The Rams are favored at home against the Saints in a battle of NFC playoff contenders. Los Angeles’s burgeoning second-year running back has a tasty matchup. Conversely, the other running back could be busy as a pass-catching weapon in a negative game script. Still, the underdog quarterback isn’t a shoo-in for an eye-catching performance. Let’s get into our Rams vs. Saints player props below.
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Thursday Night Football Props: Week 16
Here’s a trio of Rams vs. Saints player props I like for Thursday’s primetime matchup:
Kyren Williams Over 88.5 Rushing Yards (-115)
Kyren Williams is having an exceptional breakout campaign. According to Pro-Football-Reference, he’s averaging 95.3 rushing yards per game, with a median of 95.5.
Williams has exceeded 88.5 rushing yards five times in 10 games, including four in his past five. The Rams are favored. Thus, he should have a positive game script against a leaky run defense.
According to The 33rd Team, running backs have gashed the Saints for 125 rushing yards per game and 4.7 yards per carry since Week 12. Williams should be the latest running back to give them fits and eclipse 88.5 rushing yards.
Where to bet: Kyren Williams Over 88.5 Rushing Yards | -115 BetMGM Sportsbook
Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
The Rams are an imposing matchup for running backs on the ground. However, they’ve permitted running backs 4.8 receptions per game and 23 receiving yards per game in their last four contests. The mark for receiving would put Alvin Kamara under his line.
However, Kamara isn’t an average pass-catching back. He’s a genuine receiving weapon. Kamara is averaging 40.5 receiving yards per game this season, with a median of 44. Moreover, he’s surpassed 29.5 receiving yards in nine of 11 games this season.
Where to bet: Alvin Kamara Over 29.5 Receiving Yards | -114 FanDuel Sportsbook
Derek Carr Under 229.5 Passing Yards (-115)
While it’s never enjoyable to bet on a receiving over and an under for passing yards for that team’s starting quarterback, Kamara can clear his low mark without Derek Carr exceeding 229.5 passing yards.
Carr is posting his lowest passing yardage average since his rookie season in 2014. He’s averaging only 221.3 passing yards per game this year, with a median of 222. Carr has passed for fewer than 229.5 yards in nine of 14 games in his first campaign on the Saints.
In addition, Carr is in a funk. He’s passed for fewer than 229.5 yards in three straight games and five of his past six.
Where to bet: Derek Carr Under 229.5 Passing Yards | -115 DraftKings Sportsbook
