The Kings host the Memphis Grizzlies on Monday, Mar 18. Today’s game is set for 10:00 ET and will be shown on NBCS. Sacramento comes into this game as 10-point favorites with the total set at 222.5. Keep reading to get our Kings vs. Grizzlies predictions.
Kings vs. Grizzlies Odds
- Spread: Kings -10
- Total 222.5
Odds via FanDuel SportsBook. New To FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to redeem a $1,000 risk-free bet!
Game Info
- Date: Monday, Mar 18
- Time: 10:00 ET
- Location: Golden 1 Center, Sacramento CA
- TV: NBCS
Grizzlies Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Grizzlies have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- When looking at their past ten road matchups, Memphis has an ATS record of 7-3 while averaging 104 per game. The team went 4-6 overall in these games.
- Looking back on the team’s last ten games as the underdog, the Grizzlies have a straight up record of 3-7. Their record vs the spread in these games was 6-4.
Kings Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Kings have an over/under record of 1-4 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- In their last three home games, Sacramento has averaged 116 points per game while allowing 119. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-1 while going 2-1 vs. the spread.
- Going back to their previous three games as the favorite, Sacramento has an ATS mark of 1-2 while going 1-2 straight up.
Will Memphis Win on the Road?
Today’s game vs. the Kings marks the 5th straight game that the Grizzlies have been the underdog. As the underdog, they are 17-35 this season and have gone 28-24 against the spread.
In their last game against the Thunder, the Grizzlies lost by a score of 118-112. They were 10.5-point underdogs going into the game, giving them an ATS win. The O/U line for the game was 219.5.
Memphis has lost two straight games and currently has a record of 23-45, which is 13th in the Western Conference. On the road, they are 15-18 compared to 8-27 at home.
On average, the Grizzlies’ games have finished with 218.1 points this season. Today’s O/U line is set at 222.5, and Memphis has gone over the O/U line in their last two games.
This season, the Grizzlies are 33-35 against the spread and 19-14 on the road. In the Western Conference, they are 13th and have a record of 13-30 against other Western Conference teams.
Heading into their matchup with the Kings, the Grizzlies are one of the worst scoring teams in the NBA, averaging just 105.8 points per game (30th). On the road, they have been slightly better, scoring 108.5 points per game (26th).
Memphis has struggled with their shooting this season, hitting just 43% of their shots (30th). They have been particularly poor from three-point range, connecting on just 34% of their attempts (30th).
One area where the Grizzlies have excelled is in three-point attempts, as they are 5th in the league in three-point attempts per game. However, they have been one of the least efficient teams inside the arc, hitting just 50% of their two-point attempts (29th).
Coming into the game, the Grizzlies defense has held opposing team’s to fewer points than the league average in 44.1% of their games. Currently, they are 9th in the NBA at 112.3 points per game allowed. Memphis’ defense is currently forcing 14.4 turnovers per game, which is 26th in the league. Additionally, they enter the game ranked 4th in blocked shots, with an average of 6.2 rejections per game.
Will the Kings’ Defense Show Up at Home?
Sacramento is favored by 10 points today against the Grizzlies. This season, the Kings have been favored in 45 of their 66 games and have a 28-17 record as the favorite. However, they have failed to cover the spread in their last three games as the favorite.
In games against Western Conference opponents, the Kings are 26-17 compared to 12-11 in non-conference games. This record has them in 6th place in the West, and they are also 2nd in the Pacific Division.
Sacramento’s O/U record for the season is 33-32-1, and their last four games have gone under the posted total. On average, their games have finished with 235.1 points, and today’s O/U line is set at 222.5.
In their last game, the Kings lost to the Knicks by a score of 98-91. The O/U line for that game was 217, and Sacramento was favored by 3.5 points going into the game.
On the spread, the Kings are 33-33 for the season, going 20-14 ATS on the road and 13-19 ATS at home. Their straight-up road record is 19-15 compared to 19-13 at home.
At home, the Kings are averaging 120.2 points per game, which is 7th in the NBA. Overall, they are 8th in scoring at 118 points per game. In terms of pace, Sacramento is 10th in the league at 99.9 possessions per game.
When it comes to three-point shooting, the Kings are 5th in made threes but are just 15th in three-point percentage. Overall, they have made 36% of their attempts from beyond the arc. In terms of field goal percentage, Sacramento is 11th in the NBA at 48%.
Coming into the game, the Kings have outscored the NBA scoring average in 63.6% of their games. In terms of assists, they are 6th in the league at 28.7 per game. In terms of free throws, Sacramento is 28th in made free throws and 23rd in free throw attempts.
Defensively, the Kings come into today’s game ranked 20th in the NBA at 117.1 points per game allowed. However, they have shown signs of improvements lately, ranking 21st in the league over their last three games. So far this season, the Kings’ defense has struggled with fouls, averaging 7th in fouls per contest. On average, opponents are getting to the line 23.3 times per game vs. Sacramento.
Kings vs. Grizzlies Player Prop
A player prop we are looking at is De’Aaron Fox and his points prop of 24.5. Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -127 while the under is at -108. Our model predicts that De’Aaron Fox will finish the game going 9/20 from the field and scoring 26 points. Our suggested wager is to bet on the over for his prop bet, which comes with a payout of -127.
- The Prop: De’Aaron Fox Over 24.5 Points (-127)
Kings vs. Grizzlies Predictions
We’re calling a win for the Kings, with a final score of 109-98, and we’re taking them to cover the spread. Our recommendation is to bet on the Kings at -10.
As for the over/under, the line is currently at 222.5, and our model projects the Grizzlies and Kings to reach a combined total of 207 points. Our bet is on taking the under.
The Pick: Kings -10 | at Fanduel Sportsbook