Here we go with our best college football bets for Week 8 of the NCAAF season.
Our Props.com analysts were asked to list their top two NCAAF picks for the weekend. You can view each writer’s overall record in the section towards the bottom of this article.
Also, don’t forget to check out our College Football Parlay Picks article for Week 8, as some of these picks are used in that article as well.
Best College Football Bets: Week 8
These best college football bets were compiled earlier in the week, so there’s a chance the lines have shifted since publishing this article.
Colorado State vs. UNLV Over 64 Points (-108)
Analyst: Justin Bales
Where to bet: Over 64 Points | -108 at BetRivers
Colorado State’s looked great in terms of the over this season. They own a 5-1 over/under record, beating the total by an average of 6.8 points per game. UNLV’s posted a 4-2 over/under record, and they’re beating the total by 7.7 points per game.
Colorado State isn’t a dominant offense, but they push the pace in their games, giving themselves plenty of opportunities to score. UNLV’s been dominant, averaging over 0.5 points per play in 2023.
The bigger key is that both of these teams feature bad defenses. Colorado State ranks 101st in the NCAA in points allowed per play (0.465) this season. UNLV’s also struggled, ranking 84th (0.425) in the same category.
We know that both of these offenses have the ability to score, but it’s the defenses that point toward the over. Colorado State and UNLV are combining to allow 67.4 points per game.
Colorado State will look to push the pace in this game, and UNLV shouldn’t have any problems hitting big plays. We’re getting a reasonable total for this potential shootout.
UCF vs. Oklahoma Over 66 Points (-110)
Analyst: Justin Bales
Where to bet: Over 66 Points | -110 at Pointsbet
UCF and Oklahoma are two teams that lean toward the over in their games. The Golden Knights own a 5-1 over/under record, beating the total by an average of 6.3 points per game. The Sooners haven’t been quite as good, but they’ve posted a 4-2 over/under record in 2023.
This game is going to be played at a blazing pace. Both of these teams rank 26th or better in seconds per play this season. They’re offenses that are going to push the pace and try to keep the opposing defense on their heels.
These teams have also featured elite offenses in 2023. Oklahoma ranks fifth in the country in points per play (0.593), while Central Florida ranks 26th (0.479). They’re combining to average 77.6 points per game this season.
I was debating between the over and Oklahoma spread, but there’s sharp money on UCF in this game. If that’s the case, they’re going to need to score plenty of points. We know that Oklahoma can score 40+ points on any team in the country, meaning UCF will need to find the end zone early and often to keep this game close.
Iowa vs. Minnesota Under 31.5 Points (-110)
Analyst: John Supowitz
Where to bet: Under 31.5 Points | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
If you are looking for a hard nose, smash mouth, defensive-centric football game, then here it is.
Offense is the last thing on each of these team’s minds; Minnesota is 109th, and Iowa is 112th in points scored per game. The Gophers are going run, then run, and even in situations where they should pass, they’ll run some more because they pass on just 37.4% of their plays, which is 127th.
Iowa is a little better as they’ve managed to get their pass plays up 42%, but the quarterback is abysmal with Deacon Hill, who is 12-of-35 in pass attempts since becoming the starter. This is one of the lowest posted totals in college football history and for a good reason.
UNC -24 (vs. Virginia)
Analyst: John Supowitz
Where to bet: UNC -24 | -112 at DraftKings Sportsbook
We need to admit that North Carolina is a very good football team. The offense is 15th in points per game they’ve put up at least 30 points in each. Drake Maye is also proving to be great and is in coming into this game throwing for over 270 yards and multiple touchdowns in three of his last four.
They’re taking on Virginia, who finally got their first win two weeks ago against the FCS program William & Mary. The Cavaliers have played some close games against below-average teams, but in the only matchup to a ranked opponent, they lost by 36 and allowed 499 total yards against Tennessee.
Best College Football Bets: Results
- Justin Bales: 7-7
- John Supowitz: 6-8
More College Football Bets & Props
Props.com has plenty of NCAAF picks and predictions for Week 6, including the following:
