The Bucks are gearing up for a showdown against the Denver Nuggets on Monday, Feb 12. Today’s game is scheduled to start at 8:00 ET and will be broadcast on BSW. Denver comes into this matchup as 1.5-point favorites, with the over/under set at 231.5. Will the Nuggets manage to secure a win as the favorite? Below, you’ll find our Bucks vs. Nuggets player props and predictions.
Bucks vs. Nuggets Odds
- Spread: Nuggets -1.5
- Total 231.5
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Game Info
- Date: Monday, Feb 12
- Time: 8:00 ET
- Location: Fiserv Forum, Milwaukee WI
- TV: BSW
Nuggets Betting Trends
- Over their last five games, the Nuggets have an over/under record of 2-3 and are 2-3 vs. the spread.
- Through their last five road games, Denver has an ATS record of just 2-2-1. However, their overall record was 2-3 while averaging 103 points per game.
- Against the spread, the Nuggets have put together 1-2 in their last three games as the betting favorite. In these same games, they went 3-0 straight up.
Bucks Betting Trends
- In their last five games, the Bucks have an over/under record of 3-2 and are 3-2 vs. the spread.
- In their last five games at home, the Bucks have a straight up record of 1-4 while going 1-4 vs the spread. The team’s offense averaged 113 points per game in these contests.
- As the betting underdog, the Bucks have an ATS mark of just 0-3 in their last three games. Milwaukee posted a straight up mark of 0-3 in these matchups.
Do the Nuggets Have What it Takes on the Road?
In the Western Conference standings, the Nuggets are currently in 4th place with a record of 36-17. Within the Northwest Division, they are in 3rd place.
This season, Denver has been favored in 46 of their 53 games. As the favorite, they have gone 34-12 and have won their last five games as the favorite. As the favorite, they are 19-25 against the spread with an average scoring margin of +5.1 points per game.
On the road, the Nuggets are 15-13 straight up and 10-17 against the spread. Their ATS record vs. the spread is 22-29 overall. Today, they are favored by 1.5 points.
In their last game, the Nuggets lost to the Kings by a score of 135-106. The O/U line for that game was 230.5 points, and Denver was getting 3 points going into the game.
This season, the average O/U line in Nuggets games is 227.7, and their games have averaged 225.6 points per game. Denver’s over/under record for the season is 19-33-1, and 37 of their games have had lower O/U lines than today’s (231.5).
This season, the Nuggets have been a top-10 offense at home, averaging 119.5 points per game. However, on the road, they have struggled to score, ranking just 24th at 110.2 points per game.
So far, Denver has outscored the NBA scoring average in just 45.3% of their games. In terms of pace, they are the slowest team in the league, averaging just 95.8 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Nuggets are one of the most accurate teams in the league, ranking 6th in field goal percentage at 49%. However, they have struggled from beyond the arc, hitting just 37% of their three-point attempts.
At present, the Nuggets’ defense is ranked 6th, allowing 111.0 points per game. In the terms of takeaways, Nuggets are causing 11.7 turnovers per game, ranking 3rd in the league. They also enter the matchup ranked 13th in rejections, averaging 5.4 blocked shots each game.
Can Milwaukee Grab a Win at Home?
As the Bucks prepare to take on the Nuggets, they are 1.5-point underdogs at home. This season, Milwaukee has gone 0-6 as the underdog and are looking to snap a 6-game losing streak as the underdog. Their ATS record as the underdog is 1-5, with an average scoring differential of -16 points per game.
In terms of their O/U record, the Bucks are 29-24 this season. Today’s line of 231.5 is lower than the season average of 239.4. In 39 of their games, the O/U line has been higher than 231.5.
Milwaukee’s last game was a 120-84 win over the Hornets. They easily covered the spread as 16-point favorites and the game finished well below the O/U line of 229.5.
On the season, the Bucks have an average scoring differential of +6.4 points per game at home. Their overall home record is 22-6, which is the best in the Eastern Conference. Against the spread at home, they are 11-17 compared to 9-16 on the road.
Milwaukee is currently 3rd in the East with a record of 34-19. In non-conference games, they are 9-7 and 25-12 against other teams in the East.
When it comes to scoring, the Bucks are one of the best teams in the league, averaging 122.9 points per game (2nd). At home, they have been even better, averaging 124.7 points per game.
So far this season, Milwaukee has outscored the NBA scoring average in 73.6% of their games. In terms of pace, they are 4th in the league at 101.5 possessions per game.
When it comes to shooting, the Bucks are 5th in field goal percentage at 49%. They are also one of the top teams in three-point shooting, making an average of 14.2 threes per game (5th).
On defense, the Bucks are ranked 23rd in the NBA this season. So far, they have given up more points than the NBA scoring average in 66.0% of their games. When it comes to forced turnovers, the Bucks are forcing 12.4 per game, which is 11th in the league. They also come into the game sitting 17th in blocked shots at 5.2 per game.
Bucks vs. Nuggets Player Props
A player prop we are looking at is Giannis Antetokounmpo and his points prop of 30.5.
Currently, the over for this prop is sitting at a payout of -120 while the under is at -110. Our projections have Giannis Antetokounmpo going 13/21 from the field on his way to 34 points. Our recommended bet is take the over on his prop bet with a payout of -120.
- The Prop: Giannis Antetokounmpo Over 30.5 Points (-120)
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Bucks vs. Nuggets Predictions
Entering the game as underdogs with a spread of +1.5, the Bucks is our point spread pick. Our projections not only see them covering the spread but also indicate a solid chance of an outright victory. This is a good choice for those looking for a higher moneyline payout.
As for the total, the line is currently sitting at 231.5 and our model has the Nuggets and Bucks finishing with a combined 243 points. Our pick is to take the over.
The Pick: Bucks +1.5 | at Fanduel Sportsbook