As the overwhelming favorite to cut down the nets in Tampa, Florida, it’s no surprise to see Duke still alive and laying a decent number of points in the Saturday ACC tournament odds market. But getting to this point was hardly easy for the top-seeded Blue Devils.
Virginia Tech also had a difficult path to the championship game, but the No. 7 seed made it for the first time in school history thanks to three wins in as many days. Yet unlike their opponent Saturday, the Hokies are still sitting on the NCAA Tournament bubble — a bubble they can burst themselves with one more victory.
Multiple oddsmakers provided insights on opening/current lines and action in the Saturday ACC tournament betting market. Check back with Props.com throughout the day for line moves and action update.
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ACC Tournament Odds and Betting Action
Virginia Tech vs. No. 7 Duke (8:30 p.m. ET)
UPDATE 7:30 P.M. ET: Duke opened -6 at WynnBet and hasn’t moved off that all day today. It’s two-way action on the point spread, with VaTech taking 52% of tickets and the Blue Devils tallying 57% of money. An hour before tipoff, the total is down to 136.5 from a 138.5 opener, with 84% of tickets on the Over, but 54% of money on the Under.
UPDATE 10:30 AM ET: Survive and advance is the name of the game come March, and Duke has done just that. After winning the regular-season ACC title and earning a bye to the conference tournament semifinals, the Blue Devils (28-5 SU, 17-14-2 ATS) needed to rally to win their first two games in Tampa.
In Thursday’s quarterfinal, Duke outscored No. 9 seed Syracuse 10-0 in the final 3½ minutes to erase a one-point deficit and win 88-79. Then on Friday against fourth-seeded Miami, the Blue Devils trailed by as many as 11 points early but battled back and held on for an 80-76 victory.
Duke never came close to covering point spreads of -15 and -8, respectively. Throw in last Saturday’s 94-81 upset loss to North Carolina as an 11-point home favorite, and the Blue Devils have failed to cash in three straight games for the first time all season. And while they’ve won 14 of 15 games SU, Coach K’s troops are just 3-6 ATS in their last nine.
Virginia Tech (22-12 SU, 17-16-1 ATS) needed a 3-pointer at the buzzer in overtime just to get out of Wednesday’s second round with a 76-75 victory over No. 10 seed Clemson, falling short as a 4.5-point favorite. The Hokies then boosted their NCAA Tournament stock by knocking out No. 2 seed Notre Dame (87-80 as a 1.5-point chalk) and No. 3 seed North Carolina (72-59 as a 3-point underdog).
The Hokies, who are in the ACC tourney title game for the first time since joining the conference in 2004-05, are on a 12-2 SU run. However even with consecutive point-spread covers on Thursday and Friday, they’re still just 3-4-1 ATS in their last eight. On the flip side, VaTech has lost by more than four points just once in 15 games dating to Jan. 24.
Duke won this year’s only head-to-head meeting 76-65 as a 9-point home chalk on Dec. 22. The Blue Devils are 3-1 SU/ATS against the Hokies since December 2019.
The Under is 8-3 in Virginia Tech’s last 11 overall, but Duke is on a 7-1 Over tear, topping the total in its last five in a row.
Duke opened as a 6-point favorite on DraftKings’ Saturday ACC tournament odds board, and after a brief trip to -5.5 the spread is back to -6. As far as the early action goes at DraftKings, it’s all Blue Devils, who are getting 62% of the tickets and 65% of the money.
The total tumbled from an opener of 138.5 to 135.5 before ticking up to 136 (Under -115). Despite that line move, 65% of tickets and 68% of the dollars are on the Over.
