Mets Vs Padres Odds: San Diego Favored In Series Opener

San Diego Padres third baseman Manny Machado (right) gives teammate and catcher Austin Nola (left) a forearm bash after hitting a 3-run home run against the Milwaukee Brewers
Image Credit: Benny Sieu-USA TODAY Sports

The Mets just split a four-game weekend series with the mighty Dodgers in Los Angeles to maintain their grip on the National League’s best record. Now they’re taking that record 100 miles south to face another NL West opponent right on their heels — and for the fifth straight time, New York will hit the field as an underdog.

Bookmakers have San Diego as a slight home favorite in the Mets vs Padres odds market for Monday’s opener of a three-game series at Petco Park. Can New York, which is in the midst of a 10-day southern California road swing, buck those odds and pick up its 19th road victory of the season? Or will the Padres return from a seven-game Midwest road trip and post their fourth straight win? breaks down Mets vs Padres odds for the marquee matchup on Monday’s abbreviated MLB schedule.

MLB Odds

N.Y. Mets (Carrasco)+100-221 (+1.5)7.5 (Over -105)
S.D. Padres (Snell)-121+180 (-1.5)7.5 (Under -115)

Odds via PointsBet USA and updated as of 12:25 p.m. ET on June 6.

New York Mets (37-19) vs San Diego Padres (33-21) 

New York Mets right-handed starting pitcher Carlos Carrasco grips the ball with his right and and prepares to deliver a pitch against the Philadelphia Phillies
Image Credit: Vincent Carchietta-USA TODAY Sports

First Pitch/TV: 6:40 p.m./MLB Network & MLB.TV

Pitching matchup: Carlos Carrasco (6-1, 3.63 ERA, 1.21 WHIP) vs Blake Snell (0-2, 4.80 ERA, 1.07 WHIP)

Betting stats: The Mets continue to be MLB’s most profitable team at +11.37 units. San Diego is third in the MLB betting standings (+8.52 units), right behind the Yankees (+9.19 units). 

Season series: First meeting. New York won last year’s season series 4-3, going 2-1 at home and 2-2 at Petco Park. 

Did you know: Since 1989, the Padres are 86-52 against New York in San Diego (.623 winning percentage).

About the Mets

Hits & Misses: New York holds an 8.5-game lead in the NL East over Atlanta after splitting its weekend series against the Dodgers, winning Saturday (9-4) and Sunday (5-4 in 10 innings). The Mets are 5-5 in their last 10 road games, but their 18 road victories match the Dodgers and Brewers for third-most in MLB. Despite not having ace pitchers Jacob deGrom (shoulder) all season and Max Scherzer (oblique) for the past two weeks, New York still ranks in the top 10 in runs allowed per game (3.75, 5th); ERA (3.59, 7th); strikeouts (9.02 per game, 7th); fewest walks (2.88 per game, 8th); and WHIP (1.19 9th). At the plate, the Mets are first in batting average (.264) and hits (502), and third in runs (5.11 per game) and team OPS (.743).

Carrasco vs San Diego: Carrasco rebounded from a shaky start at Philadelphia on May 27 (five runs in 5.2 innings) with a strong performance Wednesday against the Nationals. The veteran right-hander scattered four hits and five walks in five scoreless innings of a 5-0 win. Carrasco has given up two runs or fewer in seven of his 10 starts, and New York is 6-2 in his last eight outings (2-1 on the road). While he’s been stellar at Citi Field (4-0, 2.78 ERA), Carrasco has been shaky on foreign turf (2-1, 5.06 ERA). The 35-year-old Venezuelan has never faced the Padres. 

Key injuries: Both Scherzer and deGrom are expected to remain sidelined until early and mid-July, respectively. However, fellow right-handed SP Tylor Megill (biceps) is on a rehab assignment at Double A and could rejoin the rotation soon. The Mets’ everyday lineup is healthy. 

About the Padres 

Hits & Misses: San Diego had a rough start to last week’s road trip, getting swept in St. Louis before dropping Thursday’s series opener in Milwaukee. But the team rebounded to take the final three games, including shutouts Friday (7-0) and Saturday (4-0). The Padres, who trail the Dodgers by 2 games in the NL West, have been outstanding on the road (20-11) but just mediocre at home (13-10). NL MVP candidate Manny Machado has cooled a bit at the plate but is still batting .333 (6th) with nine homers, 32 RBI, 38 runs (8th) and a .960 OPS (8th). Mostly, though, it’s been about pitching for San Diego. The Friars rank 2nd in MLB in opponents’ batting average (.215), 4th in WHIP (1.13), 4th in runs (3.63 per game), 5th in team ERA (3.34) and 6th in strikeouts (9.21 per game).

Snell vs New York: Snell has been middling since joining the Padres’ rotation late last month after spending the first seven weeks on the injured list. In three starts against the Phillies, Brewers and Cardinals, the veteran southpaw has allowed eight runs, eight hits and eight walks with 18 strikeouts in 15 innings. He is coming off his best performance to date, though, holding the Cardinals to two runs in a season-high six innings Tuesday. Snell dominated the Mets at Petco Park exactly 367 days ago, yielding a hit and a walk while fanning 10 in seven shutout innings of a 2-0 win. However, he lost 3-2 at New York a week later, giving up three runs in four innings. In four career starts against the Mets, the 2018 AL Cy Young winner is 2-2 with a 2.25 ERA.

Key injuries: OF Wil Myers (knee) hit the injured list late last week. 1B Matt Beaty (shoulder), who had a setback in his rehab and is likely out until late this month. SS Fernando Tatis Jr. (broken wrist) is still at least several weeks away from making his season debut.

Notable Trends 

  • NY is on positive runs of 8-2 overall, 5-1 in series openers and 5-1 against southpaw starters
  • NY is still 13-30 in its last 43 as an underdog despite cashing as a ‘dog Saturday and Sunday
  • SD is on positive runs of 12-4 in series openers and 8-3 vs. NL East teams
  • Over is 9-3-1 in NY’s last 13 overall
  • Under for SD is on runs of 8-3-2 overall, 16-6-1 at home this season, 9-4 vs NL East teams and 5-0-1 as a favorite

Mets Vs Padres Odds and Action 

UPDATE 12:25 P.M. ET MONDAY: PointsBet USA opened this game as a -110 pick ’em late Sunday afternoon, moved to Mets -115/Padres -105 at 9 p.m. ET, then flipped back to -110 overnight. However, the moneyline shifted to Padres -115/Mets -105 early this morning, then moved to the current price of Padres -121/Mets +100 about four hours ago.

The runline opened Mets (+1.5) -220/Padres (-1.5) +180 and after several small adjustments, it’s back to the opener. The total opened 7.5/Under -125, dipped to 7 with juice to the Over, then returned to 7.5/Under -120 — all within about a 3.5-hour span Sunday night. It’s currently priced at 7.5/Under -115.

Check back prior to first pitch for additional Mets vs Padres odds and action updates.