Here we go with the second game of the Friday slate for the Sweet 16. Houston is set to face Miami with tip-off scheduled for 7:15 pm ET while airing on CBS. Houston enters this game as 7.5-point favorites with the total set at 137.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Houston vs. Miami predictions below.
Houston vs. Miami Odds
- Spread: Houston -7.5
- Total: 137.5
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Game Info
- Date: Friday, Mar. 24
- Time: 7:15 pm ET
- Location: T-Mobile Center — Kansas City, MO
- TV: CBS
- Stream: March Madness Live
Houston Betting Trends
- Cougars are 11-5 ATS in their last 16 neutral site games.
- Cougars are 1-6 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 4-1 in Cougars last 5 NCAA Tournament games.
Miami Betting Trends
- Hurricanes are 5-1 ATS in their last 6 NCAA Tournament games.
- Hurricanes are 5-2 ATS in their last 7 games following a ATS win.
- Under is 7-3 in Hurricanes last 10 neutral site games.
Houston vs. Miami Predictions
I’ve been heavy on Houston throughout this tournament, and it isn’t going to stop here. Miami always felt like a team that could make a run, but they also could’ve lost to either of the first two teams they played.
The big key here is that you have to score on Houston beyond the arc or at the line. We know Miami has an extremely efficient offense in all aspects, but they don’t draw fouls and they don’t take threes.
Can they continue that elite efficiency on drastically more volume?
On the other side, Miami doesn’t feature a good defense. They rank outside of the top 100 in KenPom’s adjusted defensive efficiency. They also force you to beat them inside out without fouling.
Luckily for Houston, that’s how they love to play. They aren’t an offense that draws fouls, and they do the majority of their damage inside the arc. They still have plenty of shooters, though, and they can hit the big shots when needed.
Both of these teams have high-end offenses, but the major difference is that Houston features a drastically better defense. That should be enough to beat this number.
The Pick: Houston -7 | -110 at DraftKings Sportsbook
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