during a Mountain West Conference basketball game against the Utah State Aggies
Image Credit: Orlando Ramirez-USA TODAY Sports

Tipoff/TV: 9 p.m. ET/CBS Sports Network
San Diego State: 18-7 SU (10-4 Mountain West)/14-11 ATS
Wyoming: 23-5 SU (12-3 Mountain West)/16-9-2 ATS
Spread/Total: SDSU -1.5/130.5
Last meeting: San Diego State edged Wyoming 69-66 but failed to cover as a 15.5-point favorite in the Mountain West Conference tournament quarterfinals (March 11, 2021)
Did you know: The Aztecs have won seven straight meetings, with an average victory margin of 22.3 points in the last six regular-season matchups. Going back to the 2009-10 season, SDSU is 19-2 SU/15-5-1 ATS against the Cowboys

About SDSU-Wyoming: With three league games remaining, Wyoming (12-3) has an outside shot at catching Boise State (14-2) for the Mountain West title. The Cowboys have won eight of their last 10 games, including Saturday’s 74-61 victory over Nevada, easily covering as 7-point home favorites. San Diego State has caught fire of late, winning six of seven outings. On Friday, the Aztecs routed San Jose State 77-52, cashing as hefty 21-point home faves. Thirteen of San Diego State’s last 15 victories have been double-digit blowouts. Boise State (29th), San Diego State (30th), and Wyoming (39th) are all inside the top 40 of the NCAA’s NET rankings, suggesting all would be worthy at-large candidates for the NCAA Tournament — short of any major upsets in next week’s Mountain West tournament. The Aztecs boast the nation’s No. 2 scoring defense, allowing 56.9 points per game.

Notable Trends

  • San Diego State is 11-5 ATS in its last 16 overall
  • San Diego State is 21-8 ATS in its last 29 road games
  • Wyoming is 6-2-1 ATS in its last seven overall (3-1-1 ATS at home)
  • Wyoming is 24-7 ATS in its last 31 as an underdog
  • Under is 4-2 in San Diego State’s last six overall
  • Under is 4-1 in Wyoming’s last five overall
  • Over is 7-1-1 in Wyoming’s last nine at home
  • Over is 13-2 in the last 15 series meetings

San Diego State Vs Wyoming Odds and Action

UPDATE 8:30 P.M. ET: BetMGM Nevada opened San Diego State as a 1.5-point road favorite, peaked at -2.5 and is now back to the opener, shortly before tipoff. “Tickets are just over 3/1 in favor of Wyoming, and money is dead even,” BetMGM Nevada’s Scott Shelton said. The total rose from 127.5 to 130.5, with sharp play driving that move. “It’s 8/1 tickets and 5/1 money on the Over,” Shelton said.

Previous San Diego State vs Wyoming Odds Updates

UPDATE 5:30 P.M. ET: PointsBet USA pegged San Diego State a 1.5-point chalk Sunday, initially dipped to -1, then made a couple of treks to -2 over the past 24 hours. The Aztecs are now back at the -1.5 opener, while the short home ‘dog Cowboys are racking up 81% of bets and 89% of cash on the spread. The total went from 128 to 127.5 early on, but it’s now up to 130.5, with 78% of bets/75% of cash on the Over.