Looking for the best NFL player props today? You’ve come to the right place! In this article, Our expert analysts outline their favorite NFL prop bets for every week of the season.
Below, you’ll see our top NFL prop picks across different categories like yardage, touchdowns, interceptions, completions, attempts, and more. In other words, if there’s an NFL player prop with value, then you better believe we are going for it.
Best NFL Player Props Today: Week 16 Saturday Slate
Our analysts run through their favorite NFL player props for the major slates each week.
Looking for more analysis? Check out all of our Week 16 content linked below.
JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards – Higher Than 5.5
There have been a bunch of injury developments for the Chiefs this week. Patrick Mahomes picked up an ankle injury in his last outing, and there was some concern that he’d be out of the lineup this week vs. the Texans. That ended up not being the case, with Mahomes being removed from the injury report and officially cleared to start.
Additionally, the team is getting healthier at receiver. Hollywood Brown has missed the entire season with an injury, but he’s been activated from IR and will suit up vs. the Texans. That’s a potentially huge development. Brown immediately bolsters a subpar group of pass-catchers and makes them look much more dangerous come playoff time.
Still, I’m not sure what kind of impact Brown will make in his first game back. The most likely scenario is that the Chiefs will ease him back into the rotation, similar to what they’re doing with Isiah Pacheco at running back. De’Andre Hopkins also continues to play limited snaps, so there should still be plenty of opportunities for some of their secondary pass-catchers.
That includes Smith-Schuster. He’s not a huge part of their passing attack, but he does have at least six receiving yards in five straight games since returning from injury. He also received three targets last week vs. the Browns, which was his top mark since returning to the lineup.
Ultimately, Smith-Schuster will undoubtedly see a reduction in value in the future, but I think that’s being overpriced for Saturday.
Where to play: JuJu Smith-Schuster Receiving Yards – Higher Than 5.5 | Underdog
Najee Harris Rushing Attempts – Lower Than 13.5
On the surface, this number feels really low for Harris. He’s had at least 14 carries in all but two games this season, so he’s been a pretty consistent option all year.
However, it’s important to put the matchup into perspective. Harris and the Steelers have had a lot of favorable game scripts this season, but that doesn’t figure to be the case on Saturday. They’re taking on the Ravens in Baltimore, and they’re expected to be playing from behind.
We saw that type of game script play out for Harris last week vs. the Eagles, and the results were not pretty. He finished with a season-low six rushing attempts, and Jaylen Warren saw significantly more snaps in the team’s backfield.
The matchup could also propel the Steelers to a more pass-heavy game script regardless of what the scoreboard says. The Ravens have been one of the easiest defenses in football to throw against this season, but they’ve been pretty stout against the run. They’re third in rush defense EPA and 28th against the pass, so it’s a spot where Harris could be less busy than usual.
This number opened at 14.5 this week, but I still think it’s playable at 13.5. If this game goes the way I expect, Harris might struggle to clear double-digits altogether.
Where to play: Najee Harris Rushing Attempts – Lower Than 13.5 | Underdog
Where To Place NFL Prop Bets
The sportsbooks and daily fantasy sites featured in this article offer more than enough options to satisfy your NFL player props needs. As outlined before, always shop around for the best price when it comes to NFL player props.
You can’t go wrong with DraftKings Sportsbook and FanDuel Sportsbook when it comes to any kind of sports bet. Take a look at the following guides to see if DraftKings and FanDuel are legal in your state:
NFL Fantasy Player Props
We love the NFL player props available at top-flight daily fantasy sites like Underdog Fantasy and Sleeper Fantasy. These fantasy player props aren’t technically sports betting picks, but they offer a very similar experience to prop-betting parlays.
You’ll often find the juiciest lines and payouts odds for NFL props available at legal DFS sites. These apps are available in many states that don’t yet have legal online sports betting.
More Sports Betting Resources
Check out the Props.com NFL Betting Guide and Guide To Prop Betting for more on how to bet NFL props.
For more on the available sports betting bonuses in your state, take a look at some of these Props.com resources:
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PrizePicks and other DFS apps offer fantasy prop contests that are very similar to prop betting. Check out our Apps Like PrizePicks guide, which outlines some of the best sports gaming options available in most U.S. states (even the ones that haven’t legalized sports betting).
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