Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Props, Picks and Predictions – Monday, Mar. 04

Boston Bruins center Charlie Coyle (13) in action during the game between the Dallas Stars and the Boston Bruins at the American Airlines Center.
Image Credit: Jerome Miron-USA TODAY Sports

We have your Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs prop betting and game preview needs covered as the Boston Bruins hit the road to face the Toronto Maple Leafs.

The Boston Bruins (35-13-14) are gearing up to face the Toronto Maple Leafs (35-17-8) in a highly anticipated Eastern Conference showdown. With both teams neck-and-neck in the standings, this matchup could have significant playoff implications.

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Odds Info

Moneyline: Boston Bruins +120 (PointsBet) / Toronto Maple Leafs -130 (BetMGM)

Puck Line: -1.5 – Boston Bruins -205 (DraftKings) / Toronto Maple Leafs +184 (FanDuel)

Total: 6.0 – +102 (DraftKings) / -120 (BetMGM)

Game Info

Date: Monday, Mar. 04

Time: 07:00 PM

Location: Scotiabank Arena – Toronto, ON


Boston Bruins Betting Trends

  • On the road this season, the Boston Bruins have 16 wins and 15 losses.
  • As the underdog this season, the Boston Bruins have 4 wins and 4 losses.
  • This season, the Boston Bruins have hit 31 overs and 31 unders.

Toronto Maple Leafs Betting Trends

  • At home this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 17 wins and 13 losses.
  • As the favorite this season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have 30 wins and 22 losses.
  • This season, the Toronto Maple Leafs have hit 35 overs and 25 unders.

Historic Head-to-Head Stats and Analysis

Over the course of the last two seasons, the Boston Bruins and the Toronto Maple Leafs have faced off six times, with the Bruins emerging victorious in five of those encounters while the Maple Leafs claimed a single win. The home team has held the advantage with four wins to the visiting team’s two. When it comes to betting statistics, Boston has proven to be the better bet, covering the spread in four out of the six games, whereas Toronto has covered the spread twice. The total score has equally favored the over and under, with three games each hitting over and under the set point totals. In terms of goalkeeping, the Bruins have shown a consistently strong performance with their goalies achieving save percentages often above the .900 mark, contributing to their higher win percentage. The Maple Leafs have seen fluctuating save percentages from their goaltenders, which has reflected in their less consistent win record. The games have been competitive, with the final score spread often being close, indicating tightly contested matchups between these two teams.

The most recent game between the Boston Bruins and the Toronto Maple Leafs took place on December 2, 2023, and ended with a narrow 4-3 victory for the Bruins. The game was a nail-biter, with the Bruins initially taking the lead only for the Maple Leafs to fight back and tie the game, pushing it into overtime. Ultimately, it was the Bruins who clinched the win with an overtime goal. The Bruins’ Linus Ullmark faced 40 shots and made 37 saves, ending the game with a .925 save percentage, while the Maple Leafs’ Joseph Woll faced 37 shots, making 33 saves for a .892 save percentage. The game saw the Bruins’ offense led by key players such as David Pastrnak and Brad Marchand, while Auston Matthews was a standout for the Maple Leafs with two goals. The game went over the set point total of 6.5, with a combined total score of 7, and the Bruins covered the spread as visitors, which was set at -1.5.

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Predictions

The Bruins and Maple Leafs are two of the Eastern Conference’s powerhouses, and their upcoming clash is expected to be a high-stakes affair. Boston, despite a recent slump that’s seen them win only four of their last thirteen games, still boasts one of the league’s top offenses, led by right winger David Pastrnak, who has tallied an impressive 87 points this season. The Bruins’ defensive game, however, has been less consistent, and they’ll need to tighten up against a Maple Leafs team that has been finding the back of the net with ease.

Toronto, on a two-game winning streak, has been on a tear offensively, with Auston Matthews leading the charge with 53 goals. William Nylander has also been a key contributor, amassing 83 points so far. The Leafs’ recent form has seen them dominate the over in betting trends, suggesting that their games have been high-scoring, which could spell trouble for the Bruins if they can’t keep up offensively or lock it down defensively. Toronto’s recent success has been partly due to their power play, which will be a critical factor in this matchup.

This game is not just about the star power on offense; it’s also a battle of goaltending. The Bruins will likely lean on Linus Ullmark to bounce back from a tough stretch, while the Maple Leafs’ Ilya Samsonov has been solid between the pipes. The head-to-head history favors Boston, but with both teams so closely matched in talent and recent form, this game could go either way. It’s a classic offense vs. defense scenario, with the Bruins’ goal-scoring prowess facing off against the Maple Leafs’ high-flying attack. Whichever team can impose their style of play may just skate away with the victory.

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Pick

Despite the Boston Bruins’ recent struggles, they have historically had the upper hand against the Toronto Maple Leafs, winning five out of their last six encounters. The Bruins’ offense, spearheaded by David Pastrnak, has the firepower to challenge the Maple Leafs’ defense, which has been prone to inconsistency. Moreover, the Bruins’ goaltending, particularly Linus Ullmark’s save percentage, has been a key factor in their victories, and a strong performance from him could tip the scales in Boston’s favor once again. Considering the Bruins’ ability to cover the spread in recent matchups and the high stakes of this game, the value lies with the Bruins’ moneyline, especially at the plus-money odds being offered.

While the Maple Leafs have been on a scoring spree, the Bruins’ need to bounce back from their slump provides an additional motivational edge. The Bruins’ recent games have seen them go over the set point totals, indicating their capacity to engage in high-scoring affairs, which aligns with the Maple Leafs’ trend. However, Boston’s experience in tight games and their success in previous meetings, including the latest 4-3 overtime victory, suggest they know how to close out games against Toronto. With the Bruins poised to regain their form and considering the competitive odds, backing the Boston Bruins on the moneyline is a calculated risk worth taking for this Eastern Conference showdown.

The Pick: Boston Bruins +120 (PointsBet)

Boston Bruins vs. Toronto Maple Leafs Player Prop Picks

Here are the players who have hit over their current prop line in at least 7 of their last 10 games.

Boston Bruins

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Jake DeBrusk Shots On Goal 2.5 7/10 +124 -160 2.9 2.76
Charlie McAvoy Points 0.5 7/10 -125 -105 0.9 0.86

Toronto Maple Leafs

Player Name Prop Line Over Rate Over Odds Under Odds Last 10 Average Projection
Bobby McMann Shots On Goal 1.5 8/10 -166 +130 3.2 3.26
Auston Matthews Shots On Goal 3.5 7/10 -160 +124 3.9 3.89
Mitch Marner Assists 0.5 8/10 -145 +114 1.7 1.60
Mitch Marner Points 1.5 7/10 +175 -230 1.9 1.75