The Dolphins are gearing up for a showdown against the Buffalo Bills on Sunday, Jan 7. This week 18 game is scheduled to start at 8:20 ET and will be broadcast on NBC. Buffalo comes into this matchup as 2.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 48.5. Will the Bills manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Dolphins vs. Bills player props and predictions.
Dolphins vs. Bills Player Props Special: SNF Week 18
This is a no-brainer NFL prop for NEW USERS of Underdog Fantasy on Sunday Night Football Week 18.
Our partners at Sleeper Fantasy are offering a promotion that allows you to take Josh Allen over 0.5 pass yards.
- New customers can also get up to a $100 deposit bonus with promo code PROPS.
- You can pair this with one of the aforementioned props or use our NFL cheat sheets for help.
- This presents a fantastic opportunity to boost your bankroll.
To redeem this exclusive offer, simply click here or the banner below.
Dolphins VS. Bills Odds
- Spread: Bills -2.5
- Total 48.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Jan 7
- Time: 8:20 ET
- Location: Hard Rock Stadium, Miami Gardens FL
- TV: NBC
Bills Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Bills have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Across their three previous road games, Buffalo has an ATS mark of 1-2. Their straight-up record in these matchups was 2-1 while averaging 26 points per game.
- Through their last five matchups as the betting favorite, the Bills have a good straight-up record, but their ATS mark is just 2-3.
Dolphins Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- Through their last ten home contests, the Dolphins offense has averaged 26 points per game while allowing an average of 29. Miami posted an overall record of 4-6 while going 6-4 ATS.
- As the betting underdog, the Dolphins have an ATS mark of just 4-6 in their last ten games. Miami posted a straight-up mark of 1-9 in these matchups.
Can the Bills Offense Score Enough on the Road?
Heading into week 18, Buffalo is in 2nd place in the AFC-East, sitting with an overall record of 10-6. In the AFC, they find themselves in 6th place. The Bills hold a 6-10 record against the spread. As we approach week 18, their scoring margin stands at +8.3 per game.
In their last game, the Bills came out on top against the Patriots, winning by a score of 27-21. On the point spread, the Bills were favored by 14.5 against the Patriots. Even though they won by 6 it was not enough to cover. Going into the game, the over/under line was 40.5 points with New England; the team performance exceeded the over/under line of 48.
On offense, the Patriots finished with 37 rushing attempts and James Cook was the leading rusher with 48 yards. In the passing game, Josh Allen threw the ball 30 times, accumulating 169 yards and a passer rating of 53.
On the defensive front, the Bills enter the game as the 9th-ranked team in tackles for loss and 3rd in sacks. Their opponents are averaging 18.6 points per game against them, along with an average of 309.2 yards per contest.
Can Miami Deliver Being Underdogs at Home?
Going into week 18, Miami is 1st in the AFC-East with an overall record of 11-5. Within the AFC, they find themselves in 2nd place. The Dolphins have put together an above .500 record versus the spread this season, currently at 10-6. Their average scoring margin for this season is +7.
The Dolphins traveled to take on the Ravens in week 17 and fell by a score of 56-19. With a 37-point loss, the Dolphins added a loss to their ATS record as well. They were 3-point underdogs prior to the game. With a set over/under line of 47 points, the game concluded with a combined total of 75 points, surpassing the betting line.
Offensively, Tua Tagovailoa finished with 237 passing yards while completing 57% of his passes. On the ground, the Dolphins ran the ball 25 times for 154 yards. The team went 6/15 on third down.
Heading into this week’s matchup with the Bills, the Dolphins defense has given up an average of 23.1 points per game. They are currently 1st in quarterback hits and have allowed an average of 308.6 yards per contest.
Dolphins vs. Bills Player Props
Bills RB James Cook Over 20.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Since Joe Brady took over as Buffalo’s offensive coordinator in Week 11, James Cook has become a vital part of their offense, especially as a pass-catching back. Cook has run 91 routes with 22 targets, translating to a 24.2% target rate per route. He’s made 17 receptions (averaging 2.8 per game), amassed 207 receiving yards (34.5 per game), and achieved 2.27 yards per route run (Y/RR).
In six games under this new role, Cook has exceeded 20.5 receiving yards in four, with a median of 35.5. His upcoming game against the Dolphins offers an excellent chance for a rebound after two disappointing performances. Historically, running backs average 4.8 receptions, 52 receiving yards, and 11.1 yards per reception against the Dolphins.
Where to Bet: James Cook over 20.5 receiving yards | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook
Dolphins VS. Bills Predictions
The oddsmakers opened the with Dolphins as the -1.5-point favorites but the lines have since moved to the Dolphins as an underdog at +2.5 (-107).
My point spread pick is Miami as 2.5-point underdogs. I expect Miami to continue their impressive rushing game, as seen in their recent matchup with Baltimore. I’ll be getting a bet down on Miami before the game starts.
The Pick: Dolphins +2.5 | -107 at Fanduel Sportsbook