The Bills host the Buccaneers in the first game of Week 8. Buffalo leans heavily on their passing game, and Tampa Bay has a pass-funnel defense. It’s a perfect recipe for passing and receiving yardage. Those factors will definitely factor into our Bills vs. Buccaneers player props below.
Bills vs. Buccaneers Player Props
Editor’s Note: The following Thursday Night Football player props are listed on FanDuel Sportsbook.
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Thursday Night Football Player Props: Week 8
Here’s a trio of Bills vs. Buccaneers player props I like for Thursday’s primetime matchup:
Josh Allen Over 255.5 Passing Yards (-114)
A matchup against the Buccaneers is ideal for how the Bills want to play offense. According to RotoViz’s pace app, the Bills have passed on 61% of their 248 plays in a neutral game script, and Tampa Bay’s opponents have passed on 62% of 273 plays in a neutral game script this year.
Josh Allen can carve up their pass-funnel defense that’s mediocre at best. According to Pro-Football-Reference, the Bucs have the ninth-lowest pressure rate (19.9%) and have allowed the sixth-most passing yards per game (246.7) this season. The Bucs have allowed Jared Goff (353 passing yards), Kirk Cousins (344), and Jalen Hurts (277) to best 255.5 passing yards, and Desmond Ridder (250), Justin Fields (211), and Derek Carr (127) were held under.
Allen is averaging 263.0 passing yards this season, with a median of 265.0. So, both his average and median are above his passing prop. Finally, Allen’s line is an eye-popping six passing yards lower at FanDuel Sportsbook than at DraftKings Sportsbook, Caesars Sportsbook, and BetMGM Sportsbook, making it an exciting pick.
Where to bet: Josh Allen Over 255.5 Passing Yards | -114 FanDuel Sportsbook
Stefon Diggs Over 86.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Stefon Diggs is literally playing the best football of his career. He’s averaging a career-high 96.9 receiving yards per game in 2023. The stud wideout has a median outcome of 102 receiving yards this year and bested 86.5 five times in seven games.
He would have eclipsed 86.5 receiving yards last week if he corralled a catchable bomb from Allen on the penultimate play of the game. Diggs can bounce back from his season-low 58 yards in a good matchup this week.
No. 1 wideouts have flamed the Bucs, with four of them besting 86.5 receiving yards in Tampa Bay’s six contests. Those wide receivers averaged 94.5 receiving yards per game, with a median of 114. Diggs can be the next wide receiver to give the Bucs fits.
Where to bet: Stefon Diggs Over 86.5 Receiving Yards | -114 FanDuel Sportsbook
Dalton Kincaid Over 36.5 Receiving Yards (-114)
Dalton Kincaid had rookie-season highs for targets (eight), receptions (eight), and receiving yards (75) last week. The rookie averages only 32.2 receiving yards per game with a median of 26.5. However, he should have more opportunities and serve as a full-time player since Dawson Knox will undergo wrist surgery and time.
Kincaid can build on his best showing in a decent matchup this week. The Bucs have yielded 5.3 receptions per game and 44.8 receiving yards per game to tight ends in 2023. Tampa Bay has also allowed three tight ends to best 36.5 receiving yards this season. The growing pains can be challenging for a rookie tight end, but the bar is low for Kincaid to hit his over for receiving yards this week.
Where to bet: Dalton Kincaid Over 36.5 Receiving Yards | -114 FanDuel Sportsbook
