We have a Top 15 matchup in the SEC, as No. 15 Arkansas will host No. 4 Alabama on Wednesday, Jan. 11. The game is scheduled for 7 pm ET while airing on ESPN2. Arkansas enters this game as 0.5-point favorites with the total set at 150.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Arkansas vs. Alabama predictions below.
Arkansas vs. Alabama Odds
- Spread: Arkansas -0.5
- Total: 150.5
Odds via FanDuel Sportsbook. New to FanDuel? Check out our FanDuel Sportsbook Review to find out how to bet $5 to win $150.
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Game Info
- Date: Wednesday, Jan. 11
- Time: 7 pm ET
- Location: Bud Walton Arena – Fayetteville, Arkansas
- TV: ESPN2
Arkansas Betting Trends
- KenPom Ranking: No. 10
- Razorbacks are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS loss.
- Under is 5-0 in Razorbacks last 5 overall.
- Under is 4-1 in Razorbacks last 5 home games.
Alabama Betting Trends
- KenPom Ranking: No. 7
- Crimson Tide are 4-9 ATS in their last 13 games following a ATS win.
- Over is 13-4 in Crimson Tide last 17 road games.
- Over is 13-3 in Crimson Tide last 16 road games vs. a team with a winning home record.
Arkansas vs. Alabama Predictions
Arkansas was humbled with a 72-59 loss at No. 21 Auburn in its last game. In fact, the Razorbacks have lost two of its first three SEC games, falling at LSU on Dec. 28 and then beating Missouri on Jan. 4. Arkansas is one of the best defensive teams in the nation, as it ranks ninth in adjusted defensive efficiency according to KenPom.com.
Alabama is 13-2 overall and 3-0 in SEC play after smacking Kentucky 78-52 on Saturday. Similar to Arkansas, Alabama gets it done on defense as well, ranking 11th in adjusted defensive efficiency. However, the Crimson Tide have been the more efficient team with the ball, ranking 18th in adjusted offensive efficiency compared to 44th for Arkansas. Both teams like to play fast (ARK 56th in tempo, BAMA 3rd), which is why the over/under is set fairly high at 150.5 despite two strong defenses facing off.
Still, that number may be too heavy. As you can see in the trends section above, Arkansas has gone under the total in five straight games. Alabama has fallen under the total in three of its last four. Let’s bank on the defenses showing up (at least enough) in this tight SEC battle. Take the under!
The Pick: Under 150.5 | -110 at FanDuel Sportsbook