It all comes down to this. The NBA Finals are here, and you better believe our Warriors vs Celtics player props are here as well.
The Celtics picked up a relatively easy win in Game 3, and they have the opportunity to grab full control of the series in Game 4. They’re currently listed as four-point home favorites on DraftKings, and teams that go up 3-1 in the NBA playoffs win the series more than 95% of the time. That makes this virtually a must-win contest for the Warriors.
Let’s dive into our top Warriors vs Celtics player props for Game 4. We’ll feature a pair of value-based player props from both squads.
Odds via DraftKings and updated as of 11:30 a.m. ET on June 10.
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Warriors vs Celtics Player Props
Golden State Warriors PF Draymond Green
The prop: Over 12.5 rebounds + assists
The odds: -125
Green is not the same player that he was in his prime. He’s still every bit as annoying as he was in his prime, but his offensive game has deteriorated to the point where the Celtics are basically leaving him wide open on the perimeter. The Warriors were able to survive that when they had Steph Curry and Kevin Durant to terrorize defenses, but that’s obviously no longer the case.
Still, Green remains capable in the peripheral categories. He averaged 14.3 rebounds + assists per game during the regular season, and he’s had plenty of success in those areas during the playoffs. He was limited to just four boards and three dimes in his last outing, but he averaged 7.1 rebounds and 6.3 assists over his previous 18 postseason contests. He’s also done that in just 31.0 minutes per game, but he’s played at least 34.8 minutes in all three games vs. the Celtics.
Add it all up, and Green is an appealing buy-low target in Game 4. There’s always the chance that he gets tossed, but as long as he’s on the court for 34+ minutes, I like his chances of going over.
Golden State Warriors SF Andrew Wiggins
The prop: Over 5.5 rebounds
The odds: -135
Wiggins has revived his career during his tenure with the Warriors. The former No. 1 overall pick came to Golden State as a one-dimensional scoring threat who did most of his damage in the midrange. He’s gotten far more efficient in Golden State, posting a career-best .543 effective field goal percentage in each of the past two years.
Wiggins has also gotten better on the boards. He’s averaged 6.8 rebounds per game during the postseason, and he’s racked up at least five boards in nine straight games. He’s gone over 5.5 boards in each of his past two contests, and I see no reason why he can’t make it three in a row on Friday.
Boston Celtics C Robert Williams
The prop: Over 13.5 points + rebounds
The odds: -110
Williams has been limited by a knee injury all postseason, but he was arguably the Celtics’ best player in their Game 3 victory. The Celtics were +21 in Williams’ 25.9 minutes – the top mark on the squad – and he had a massive impact on the defensive end of the floor. Williams finished with four blocks and three steals, and the Warriors managed just 96.0 points per 100 possessions with Williams on the floor.
With that in mind, expect Williams to continue to play as much as his body will allow him to. His role through the first two games was minimal, but the additional rest during the NBA Finals should help.
If he can play another 26 minutes or so on Friday, he should be able to cruise past 13.5 points + rebounds. He tallied eight points and 10 boards in his last contest, and he averaged just under 20 points + rebounds in 29.6 minutes per game during the regular season.
Boston Celtics PF Jayson Tatum
The prop: Over 26.5 points
The odds: -120
The scariest part about the Warriors’ 1-2 series deficit is that Tatum hasn’t even scored the ball particularly well. He’s made up for it in other ways, averaging 8.3 assists and 5.7 rebounds, but the star forward has averaged 22.0 points on a paltry 33.9% shooting through the first three games.
That’s caused his scoring prop to dip to just 26.5 points in Game 4, and I’m willing to bet on some positive regression at that number. Prior to this series, Tatum had scored at least 27 points in 11 of 18 postseason contests. He also shot 44.6% from the field through the first three rounds of the playoffs, so he has plenty of room for improvement moving forward.
Even with his poor shooting numbers, Tatum has scored at least 26 points in each of his past two games. Asking him to get just one additional bucket doesn’t seem like much, even against a tough Warriors defense.
