The Sweet 16 rolls on, as San Diego State is set to face No. 1 overall seed Alabama on Friday, Mar. 24. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 pm ET while airing on TBS. Alabama enters this game as 7.5-point favorites with the total set at 137. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the San Diego St vs. Alabama predictions below.
San Diego St vs. Alabama Odds
- Spread: Alabama -7.5
- Total: 137
Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. New to DK? Check out our DraftKings Sportsbook Review to learn how to bet $5 to get $200 in bonus bets!
Game Info
- Date: Friday, Mar. 24
- Time: 6:30 pm ET
- Location: KFC Yum! Center, Louisville, KY
- TV: TBS
- Stream: March Madness Live
San Diego State Betting Trends
- Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 games overall.
- Aztecs are 4-0 ATS in their last 4 neutral site games.
- Under is 14-3 in Aztecs last 17 overall.
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Alabama Betting Trends
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games overall.
- Crimson Tide are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 neutral site games.
- Under is 5-1 in Crimson Tide last 6 overall.
San Diego St vs. Alabama Predictions
Both of these teams rank top five in defensive efficiency. Alabama plays at the sixth-fastest tempo in the nation while San Diego State ranks middle of the pack (171) in that regard. However, there’s a good chance the Aztecs will slow this game down in an effort to take Alabama out of its comfort zone.
Both of these teams are on “under trends” as well. Both of these stats were mentioned above, but they are worth repeating:
- Alabama is 5-1 to the under in its last six overall games. It’s not a coincidence that five of those came in a tournament format.
- San Diego State has gone under in 14 of its last 17 games. The Aztecs have been an “under team” all season, and their strategy will likely feed into that on Friday.
For these reasons, we are taking under 137 total points while crossing our fingers that the Aztecs’ top-five defense holds.
The Pick: Under 137 total points | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
