Here we go with our best college football bets for Week 9 of the NCAAF season.
Our Props.com analysts were asked to list their top two NCAAF picks for the weekend. You can view each writer’s overall record in the section towards the bottom of this article.
Also, don’t forget to check out our College Football Parlay Picks article for Week 9, as some of these picks are used in that article as well.
Best College Football Bets: Week 9
These best college football bets were compiled earlier in the week, so there’s a chance the lines have shifted since publishing this article.
Southern Mississippi vs. Appalachian State Over 54.5 Points (-115)
Analyst: Justin Bales
Where to bet: Over 54.5 Points | -115 at BetMGM
Southern Miss enters this game with a 5-2 over/under record. They’re beating the total by an average of 6.9 points per game. App State owns a 4-3 over/under record, beating the total by 9.6 points per game.
This is an interesting matchup between two terrible defenses. App State’s offense has shown flashes at times this season. Nate Noel is questionable for this game, though, and that would be a big blow to their offense.
It’s important to note that I don’t believe they need Noel to find offensive success against Southern Miss’ defense. The latter features one of the worst defenses in the NCAA, and teams can beat them through the air or on the ground.
On the other side, Southern Miss hasn’t flashed as an offense in 2023. We know Frank Gore Jr. comes with plenty of upside, though, as he’s had a great career. App State features an awful defense, and you can also beat them anywhere.
It may be easiest to beat App State on the ground, though, and I expect plenty of big plays from both sides of this game.
Southern Mississippi vs. Appalachian State Over 54.5 Points
Vanderbilt vs. Ole Miss Over 63.5 Points (-108)
Analyst: Justin Bales
Where to bet: Over 63.5 Points | -108 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Vanderbilt’s been one of the best over teams in the NCAA this season. They enter this game with an 8-0 over/under record, beating the total by an average of 8.3 points per game. Oddly, Ole Miss leans toward the under with a 3-4 over/under record, but they can score points in a hurry.
To put it simply, I don’t believe this play is about Ole Miss. They’re going to be able to score at an elite rate against an awful Vanderbilt defense. They should find success through the air and on the ground, and we know they’re a team that can score 50+ points in a game.
Instead, we need to look at Vanderbilt. They certainly aren’t a great offense, but they have flashed at times in 2023. They posted 28 points against Kentucky a few weeks ago, although they’ve scored 21 or fewer points in each of their last three games.
Ole Miss has been great against the run this season, but they’ve struggled against the pass. Vanderbilt is throwing at one of the highest rates in the NCAA in 2023. Granted, this is because they’re losing often, but that should be the case again this week.
If Vanderbilt can find the end zone a few times in this game, this should soar over this total.
Washington -26.5 (at Stanford)
Analyst: John Supowitz
Where to bet: Washington -26.5 | -112 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Last week wasn’t a game the Huskies will have on their highlight reel, but they were able to grab the win against Arizona State and remain the only undefeated team in the PAC-12. The offense has been explosive in previous games before scoring 30 or more points in each and is seventh in the country in points scored per game.
Stanford’s highlight of the season might be just the overtime win over Colorado. They have been getting destroyed by ranked teams by being outscored by 117 in three matchups. Washington will be ready to regroup, and they’ll want to make this a runaway just like their Pac-12 counterparts have done.
Duke vs. Louisville Under 46 Points
Analyst: John Supowitz
Where to bet: Under 46 Points | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
We have two teams coming off their first conference losses and needing to regroup if they want to compete for the ACC championship. Duke had a tough task by going on the road and facing Florida State. No one expected Riley Leonard to have a great game against a tough FSU pass defense, but this will be a better matchup for him.
Louisville dropping that game to Pitt as a touchdown favorite was surprising. Jake Plummer was fantastic in the first half, but he and Cardinals offense collapsed after halftime with zero points, two interceptions (one for a touchdown), and four possessions lost on downs.
Duke has been great defensively other than last week, and Louisville can take away the run game and if they can keep Jordan Water quiet, that will keep them competitive. This will be an interesting defensive matchup, so go with the under.
Best College Football Bets: Results
- Justin Bales: 7-9
- John Supowitz: 7-9
More College Football Bets & Props
Props.com has plenty of NCAAF picks and predictions for Week 6, including the following:
