A pair of NFC East heavyweights are meeting for the first time in 2022 to close Sunday’s action. Philadelphia is favored at home against Dallas, and I expect the hosts to win. So, the following Eagles vs. Cowboys player props are made with the expectation of Philadelphia winning.
Eagles vs. Cowboys Player Props: Week 6
Here are the three Eagles vs. Cowboys player props I like for Sunday Night Football.
Ezekiel Elliott Under 58.5 Rushing Yards
Ezekiel Elliott has been adequate this year. However, he hasn’t been exceptional. Instead, he’s been relatively mediocre. Pro Football Focus (PFF) has ranked him 22nd as a runner out of 43 running backs with at least 30 rush attempts this year.
Zeke is also running behind an average or worse run-blocking line. PFF ranks them 27th in run blocking. Football Outsiders has viewed Dallas’s run blocking more favorably but ranked them only 16th in Adjusted Line Yards.
Circling back to Zeke, he’s averaging 61.0 rushing yards per game. However, he’s gone under 58.5 rushing yards in three games, and his median rushing yardage outcome is 53. Elliott also rushed for just 52 yards in Dallas’s only loss of the year in Week 1 against the Buccaneers.
Finally, the Cowboys are underdogs. So, the game script is likely to be bad for Zeke. As a result, I’m delighted to bet he rushes for under 58.5 yards.
Where to bet: Ezekiel Elliott Under 58.5 Rushing Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Miles Sanders Over 64.5 Rushing Yards
Miles Sanders is averaging 82.8 rushing yards per game with a median outcome of 80. In addition, he’s gone over 58.5 rushing yards three times, with a 58-yard performance among one of his two misses. The fourth-year back has also handled a career-high 17.4 rush attempts per game, serving as Philadelphia’s clear-cut top back.
Sanders’s rushing outlook is enhanced by context as well. PFF grades the Eagles as the 11th-best run-blocking line, and Football Outsiders ranks them 10th in Adjusted Line Yards. So, Sanders runs behind a bunch of ass-kickers on Philly’s offensive line.
The game script should also be good for Sanders to pile up rushing yards. The Eagles are 6.5-point favorites, and he’s excelled when running the ball with a lead this year. When the Eagles have led by more than a field goal this season, Sanders has rumbled for 228 yards on 48 attempts (4.75 yards per carry).
Dallas’s below-average run defense will have their hands full. According to Football Outsiders, they’re 18th in rush defense Defense-Adjusted Value Over Average (DVOA). Finally, in Dallas’s only loss this year, they were trounced by Leonard Fournette for 127 rushing yards on 21 attempts. So, I’m excited to bet on Sanders’s rushing yardage over at 64.5 yards.
Where to bet: Miles Sanders Over 64.5 Rushing Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
Dallas Goedert Over 45.5 Receiving Yards
The Eagles might not need to air it out much. However, they haven’t taken their foot off the accelerator this year. When leading by at least four points this year, Jalen Hurts has attempted 100 passes, completing 72 for 884 yards.
As a result, Goedert is averaging 67.0 receiving yards per game. He’s also had at least 60 receiving yards four times this year, and his median outcome is 72. In the only game he played against the Cowboys last year, he had 66 receiving yards on two receptions and just four targets.
Finally, Goedert has been highly efficient, enhancing his odds of eclipsing 45.5 receiving yards, even if his opportunities are limited. According to PFF, Goedert is second out of 26 tight ends targeted at least 15 times this year in Yards per Route Run (2.17 Y/RR). So, let’s take another over for a player in Philadelphia’s explosive offense.
Where to bet: Dallas Goedert Over 45.5 Receiving Yards | -115 at DraftKings Sportsbook
