Heat vs. Celtics Predictions, Odds & Picks For Game 4

Miami Heat forward Jimmy Butler (22) dribbles against Boston Celtics forward Jayson Tatum (0) during the second half of game two of the Eastern Conference Finals for the 2023 NBA playoffs at TD Garden.
Image Credit: David Butler II-USA TODAY Sports

In what has been a shocking series up to this point, the Miami Heat now hold a 3-0 series lead over the Boston Celtics. That’s right, Jimmy Butler and company can punch their ticket to the NBA Finals with a home win in Game 4 on Tuesday, May 23.

Tip-off is scheduled for 8:30 pm ET while airing on TNT. Miami enters this game as 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 216. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Heat vs. Celtics predictions, odds, and picks below.

Heat vs. Celtics Odds

  • Spread: Miami -1.5
  • Total: 216

Odds via Bet365. If you are new to Bet365, click our exclusive promo link below to Bet $1 to Win $200.

Game Info

  • Date: Tuesday, May 23
  • Time: 8:30 pm ET
  • Location: Kaseya Center – Miami, FL
  • TV: TNT

Our top NBA props. Everyday. Matt LaMarca runs through his Best NBA Player Props Today for this playoff game.

Heat Betting Trends

  • Heat are 7-1 ATS in their last 8 home games.
  • Over is 11-2 in Heat last 13 home games.

Celtics Betting Trends

  • Celtics are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 road games.
  • Over is 6-1 in Celtics last 7 road games.

Heat vs. Celtics Predictions

After a blowout loss in Game 3 against the Miami Heat, it’s easy to fall into the trap of thinking the Boston Celtics have thrown in the towel on their season. But don’t let recency bias cloud your judgment, because the Celtics are in a prime position to bounce back in Game 4 and keep their championship dreams alive.

Facing elimination, this gritty Boston squad will be looking to prove everyone wrong and show that they still have some fight left in them. The Celtics have a solid track record in recent road games, going 4-1 ATS in their last five away from the TD Garden. So, despite the recent crushing defeat in Miami, there’s still reason to believe that Boston can rise above the noise and eke out a win on the road.

If the Celtics can find a way to get Tatum more involved in the fourth quarter and focus on a more methodical half-court offense, they’ll be able to exploit Miami’s vulnerabilities and put points on the board. By doing so, they’ll not only increase their chances of winning but also cover the spread of 1.5.

The narrative surrounding this series has been heavily influenced by Miami’s current 3-0 lead, and it’s easy to understand why. The Heat have been on a tear in the postseason, and their unexpected success has captured the imagination of the basketball world. However, it’s important not to let this overshadow the fact that the Celtics are a talented team in their own right, with a roster built to compete at the highest level.

Expect a thrilling Game 4 as Boston claws their way back into the series and forces a Game 5 back in TD Garden.

The Pick: Celtics +1.5 | -110 at Bet365