Celtics Vs Heat Props: Value On Derrick White In Game 7

Derrick White #9 of the Boston Celtics dribbles the ball in the first quarter against the Indiana Pacers at Gainbridge Fieldhouse on February 27, 2022 in Indianapolis, Indiana.
Image Credit: Dylan Buell/Getty Images

Sunday features Game 7 of the Eastern Conference finals, and we have four Celtics vs Heat props teed up for this matchup.

The Celtics check in as 2.5-point road favorites to advance to the NBA Finals. The total is somewhat low at 196.5, so we could see a scrappy elimination game between two teams that are not afraid to dust it up.

We’ll keep that in mind as we hunt for betting value on the Heat vs Celtics props market for Game 7.

Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 12:30 p.m. ET on May 27.

Celtics Vs Heat Player Props

Boston Celtics guard Derrick White (9) moves the ball while defended by Oklahoma City Thunder guard Tre Mann (23) during the second half at Paycom Center.
Image Credit: Rob Ferguson-USA TODAY Sports

Boston Celtics: G Derrick White

The prop: 8.5 points
The odds: Over -125/Under -105

Most people will gravitate towards Jayson Tatum and Jimmy Butler when browsing Celtics vs Heat props. However, White could represent the best value on the player props board.

This 8.5-point prop seems low. After all, White is brimming with confidence after chipping in 13-plus points in three straight games.

White was a non-factor in the first two games of this series, but the Celtics have been feeding him more playing time since then. That translates to a 34-minute average in the past three vs Miami. White is averaging 16 points per game over that span, which is nearly double this 8.5-point prop.

Take the Over with somewhat limited juice.

Jaylen Brown #7 of the Boston Celtics looks on in the first quarter against the Golden State Warriors at Chase Center on March 16, 2022 in San Francisco, California.
Image Credit: Lachlan Cunningham/Getty Images

Boston Celtics: G/F Jaylen Brown

The prop: 2.5 assists
The odds: Over -175Under +130

The -175 price to the Over is heavy, but it’s the correct side. Here’s why:

  • Brown has chipped in three-plus assists in 18 of his last 23 games.
  • On the season, Brown averaged 3.5 assists per game.
  • In Game 6, Brown flew past this mark with 5 assists.

If you are a fan of math, you’ll appreciate this fact: The -175 odds imply Brown has a 63 percent chance to go Over 2.5 assists. Touching on that first bullet point, Brown has gone Over this prop in 18 of his last 23. That’s a 78 percent hit rate signaling value to the Over.

All in all, Brown profiles as a solid bet to go Over 2.5 assists despite the heavy juice.

Miami Heat forward Max Strus (31) moves for the basket during the third quarter against the Milwaukee Bucks at Fiserv Forum.
Image Credit: Jeff Hanisch-USA TODAY Sports

Miami Heat: G/F Max Strus

The prop: 1.5 assists
The odds: Over +105/Under -135

If you spend any time on NBA Twitter, then you’ve probably seen memes of Strus. He threw up a dud in Game 3, failing to record a stat in 15 minutes of playing time.

Don’t let that cloud your judgment when it comes to Celtics vs Heat props.

Strus is in a fine position to go Over 1.5 assists in Game 7. The Miami wing has posted two-plus assists in six of his last seven games. That lone failure? Well, we’ve already talked about it.

Strus came back with 34 minutes in Game 6, and he should fly past this assist prop if he sees similar playing time on Sunday. Getting plus-money for this prop is a nice bonus.

Robert Williams III #44 of the Boston Celtics looks on against the Brooklyn Nets in Game One of the First Round of the 2021 NBA Playoffs at Barclays Center at Barclays Center on May 22, 2021 in New York City.
Image Credit: Steven Ryan/Getty Images

Boston Celtics: F/C Robert Williams

The prop: 7.5 points
The odds: Over -110/Under -115

Williams isn’t known for his scoring prowess, but this number seems way too low. Consider these facts:

  • Williams averaged 10.0 points per game this season.
  • In this series, Williams holds a 10.6 point per game average.
  • Williams has scored 10-plus points in five of his last seven outings.

The Boston big man should find enough looks to soar past 7.5 points. He has avoided foul trouble (for the most part) in this series, which is a good sign pointing towards a healthy compliment of minutes to pad his scoring numbers.