Stars vs. Capitals Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Thursday, Dec. 07

Nov 30, 2023; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Dallas Stars left wing Mason Marchment (27) scores a goal on a penalty shot during the third period against the Calgary Flames at Scotiabank Saddledome.
Image Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Dallas Stars hit the road to face the Washington Capitals.

The Dallas Stars (14-7-3) are set to face off against the Washington Capitals (12-8-2) in a clash of Western and Eastern Conference contenders. With both teams experiencing recent stumbles, this game presents an opportunity to regain momentum and climb the standings.

Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals Odds Info

Moneyline: Dallas Stars -135 (BetMGM) / Washington Capitals +110 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: +1.5 – Dallas Stars +180 (BetMGM) / Washington Capitals -205 (BetRivers)

Total: 5.5 – +110 (PointsBet) / -130 (PointsBet)

Game Info

Date: Thursday, Dec. 07

Time: 08:00 PM

Location: Capital One Arena – Washington, DC


Dallas Stars Betting Trends

  • This season, the Dallas Stars have hit 13 overs and 11 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Dallas Stars have hit 6 overs and 7 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Dallas Stars have hit 11 overs and 9 unders.

Washington Capitals Betting Trends

  • This season, the Washington Capitals have hit 7 overs and 15 unders.
  • At home this season, the Washington Capitals have hit 3 overs and 9 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Washington Capitals have hit 4 overs and 10 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the last three seasons, the Dallas Stars and Washington Capitals have faced off four times, with the Stars emerging victorious in three of those encounters while the Capitals claimed one win. The visiting team has had the upper hand in these matchups, securing three wins compared to just one for the home side. When it comes to betting statistics, Dallas has consistently outperformed expectations, covering the spread in three out of the four games, whereas Washington has done so only once. Interestingly, all four games have trended towards lower-scoring affairs, with the total score going under the set Over-Under line each time. Key statistics from these games reveal a tight defensive play from both teams, with the Stars showing a slight edge in goaltending performance, particularly in games where Jake Oettinger was in net, as evidenced by his high save percentages and a shutout.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on December 15, 2022, where the Washington Capitals edged out the Dallas Stars with a narrow 2-1 victory. Despite the loss, Dallas was the slight favorite going into the game with a closing moneyline of -115 compared to Washington’s -105. The game was a defensive battle, with both teams putting up a significant number of blocks and hits. The Capitals managed to outshoot the Stars with 46 shots on goal to Dallas’s 26, but Stars’ goaltender Jake Oettinger put on a stellar performance, saving 45 of those shots for a save percentage of 0.978. The game remained tight throughout, with the Capitals securing the win with a goal difference of just one, and the total score staying well under the closing Over-Under of 5.5.

Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals Predictions

The Dallas Stars, holding a strong position in the Western Conference, have hit a bit of a rough patch with a two-game losing streak. Despite this, they boast a potent offense led by Joe Pavelski, who tops the team with 24 points, and Jason Robertson, who has been a consistent playmaker. The Stars’ ability to score in bunches will be tested against a Capitals team that has been struggling defensively, ranking near the bottom in goals against. However, Dallas will need to tighten up their own defense, having given up an average of 3.3 goals per game over their last ten outings.

On the other side, the Washington Capitals are looking to bounce back after a couple of losses, including a heavy defeat to the Arizona Coyotes. The Capitals will lean on their veteran leadership, with Alex Ovechkin and John Carlson leading the charge. Ovechkin continues to be a threat every time he’s on the ice, while Carlson’s playmaking abilities from the blue line cannot be overlooked. The Capitals have had their own defensive woes, but they’ll be hoping for a strong performance from their goaltender to keep the Stars’ offense at bay.

This matchup also features a key player battle between the Stars’ goaltender Jake Oettinger, who has shown he can be a difference-maker with high save percentages, and the Capitals’ offensive firepower. Special teams could play a crucial role, with both teams looking to capitalize on power-play opportunities. As the Stars aim to break their road losing streak, and the Capitals strive to protect their home ice, this game is poised to be a tightly contested battle with significant implications for the standings.

Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals Pick

The decision to pick ‘Over’ is influenced by several factors, including both teams’ recent performances and historical trends. Despite the historical head-to-head matchups favoring the ‘Under’, the current season’s statistics suggest a different outcome. The Dallas Stars have hit the ‘Over’ in 13 of their games this season, with a particularly strong showing on the road, where they’ve hit 6 ‘Overs’. Additionally, the Stars’ offense, led by Joe Pavelski and Jason Robertson, has been potent, and they are facing a Capitals team that has struggled defensively, ranking near the bottom in goals against. This suggests that the Stars have the firepower to contribute to a high-scoring game.

On the Capitals’ side, while they have hit more ‘Unders’ this season, their offensive capabilities cannot be ignored, especially with players like Alex Ovechkin and John Carlson on their roster. The Capitals are also due for a bounce-back performance after a heavy loss, and they will be eager to exploit any defensive weaknesses in the Stars’ lineup. Considering these factors, along with the fact that both teams will be looking to capitalize on power-play opportunities, there is a strong case to be made for a game that exceeds the total line of 5.5, making the ‘Over’ a compelling pick for this matchup.

The Pick: Over 5.5 -130 (PointsBet)

Dallas Stars vs. Washington Capitals Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Dallas Stars

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Mason Marchment Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -190 +145 2.6 2.58
Joe Pavelski Points 0.5 8/10 -145 +114 1.1 1.06
Wyatt Johnston Shots On Goal 2.5 8/10 +105 -135 2.7 2.68
Jason Robertson Points 0.5 7/10 -180 +140 0.9 0.88
Joe Pavelski Shots On Goal 1.5 7/10 -195 +150 2.1 2.07