The Commanders are ready to clash with the Miami Dolphins on Sunday, Dec 3. This week 13 matchup is set to kick off at 1:00 ET and will be televised on FOX. Miami enters this game as a 9.5-point favorite, and the over/under total is currently at 49.5. Can the Dolphins pull this one out as the favorite? Below you will find our Commanders vs. Dolphins player props and predictions.
Commanders VS. Dolphins Odds
- Spread: Dolphins -9.5
- Total 49.5
Game Info
- Date: Sunday, Dec 3
- Time: 1:00 ET
- Location: FedEx Field, Landover MD
- TV: FOX
Dolphins Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Dolphins have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five road contests, the Dolphins offense has averaged 21 points per game while allowing an average of 26. Miami posted an overall record of 2-3 while going 2-3 ATS.
- The last ten games that Miami was favored, they have an ATS mark of 7-3 while going 8-2 straight up.
Commanders Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Commanders have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 0-4-1 vs. the spread.
- In their last five home games, Washington has averaged 17 points per game while allowing 24. The team’s record in this stretch was 2-3 while going 3-2.
- Going back to their previous ten games as the underdog, Washington has an ATS mark of 6-3-1 while going 4-6 straight up.
Does Miami Have What it Takes on the Road?
Heading into week 13, the Dolphins are 1st in the AFC East on a record of 8-3. When comparing their mark to other teams in the AFC, they are 4th. So far, they have gone 3-3 on the road and 5-0 at home. This season, the Dolphins boast an above .500 record versus the spread, currently standing at 7-4. Their average scoring margin for this season is +8.
In the most recent game they played, the Dolphins picked up a win over the Jets by a score of 34-13. Given that they were favored by 9.5 against the Jets, the Dolphins picked up an ATS win. With the over/under line set at 40 points, the over hit with a combined 47 points.
On offense, the Dolphins finished with 395 yards against the Jets. On third-down situations, the Dolphins had a 68.8% conversion rate. Notably, Raheem Mostert led the rushing attack with 94 yards, while Tua Tagovailoa passed for 243 yards.
The Miami defense has recorded 14 takeaways this season, which places them 9th in the NFL. In terms of points allowed, their average of 22.8 is 20th in the league while giving up 305.2 yards per contest.
Will Washington Win at Home?
In 12 games, the Commanders have a 4-8 record. This has them situated 4th in the NFC-East and 14th in the NFC. Washington’s scoring margin up to this point is currently at -8.7. The team comes in with an ATS mark of 5-6-1.
In week 13, the Commanders will be looking to recover from the 45-10 loss they suffered against the Cowboys. In addition to their 35-point loss, the Commanders also lost vs. the spread. They were 13-point underdogs heading into the game. The over/under line for the game was 47.5 points, and the teams managed to surpass it, recording a combined total of 55 points.
On offense, the Commanders finished with 376 yards against the Cowboys. When it came to third downs, the Commanders had a 46.7% conversion rate. Leading the ground game was Brian Robinson Jr. with 53 yards, and Sam Howell contributed 300 passing yards.
The Commanders are currently 4th in tackles for loss and 6th in sacks on defense. Their opponents are scoring an average of 29.2 points per game and gaining 377.7 yards per contest against them.
Commanders vs. Dolphins Player Props
Against Washington, Tua Tagovailoa’s passing yards prop is 277.5. Currently, the payout for going over this threshold is -116.
When it comes to passing attempts among quarterbacks, Tagovailoa is currently positioned 9th. His season statistics include 3,177 passing yards and a completion percentage of 69.8%. Look for Miami to go up early in this one and turn to the running game, which could limit Tagovailoa’s overall passing numbers.
- The Prop: Tua Tagovailoa Under 277.5 Passing Yards (-116)
Commanders VS. Dolphins Predictions
Since the lines were initially posted, Miami has seen movement from -6.5 point favorites to their current line of -9.5 (-110). Washington, on the other hand, currently stands as +9.5 (-110) point underdogs at home.
A key matchup to watch in this game is the Commanders’ offense vs. the Dolphins’ defense. Our projections have the Commanders building on their most recent 376-yard performance on offense and putting together another big game vs. Miami. I like the Commanders at +9.5.
The Pick: Commanders +9.5
