Flames vs. Avalanche Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Monday, Dec. 11

Nov 27, 2023; Calgary, Alberta, CAN; Calgary Flames center Nazem Kadri (91) skates with the puck against the Vegas Golden Knights during the first period at Scotiabank Saddledome
Image Credit: Sergei Belski-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Calgary Flames hit the road to face the Colorado Avalanche.

The Calgary Flames (11-13-3) are set to face off against the Colorado Avalanche (16-9-2) in a Western Conference showdown. With both teams eager to climb the standings, this matchup at the Ball Arena promises to be a fierce contest.

Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche Odds Info

Moneyline: Calgary Flames +150 (DraftKings) / Colorado Avalanche -180 (DraftKings)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Calgary Flames -160 (FanDuel) / Colorado Avalanche +136 (DraftKings)

Total: 6.5 – -120 (Bet365) / -100 (FanDuel)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Dec. 11

Time: 09:30 PM

Location: Ball Arena – Denver, CO

TV: ESPN+

Calgary Flames Betting Trends

  • This season, the Calgary Flames have hit 16 overs and 11 unders.
  • On the road this season, the Calgary Flames have hit 8 overs and 6 unders.
  • As the underdog this season, the Calgary Flames have hit 8 overs and 6 unders.

Colorado Avalanche Betting Trends

  • This season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 15 overs and 12 unders.
  • At home this season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 8 overs and 5 unders.
  • As the favorite this season, the Colorado Avalanche have hit 14 overs and 11 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Calgary Flames and the Colorado Avalanche have faced off four times, with the Avalanche emerging victorious in three of those encounters. The games, spanning from October 2022 to November 2023, have seen the home team secure wins in three instances, indicating a potential home-ice advantage in this matchup. The Colorado Avalanche has also been more successful against the spread, covering it in three out of the four games, while the Flames have only done so once. In terms of over-under betting, the under has been the more frequent outcome, hitting three times compared to the over, which has only occurred once. Key statistics from these games reveal that the Avalanche have consistently been the stronger offensive team, with a higher number of goals scored in three out of the four games. The Flames have struggled to match this offensive output, only outscoring the Avalanche in their single win. The goaltending performances have also been noteworthy, with the Avalanche goalies typically posting higher save percentages, contributing to their series dominance.

The most recent game between the two teams took place on November 25, 2023, where the Colorado Avalanche defeated the Calgary Flames with a final score of 3-1. In this game, the Avalanche were the favorites with a closing moneyline of -170, and they managed to cover the spread of -1.5. The game stayed under the closing over-under line of 6.5. The Avalanche’s offense was led by Nathan MacKinnon, who contributed two goals, while Jonathan Drouin and Ryan Johansen also added to the score sheet. The Flames’ lone goal came from Mikael Backlund, with assists by Jonathan Huberdeau and Blake Coleman. Goaltending was a strong point for Colorado, with Ivan Prosvetov saving 29 of 30 shots for a save percentage of 0.967, outperforming the Flames’ Dan Vladar, who posted a save percentage of 0.875. The Avalanche also capitalized on their power play opportunity, scoring once, whereas the Flames were unable to convert on their power play chances.

Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche Predictions

The Calgary Flames are entering this game with a bit of uncertainty, having lost their last game and sitting at 11th in the Western Conference. Despite their struggles, the Flames have talent in their roster, with players like Elias Lindholm and Nazem Kadri, who leads the team with 18 points. However, their offensive production has been inconsistent, and they’ll need to step up against a Colorado team that boasts a strong defensive lineup.

On the other side, the Colorado Avalanche are looking to bounce back from a two-game losing streak. With a solid home record at the Ball Arena, the Avalanche will be leaning on their star players Nathan MacKinnon, who has tallied 37 points this season, and Mikko Rantanen, the team’s top goal scorer. Colorado’s offense is ranked among the best in the league, and they’ll be looking to exploit any weaknesses in the Flames’ defense, which has been underperforming lately.

This game could come down to key player matchups and special teams. The Avalanche’s power play unit, led by Cale Makar’s playmaking abilities, will test the Flames’ penalty kill, which has been relatively strong this season. Goaltending will also be a critical factor, with both teams seeking a dominant performance between the pipes to secure the win. As the Flames and Avalanche clash, it will be a battle of wills, with both teams aiming to assert themselves in a tightly contested Western Conference.

Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche Pick

Given the offensive prowess of the Colorado Avalanche, especially at home, and the Calgary Flames’ need to push the pace to climb the standings, the over on a 6.5 total line seems like a strong pick. The Avalanche’s scoring capabilities are highlighted by Nathan MacKinnon’s consistent point production and Mikko Rantanen’s goal-scoring touch. Additionally, the Flames have hit the over in 16 of their games this season, indicating a trend towards higher-scoring games. While the historic head-to-head has favored the under, the current form of both teams suggests that this matchup could break that pattern, with the Avalanche’s recent games at home trending towards the over.

Moreover, both teams have had their defensive struggles, with the Flames allowing goals at inopportune times and the Avalanche coming off a two-game losing streak where their defense has been penetrable. With both teams having something to prove and key offensive players on each side capable of capitalizing on power plays and scoring opportunities, this game has the potential to be a high-scoring affair. The Flames’ urgency to get back on track and the Avalanche’s depth and star power at home make the over a compelling pick for this Western Conference clash.

The Pick: Over 6.5 -100 (FanDuel)

Calgary Flames vs. Colorado Avalanche Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Calgary Flames

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nazem Kadri Points 0.5 7/10 -115 -115 0.7 0.8

Colorado Avalanche

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Nathan MacKinnon Assists 0.5 8/10 -160 +124 1.0 1.04
Valeri Nichushkin Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 -140 +110 3.2 3.04
Valeri Nichushkin Points 0.5 7/10 -195 +150 1.0 0.99