Phillies vs. Braves Predictions & Picks – NLDS Game 1 (Sat 10/7)

Atlanta Braves starting pitcher Spencer Strider (65) throws against the Los Angeles Dodgers in the second inning at Truist Park.
Image Credit: Brett Davis-USA TODAY Sports

The Philadelphia Phillies (90-72) are set to face off against the Atlanta Braves (104-58) in what promises to be a thrilling encounter for Game 1 of the NLDS. This series is particularly significant as it marks a rematch of last year’s shocking playoff loss for the Braves. Can Atlanta get revenge?

Let’s dive into the Phillies vs. Braves predictions, odds, and picks for Game 1 below.

Phillies vs. Braves Odds

  • Moneyline: Atlanta Braves -205 (DraftKings) / Philadelphia Phillies +180 (BetRivers)
  • Total: 8.5

Game Info

  • Date: Saturday, Oct. 7
  • Time: 6:07 PM ET
  • Location: Truist Park – Atlanta, GA
  • TV: TBS

Philadelphia Phillies Betting Trends

The Phillies have won 7 of their last 10 games. As the underdog, they have a record of 21 wins and 28 losses this season. They have also managed to cover the spread in 72 of their 162 games.

Atlanta Braves Betting Trends

The Braves, on the other hand, have also won 7 of their last 10 games. They have a strong record as the favorite, with 96 wins and 50 losses. They have covered the spread in 83 of their 162 games.

Spencer Strider Looks To Keep Form

The Braves’ starting pitcher, Spencer Strider, has had a solid season with a win-loss record of 20-5 and an ERA of 3.86. He has been a consistent performer for the Braves, helping them secure 26 wins in his 32 starts.

The Phillies rank 9th in hits and 8th in runs, with a batting average of .256. Their top performer, Bryce Harper, has a batting average of .293.

Can Ranger Suarez Keep Atlanta In Check?

On the other hand, the Phillies’ starting pitcher, Ranger Suarez, has had a more challenging season with a win-loss record of 4-6 and an ERA of 4.18. Despite this, Suarez has shown resilience and has the potential to put up a strong performance.

The Braves lead the league in hits and runs, with a batting average of .276. Their star player, Ronald Acuña Jr., has been particularly impressive with a batting average of .337.

Phillies vs. Braves Predictions

Given the recent form of both teams and their key players, this game is expected to be closely contested. However, the Braves’ superior offensive performance and home advantage gives them the edge.

We are predicting that the Braves will take Game 1, but that’s not our favorite betting pick of this game — as explained below.

Phillies vs. Braves Picks

Considering the Braves’ strong offensive performance and the Phillies’ recent form, the best bet for this game would be the over.

Both teams have potent offenses that can rack up runs, and with the total set at 8.5, there is a good chance that they will exceed this number.

Furthermore, the Braves have a record of 92 overs and 67 unders this season, indicating their tendency to be involved in high-scoring games. Therefore, the pick for this game is over 8.5.

The Pick: Over 8.5 (FanDuel)