Kansas State vs. Michigan State Predictions & Odds (March 23)

Kansas State Wildcats guard Markquis Nowell (1) reacts to a play against the Kentucky Wildcats during the second half in the second round of the 2023 NCAA men’s basketball tournament at Greensboro Coliseum.
Image Credit: Bob Donnan-USA TODAY Sports

Here we go with the first game of the Sweet 16, as Kansas State is set to face Michigan State on Thursday, Mar. 23. Tip-off is scheduled for 6:30 pm ET while airing on TBS. Michigan State enters this game as 1.5-point favorites with the total set at 137.5. How will this one play out? Let’s dive into the Kansas State vs. Michigan State predictions below.

Kansas State vs. Michigan State Odds

  • Spread: Michigan State -1.5
  • Total: 137.5

Odds via DraftKings Sportsbook. New to DK? Check out our DraftKings Sportsbook Review to learn how to bet $5 to get $200 in bonus bets!

Game Info

  • Date: Thursday, Mar. 23
  • Time: 6:30 pm ET
  • Location: Madison Square Garden — New York, NY
  • TV: TBS
  • Stream: March Madness Live

Kansas State Betting Trends

  • Wildcats are 6-2 ATS in their last 8 games overall.
  • Over is 4-0 in Wildcats last 4 NCAA Tournament games.
  • Wildcats are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games following a ATS win.

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Michigan State Betting Trends

  • Spartans are 4-1 ATS in their last 5 games vs. a team with a winning straight up record.
  • Spartans are 1-4 ATS in their last 5 games following a straight up win.
  • Under is 4-0 in Spartans last 4 neutral site games.

Kansas State vs. Michigan State Predictions

Michigan State is an experienced team that doesn’t typically make mistakes. That’s how the Spartans made the Sweet 16. Michigan State is also a strong three-point shooting team, ranking sixth in the nation for shooting percentage from deep.

However, Kansas State has the ability to defend that. The Wildcats rank 17th in adjusted defensive efficiency while holding opponents to 29.7% from the arc. That ranks 15th in the country. Markquis Nowell and Keyontae Johnson are big-time players who can carry the Wildcats down the stretch.

This is another game that is virtually a coin flip. For the reasons listed above, it feels like Kansas State has the edge here. We’ll happily take them at plus-money odds.

The Pick: Kansas State moneyline | +110 at DraftKings Sportsbook